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Atalanta vs Bologna: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Atalanta vs Bologna in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 17:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Atalanta vs Bologna
Competition Serie A
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 17:00 BST
Venue Gewiss Stadium

Match Prediction: Atalanta 2-1 Bologna

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Atalanta50.87%
Bologna25.77%
Draw23.39%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes59.64%
No40.36%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes58.67%
No41.33%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Serie A 07 Jan 2026 8513Bologna vs 708Atalanta 0 – 2 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 13 Apr 2025 708Atalanta vs 8513Bologna 2 – 0 Gewiss Stadium
Serie A 28 Sep 2024 8513Bologna vs 708Atalanta 1 – 1 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 03 Mar 2024 708Atalanta vs 8513Bologna 1 – 2 Gewiss Stadium
Serie A 23 Dec 2023 8513Bologna vs 708Atalanta 1 – 0 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Atalanta come into this with a recent home draw against Genoa and a narrow home loss to Juventus, but their 3-2 win away at AC Milan shows they can still produce a result against strong opposition. Bologna have also shown they can land a big away win, beating Napoli 3-2, although their wider run includes defeats to Roma, Juventus and Aston Villa. With both sides having mixed recent numbers and no xG data available to separate them, this looks like a game where moments in the final third could decide it.

Atalanta’s home advantage and the fact they have already beaten Bologna twice in the last three meetings gives them a slight edge on the data. Bologna’s away threat is real, but the suspension to Jhon Lucumí removes one defensive option and Atalanta have enough attacking quality to make that count. Match Prediction: Atalanta 2-1 Bologna

Form Guide & Team Overview

Atalanta

Atalanta’s recent league form is mixed, with one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five. The standout result is the 3-2 away win over AC Milan, while the goalless draw with Genoa and the 1-1 draw at Roma show they have been competitive even when not winning.

There is also a pattern of tight games in their recent run, with all five matches decided by one goal or ending level. That suggests Atalanta are not far away from consistent results, but they have also been vulnerable in matches where the scoreline stays close.

Atalanta Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 10 May 2026 113AC Milan vs 708Atalanta 2 – 3 W Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A 2 May 2026 708Atalanta vs 102Genoa 0 – 0 D Gewiss Stadium
Serie A 27 Apr 2026 585Cagliari vs 708Atalanta 3 – 2 L Sardegna Arena
Serie A 18 Apr 2026 37Roma vs 708Atalanta 1 – 1 D Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 11 Apr 2026 708Atalanta vs 625Juventus 0 – 1 L Gewiss Stadium

Bologna

Bologna’s last five league matches also point to an uneven run, with two wins, one draw and two defeats. Their best result is the 3-2 away win at Napoli, which stands out alongside the 2-0 home win over Lecce.

However, the defeats to Roma and Juventus, plus the 0-0 draw with Cagliari, show they have not been producing the same level every week. Across all competitions, the 0-4 loss away to Aston Villa adds to the sense that their recent form has been inconsistent, especially away from home.

Bologna Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 11 May 2026 597Napoli vs 8513Bologna 2 – 3 W Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A 3 May 2026 8513Bologna vs 585Cagliari 0 – 0 D Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 25 Apr 2026 8513Bologna vs 37Roma 0 – 2 L Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 19 Apr 2026 625Juventus vs 8513Bologna 2 – 0 L Juventus Stadium
Serie A 12 Apr 2026 8513Bologna vs 7790Lecce 2 – 0 W Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Team News & Injury Report

Atalanta

  • Isak Hien (Yellow Card Suspension)

Bologna

  • Jhon Lucumí (Yellow Card Suspension)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Atalanta vs Bologna predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Atalanta (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Marco Carnesecchi (Goalkeeper), Giorgio Scalvini (Defender), TBC (Defender), Sead Kolasinac (Defender), Davide Zappacosta (Midfielder), Marten de Roon (Midfielder), Nicola Zalewski (Midfielder), Éderson (Midfielder), Charles De Ketelaere (Attacker), Giacomo Raspadori (Attacker), Nikola Krstović (Attacker)

Atalanta’s predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a strong central base, with Davide Zappacosta and Nicola Zalewski able to provide width from deeper areas. That shape should also leave Charles De Ketelaere and Giacomo Raspadori close enough to support Nikola Krstović between the lines and in the box.

Bologna (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: Massimo Pessina (Goalkeeper), Eivind Helland (Defender), TBC (Defender), João Mário (Defender), Juan Miranda (Defender), Lewis Ferguson (Midfielder), Remo Freuler (Midfielder), Tommaso Pobega (Midfielder), Federico Bernardeschi (Attacker), Riccardo Orsolini (Attacker), Santiago Castro (Attacker)

Bologna’s predicted 4-3-3 should give them a balanced structure, with Lewis Ferguson, Remo Freuler and Tommaso Pobega offering control in midfield. The front three can then stretch Atalanta’s back line, with Federico Bernardeschi likely important in linking play and arriving in advanced areas.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Atalanta Bologna Key Battle Overview
Atalanta Bologna Charles De Ketelaere against Eivind Helland could be decisive because De Ketelaere’s movement between the lines may force Helland into difficult decisions.
Atalanta Bologna Davide Zappacosta against Lewis Ferguson is a key midfield duel, with Zappacosta’s wide runs likely tested by Ferguson’s work in central areas.
Atalanta Bologna Charles De Ketelaere is key for Atalanta because he has been used in advanced attacking roles and can connect midfield to the final third.
Atalanta Bologna Federico Bernardeschi is key for Bologna because he offers attacking support from midfield and has been part of their recent starting structure.

FAQs

How to watch Atalanta vs Bologna

Fans in the UK are able to watch Atalanta vs Bologna on TNT Sports 3 at 17:00 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Atalanta vs Bologna?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Atalanta 2-1 Bologna in this match.

Can you bet on Atalanta vs Bologna?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Atalanta vs Bologna.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.43%
No 68.57%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Atalanta 59.91%
Bologna 35.21%
Draw 4.88%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.50%
No 12.10%
Equal 8.41%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.97%
No 20.50%
Equal 10.53%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 57.20%
No 31.03%
Equal 11.77%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.28%
No 42.80%
Equal 11.92%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.22%
No 54.72%
Equal 11.05%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.22%
No 65.78%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.76%
No 65.78%
Equal 9.47%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Atalanta / Atalanta 33.85%
Atalanta / Bologna 1.99%
Atalanta / Draw 5.57%
Bologna / Atalanta 3.01%
Bologna / Bologna 11.26%
Bologna / Draw 5.05%
Draw / Draw 13.92%
Draw / Atalanta 16.94%
Draw / Bologna 8.41%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 87.90%
No 6.20%
Equal 5.90%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Atalanta 41.98%
Bologna 18.88%
Draw 39.14%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.70%
No 19.30%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.22%
No 62.78%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.52%
No 77.48%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.44%
No 18.56%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 52.68%
No 47.32%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 26.47%
No 73.53%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 11.02%
No 88.98%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Atalanta 74.26%
Draw / Bologna 49.16%
Atalanta / Bologna 76.64%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 63.49%
No 36.51%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.18%
No 87.82%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 10.76%
OTHER 1 10.74%
2-1 9.65%
1-0 8.73%
2-0 7.90%
1-2 6.38%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.80%
No 2.65%
Equal 3.55%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.75%
No 96.25%

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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