Cagliari vs Udinese: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Cagliari vs Udinese in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Cagliari vs Udinese
Competition Serie A
Date Saturday, 09 May 2026
Kick-off 14:00 BST
Venue Sardegna Arena

Match Prediction: Cagliari 1-1 Udinese

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Cagliari36.62%
Udinese36.15%
Draw27.27%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes55.31%
No44.69%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes50.31%
No49.69%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Serie A 05 Oct 2025 346Udinese vs 585Cagliari 1 – 1 Dacia Arena
Serie A 03 May 2025 585Cagliari vs 346Udinese 1 – 2 Sardegna Arena
Serie A 25 Oct 2024 346Udinese vs 585Cagliari 2 – 0 Dacia Arena
Serie A 18 Feb 2024 346Udinese vs 585Cagliari 1 – 1 Dacia Arena
Serie A 17 Sep 2023 585Cagliari vs 346Udinese 0 – 0 Sardegna Arena

Cagliari come into this with a mixed but competitive recent run, and their home results suggest they can make this awkward for Udinese. The 3-2 win over Atalanta and the 1-0 win over Cremonese show they can keep things tight enough to nick a result, while the 0-0 at Bologna points to a side that can stay organised away from home too. Udinese have been more varied, with a 2-0 win over Torino and a 3-0 win at AC Milan standing out, but the 3-3 draw at Lazio and the 0-1 loss to Parma show they are not always secure. Match Prediction: Cagliari 1-1 Udinese

This looks like a game where both sides can find moments, but neither has been consistently dominant enough to be trusted for a clear win. Cagliari’s recent home form gives them a platform, yet Udinese’s better ceiling in the bigger results means they should carry a threat on the break and in transition. With no xG data available, the recent scorelines and head-to-head pattern point more towards a balanced contest than a one-sided one. A draw feels the most sensible betting angle from the information available.

Form Guide & Team Overview

Cagliari

Cagliari’s recent league form has been mixed, but there are enough positive signs to suggest they can compete here. They have taken four points from their last two matches, drawing 0-0 at Bologna and beating Atalanta 3-2 at home, which shows a decent level of resilience and some attacking punch.

Before that, though, the picture was less convincing, with a 0-3 defeat at Inter and a 1-2 loss at Sassuolo. The 1-0 home win over Cremonese sits in the middle of that run and underlines that Cagliari have been more reliable when they can control the game at Sardegna Arena.

Cagliari Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 3 May 2026 8513Bologna vs 585Cagliari 0 – 0 D Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 27 Apr 2026 585Cagliari vs 708Atalanta 3 – 2 W Sardegna Arena
Serie A 17 Apr 2026 2930Inter vs 585Cagliari 3 – 0 L Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A 11 Apr 2026 585Cagliari vs 10722Cremonese 1 – 0 W Sardegna Arena
Serie A 4 Apr 2026 2714Sassuolo vs 585Cagliari 2 – 1 L MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Udinese

Udinese arrive with a stronger-looking recent set of results, even if there has been some inconsistency. They beat Torino 2-0 at home and also produced a notable 3-0 win at AC Milan, which suggests they can hurt opponents when they get their game right.

At the same time, they have also drawn 3-3 at Lazio and lost 0-1 at home to Parma, so they are not fully dependable. The 0-0 draw with Como adds to the sense that Udinese can be solid, but they have not always turned that into control across 90 minutes.

