Serie A Match Week 10 May 2026 to 16 May 2026 Predictions: Best Odds and Match Previews

Harvey Watkins
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Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
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Updated: This round-up has been updated with the latest match news links.

This Serie A round-up brings together the key fixtures for Match Week 10 May 2026 to 16 May 2026, with a quick predictions table, predicted lineups, best odds and short match-by-match previews in one place.

Quick Predictions Table

Match Kick-off Predicted score Detailed Match Review
Fiorentina vs Genoa Sun 10 May 2026 14:00 BST 1-1 Read review
Napoli vs Bologna Mon 11 May 2026 19:45 BST 1-1 Read review

Fiorentina vs Genoa

Kick-off: Sun 10 May 2026 14:00 BST

Prediction
Fiorentina vs Genoa 1-1

Fiorentina vs Genoa Best Odds

Fiorentina To Win
2.10
Implied probability: 47.62%
Draw
3.42
Implied probability: 29.24%
Genoa To Win
3.60
Implied probability: 27.78%

Short form guide

The result market leans towards Fiorentina, who are rated at 52.92% in the full-time probabilities. Genoa are not out of the picture, but they may need a sharper start and better efficiency in the final third to shift the match away from that forecast. The score prediction is 1-1.

The data does not point towards a wide-open shootout. With Both Teams to Score: Yes 45.85%, No 54.15% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 43.24%, Under 56.76%, both teams may have to build pressure carefully rather than expect constant clear chances.

Recent results

Fiorentina last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Serie A 04/05/26 37Roma vs 109Fiorentina 4 – 0
Serie A 26/04/26 109Fiorentina vs 2714Sassuolo 0 – 0
Serie A 20/04/26 7790Lecce vs 109Fiorentina 1 – 1
Genoa last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Serie A 02/05/26 708Atalanta vs 102Genoa 0 – 0
Serie A 26/04/26 102Genoa vs 268Como 0 – 2
Serie A 19/04/26 1072Pisa vs 102Genoa 1 – 2
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Serie A 09/11/25 102Genoa vs 109Fiorentina 2 – 2
Serie A 02/02/25 109Fiorentina vs 102Genoa 2 – 1
Serie A 31/10/24 102Genoa vs 109Fiorentina 0 – 1

Predicted lineups

Fiorentina vs Genoa predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

Fiorentina Genoa Key Battle Overview
Fiorentina Genoa Albert Gudmundsson against Alessandro Marcandalli could decide whether Fiorentina can find space between the lines and turn possession into chances.
Fiorentina Genoa Cher Ndour against Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho looks important in midfield, with both sides needing control in central areas.
Fiorentina Genoa Albert Gudmundsson is key for Fiorentina because he offers the main link between midfield and attack in their predicted front three.
Fiorentina Genoa Jeff Ekhator is key for Genoa because he gives them a direct outlet and a focal point in the final third.

Read the full match preview | Read the latest match news

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Napoli vs Bologna

Kick-off: Mon 11 May 2026 19:45 BST

Prediction
Napoli vs Bologna 1-1

Napoli vs Bologna Best Odds

Napoli To Win
1.55
Implied probability: 64.52%
Draw
4.35
Implied probability: 22.99%
Bologna To Win
6.70
Implied probability: 14.93%

Short form guide

Napoli vs Bologna carries a stronger statistical case for Napoli, with the win probability giving them a clear advantage before kick-off. The underdog route is likely to depend on defensive control, set pieces and taking chances when the match opens up. The score prediction is 1-1.

The numbers around goals leave room for both a cautious start and a more open second half. The main figures are Both Teams to Score: Yes 53.07%, No 46.93% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 54.83%, Under 45.17%, so timing may be crucial.

Recent results

Napoli last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Serie A 02/05/26 268Como vs 597Napoli 0 – 0
Serie A 24/04/26 597Napoli vs 10722Cremonese 4 – 0
Serie A 18/04/26 597Napoli vs 43Lazio 0 – 2
Bologna last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Serie A 03/05/26 8513Bologna vs 585Cagliari 0 – 0
Serie A 25/04/26 8513Bologna vs 37Roma 0 – 2
Serie A 19/04/26 625Juventus vs 8513Bologna 2 – 0
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Serie A 09/11/25 8513Bologna vs 597Napoli 2 – 0
Serie A 07/04/25 8513Bologna vs 597Napoli 1 – 1
Serie A 25/08/24 597Napoli vs 8513Bologna 3 – 0

Predicted lineups

Napoli vs Bologna predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

Napoli Bologna Key Battle Overview
Napoli Bologna Alisson Santos against Eivind Helland could be important if Napoli want to stretch Bologna’s back line and create space between the full-back and centre-back.
Napoli Bologna Matteo Politano against Benja Domínguez is a useful wide duel, with both players likely to matter in transitions and in helping their side get up the pitch.
Napoli Bologna Alisson Santos is key for Napoli because he offers a direct attacking option in the predicted shape and links the midfield to the front line.
Napoli Bologna Jens Odgaard is key for Bologna because he is the main attacking reference in the 4-2-3-1 and the player most likely to finish their best moves.

Read the full match preview

Best Odds

Fiorentina vs Genoa

Sun 10 May 2026 14:00 BST
bet365
Fiorentina To Win
2.10
Implied probability: 47.62%
Draw
3.42
Implied probability: 29.24%
Genoa To Win
3.60
Implied probability: 27.78%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-08 15:44:14

Napoli vs Bologna

Mon 11 May 2026 19:45 BST
bet365
Napoli To Win
1.55
Implied probability: 64.52%
Draw
4.35
Implied probability: 22.99%
Bologna To Win
6.70
Implied probability: 14.93%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-08 15:50:56

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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