Fiorentina vs Genoa: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Fiorentina vs Genoa in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Fiorentina vs Genoa
Competition Serie A
Date Sunday, 10 May 2026
Kick-off 14:00 BST
Venue Stadio Artemio Franchi

Match Prediction: Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Fiorentina52.92%
Genoa20.75%
Draw26.33%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes45.85%
No54.15%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes43.24%
No56.76%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Serie A 09 Nov 2025 102Genoa vs 109Fiorentina 2 – 2 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 02 Feb 2025 109Fiorentina vs 102Genoa 2 – 1 Stadio Artemio Franchi
Serie A 31 Oct 2024 102Genoa vs 109Fiorentina 0 – 1 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 15 Apr 2024 109Fiorentina vs 102Genoa 1 – 1 Stadio Artemio Franchi
Serie A 19 Aug 2023 102Genoa vs 109Fiorentina 1 – 4 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Fiorentina come into this with the stronger recent home pattern, having beaten Lazio and drawn with Sassuolo at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in their last two league games there. Genoa have been harder to beat away from home, with a draw at Atalanta and a win at Pisa in their recent league run, so this does not look like a straightforward home win. The lack of xG data means the best guide is the results trend, and that points towards a fairly tight contest rather than a high-scoring one.

Fiorentina’s attacking options in Albert Gudmundsson, Jack Harrison and Manor Solomon give them enough to edge territory and create the better chances, especially if they can build on the control shown in their recent home wins. Genoa have shown they can keep games close, but their recent 0-2 home loss to Como suggests they can be contained if the opposition stays organised. Match Prediction: Fiorentina 1-0 Genoa

Form Guide & Team Overview

Fiorentina

Fiorentina’s recent league form is mixed, with one heavy defeat, two draws and two wins across their last five. The 0-4 loss at Roma stands out, but that came after a solid run of results that included a 1-0 home win over Lazio and a 1-0 away win at Hellas Verona.

At home, Fiorentina have been more reliable, drawing 0-0 with Sassuolo and beating Lazio 1-0 in their last two league matches at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. That suggests they have been difficult to break down on their own ground, even if the attacking output has been modest.

Fiorentina Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 4 May 2026 37Roma vs 109Fiorentina 4 – 0 L Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 26 Apr 2026 109Fiorentina vs 2714Sassuolo 0 – 0 D Stadio Artemio Franchi
Serie A 20 Apr 2026 7790Lecce vs 109Fiorentina 1 – 1 D Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A 13 Apr 2026 109Fiorentina vs 43Lazio 1 – 0 W Stadio Artemio Franchi
Serie A 4 Apr 2026 1123Hellas Verona vs 109Fiorentina 0 – 1 W Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Genoa

Genoa’s recent league form is also uneven, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. The 0-0 draw at Atalanta is a decent result, and it followed away and home wins over Pisa and Sassuolo by the same 2-1 scoreline.

Their home loss to Como was a setback, though, and the two defeats in that five-game spell show they have not been fully consistent. Even so, the away draw at Atalanta suggests they can stay competitive against stronger sides if they keep things compact.

Genoa Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 2 May 2026 708Atalanta vs 102Genoa 0 – 0 D Gewiss Stadium
Serie A 26 Apr 2026 102Genoa vs 268Como 0 – 2 L Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 19 Apr 2026 1072Pisa vs 102Genoa 1 – 2 W Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Serie A 12 Apr 2026 102Genoa vs 2714Sassuolo 2 – 1 W Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 6 Apr 2026 625Juventus vs 102Genoa 2 – 0 L Juventus Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

Fiorentina

  • Roberto Piccoli (Unknown Injury)

Genoa

  • Tommaso Baldanzi (Unknown Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Fiorentina vs Genoa predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Fiorentina (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: David de Gea (Goalkeeper), Dodô (Defender), Luca Ranieri (Defender), Marin Pongracic (Defender), Robin Gosens (Defender), Cher Ndour (Midfielder), Marco Brescianini (Midfielder), Nicolò Fagioli (Midfielder), Albert Gudmundsson (Attacker), Jack Harrison (Attacker), Manor Solomon (Attacker)

Fiorentina’s predicted 4-3-3 should give them width through the full-backs and the front three, which can help stretch Genoa’s back line. With Cher Ndour, Marco Brescianini and Nicolò Fagioli in midfield, they should have enough balance to support Albert Gudmundsson between the lines.

Genoa (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Justin Bijlow (Goalkeeper), Alessandro Marcandalli (Defender), Johan Vásquez (Defender), Leo Østigård (Defender), Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho (Midfielder), Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Midfielder), Morten Frendrup (Midfielder), Stefano Sabelli (Midfielder), Jeff Ekhator (Attacker), Lorenzo Colombo (Attacker), Vitinha (Attacker)

Genoa’s predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a solid base of three centre-backs, with the wing-backs likely important for both defensive cover and transitions. Jeff Ekhator should have support from the two players behind him, which can help Genoa break forward without leaving the shape too open.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Fiorentina Genoa Text
Fiorentina Genoa Albert Gudmundsson against Alessandro Marcandalli could decide whether Fiorentina can find space between the lines and turn possession into chances.
Fiorentina Genoa Cher Ndour against Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho looks important in midfield, with both sides needing control in central areas.
Fiorentina Genoa Albert Gudmundsson is key for Fiorentina because he offers the main link between midfield and attack in their predicted front three.
Fiorentina Genoa Jeff Ekhator is key for Genoa because he gives them a direct outlet and a focal point in the final third.

FAQs

How to watch Fiorentina vs Genoa

Fans in the UK are able to watch Fiorentina vs Genoa on TNT Sports 3 at 14:00 BST on Sunday, 10 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Fiorentina vs Genoa?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa in this match.

Can you bet on Fiorentina vs Genoa?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Fiorentina vs Genoa.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.22%
No 65.96%
Equal 9.82%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.94%
No 19.42%
Equal 10.64%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.53%
No 2.22%
Equal 3.25%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Fiorentina 58.73%
Genoa 31.46%
Draw 9.81%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Fiorentina / Fiorentina 32.76%
Fiorentina / Genoa 1.62%
Fiorentina / Draw 5.30%
Genoa / Fiorentina 3.33%
Genoa / Genoa 10.40%
Genoa / Draw 4.43%
Draw / Draw 16.14%
Draw / Fiorentina 17.57%
Draw / Genoa 8.47%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Fiorentina 40.06%
Genoa 18.20%
Draw 41.74%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.36%
No 31.64%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.52%
No 77.48%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.38%
No 22.62%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.71%
No 55.29%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.95%
No 93.05%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 53.74%
No 46.26%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.27%
No 79.73%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.31%
No 94.69%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.18%
No 98.82%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 19.60%
No 80.40%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.51%
No 42.15%
Equal 12.34%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.23%
No 87.77%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Fiorentina 79.25%
Draw / Genoa 47.08%
Fiorentina / Genoa 73.67%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-0 14.20%
1-1 11.69%
2-0 10.28%
0-0 9.81%
2-1 9.49%
0-1 7.64%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.89%
No 5.47%
Equal 5.64%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.58%
No 11.11%
Equal 8.31%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 57.86%
No 30.06%
Equal 12.08%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.04%
No 54.49%
Equal 11.48%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.04%
No 65.96%

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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