Udinese Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 2 May 2026 346Udinese vs 613Torino 2 – 0 W Dacia Arena
Serie A 27 Apr 2026 43Lazio vs 346Udinese 3 – 3 D Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 18 Apr 2026 346Udinese vs 398Parma 0 – 1 L Dacia Arena
Serie A 11 Apr 2026 113AC Milan vs 346Udinese 0 – 3 W Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A 6 Apr 2026 346Udinese vs 268Como 0 – 0 D Dacia Arena

Team News & Injury Report

Cagliari

  • Joseph Liteta (Muscle Fatigue)

Udinese

  • Jesper Karlström (Unknown Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Cagliari vs Udinese predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Cagliari (4-5-1)

Predicted lineup: Elia Caprile (Goalkeeper), Adam Obert (Defender), Alberto Dossena (Defender), Yerry Mina (Defender), Zé Pedro (Defender), Alessandro Deiola (Midfielder), Gianluca Gaetano (Midfielder), Marco Palestra (Midfielder), Michael Folorunsho (Midfielder), Michel Adopo (Midfielder), Sebastiano Esposito (Attacker)

Cagliari’s predicted 4-5-1 should give them a compact base, with the midfield five helping to protect the back line and limit Udinese’s space between the lines. Sebastiano Esposito will likely be the main outlet, so the shape needs quick support from midfield if Cagliari are to turn defensive phases into attacks.

Udinese (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Maduka Okoye (Goalkeeper), Christian Kabasele (Defender), Oumar Solet (Defender), Thomas Kristensen (Defender), Arthur Atta (Midfielder), Hassane Kamara (Midfielder), Kingsley Ehizibue (Midfielder), Lennon Miller (Midfielder), Adam Buksa (Attacker), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (Attacker), Nicolò Zaniolo (Attacker)

Udinese’s predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a strong central spine and enough width from the wing-backs to stretch Cagliari’s block. With two players operating behind Adam Buksa, they should have options to combine in the half-spaces and support the lone striker.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Cagliari Udinese Text
Cagliari Udinese Sebastiano Esposito will need to work hard against Christian Kabasele, because Udinese’s centre-back line has the physical edge and will try to keep him away from goal.
Cagliari Udinese Alessandro Deiola’s job against Arthur Atta could be important in midfield, with both sides needing control of second balls and the tempo.
Cagliari Udinese Sebastiano Esposito is key for Cagliari because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the most likely route to a goal.
Cagliari Udinese Adam Buksa is key for Udinese because he gives them a focal point up front and a target for the support runners behind him.

FAQs

How to watch Cagliari vs Udinese

Fans in the UK are able to watch Cagliari vs Udinese on TNT Sports 3 at 14:00 BST on Saturday, 09 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Cagliari vs Udinese?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Cagliari 1-1 Udinese in this match.

Can you bet on Cagliari vs Udinese?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Cagliari vs Udinese.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.45%
No 25.55%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.64%
No 2.70%
Equal 3.67%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.30%
No 71.70%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.28%
No 84.72%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 55.67%
No 32.18%
Equal 12.15%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.04%
No 85.96%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.32%
No 95.68%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 78.75%
No 12.50%
Equal 8.75%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Cagliari 63.89%
Draw / Udinese 63.42%
Cagliari / Udinese 72.77%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.63%
0-1 9.10%
1-0 9.09%
1-2 8.78%
2-1 8.18%
0-0 7.40%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 87.50%
No 6.36%
Equal 6.13%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 67.82%
No 21.25%
Equal 10.93%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 43.49%
No 44.33%
Equal 12.19%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Cagliari / Cagliari 17.36%
Cagliari / Udinese 2.70%
Cagliari / Draw 6.02%
Udinese / Cagliari 2.26%
Udinese / Udinese 20.35%
Udinese / Draw 5.93%
Draw / Draw 18.69%
Draw / Cagliari 13.06%
Draw / Udinese 13.62%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Cagliari 24.99%
Udinese 29.34%
Draw 45.67%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.06%
No 62.94%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.33%
No 67.68%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.90%
No 67.68%
Equal 9.42%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.21%
No 28.79%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15%
No 85%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.08%
No 94.92%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.29%
No 29.71%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.79%
No 63.21%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.33%
No 56.51%
Equal 11.16%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Cagliari 47.73%
Udinese 44.87%
Draw 7.40%

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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