Napoli vs Bologna: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Napoli vs Bologna in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 19:45 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Napoli vs Bologna
Competition Serie A
Date Monday, 11 May 2026
Kick-off 19:45 BST
Venue Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Match Prediction: Napoli 1-1 Bologna

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Napoli58.33%
Bologna19.29%
Draw22.35%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes53.07%
No46.93%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes54.83%
No45.17%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Serie A 09 Nov 2025 8513Bologna vs 597Napoli 2 – 0 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 07 Apr 2025 8513Bologna vs 597Napoli 1 – 1 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 25 Aug 2024 597Napoli vs 8513Bologna 3 – 0 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A 11 May 2024 597Napoli vs 8513Bologna 0 – 2 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A 24 Sep 2023 8513Bologna vs 597Napoli 0 – 0 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Napoli come into this with the stronger recent home numbers in the supplied results, but Bologna have already shown they can frustrate them, including a 2-0 win in the most recent head-to-head. With no xG data available, the safest read is that this could be a tight game decided by which side handles the key moments better rather than by sustained dominance. Napoli’s 4-0 win over Cremonese and 1-0 win over AC Milan suggest they can still control matches at home, yet Bologna’s recent clean sheet against Cagliari shows they are capable of keeping things compact.

Bologna’s away form in the supplied league results is mixed, with a 2-0 loss at Juventus and a 2-1 win at Cremonese, so there is enough evidence for both resilience and vulnerability. Napoli’s recent draw at Como and 1-1 at Parma also point to a side that can be contained if the tempo drops. Match Prediction: Napoli 1-1 Bologna

Form Guide & Team Overview

Napoli

Napoli’s recent league form is steady rather than spectacular, with two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five. The standout result is the 4-0 home win over Cremonese, while the 1-0 victory against AC Milan also underlines that they can edge stronger opposition at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.

There is still a slight caution flag from the 0-2 home loss to Lazio, and the 0-0 draw at Como shows they have not been free-scoring every week. Overall, though, the recent results suggest Napoli are difficult to beat and capable of keeping games under control.

Napoli Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 2 May 2026 268Como vs 597Napoli 0 – 0 D Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Serie A 24 Apr 2026 597Napoli vs 10722Cremonese 4 – 0 W Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A 18 Apr 2026 597Napoli vs 43Lazio 0 – 2 L Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A 12 Apr 2026 398Parma vs 597Napoli 1 – 1 D Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A 6 Apr 2026 597Napoli vs 113AC Milan 1 – 0 W Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Bologna

Bologna’s recent league form is more uneven, with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five. They have kept things tight in the 0-0 draw with Cagliari, but the back-to-back 0-2 losses to Roma and Juventus show they have struggled against stronger sides.

Their 2-0 win over Lecce and 2-1 away victory at Cremonese show they can still pick up points when the match suits them. On the evidence provided, Bologna look competitive but not especially reliable away from home.

Bologna Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 3 May 2026 8513Bologna vs 585Cagliari 0 – 0 D Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 25 Apr 2026 8513Bologna vs 37Roma 0 – 2 L Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 19 Apr 2026 625Juventus vs 8513Bologna 2 – 0 L Juventus Stadium
Serie A 12 Apr 2026 8513Bologna vs 7790Lecce 2 – 0 W Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 5 Apr 2026 10722Cremonese vs 8513Bologna 1 – 2 W Stadio Giovanni Zini

Team News & Injury Report

Napoli

  • Mathías Olivera (Muscle Fatigue)

Bologna

  • Nicolò Casale (Calf Muscle Tear)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Napoli vs Bologna predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Napoli (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Vanja Milinković-Savić (Goalkeeper), Alessandro Buongiorno (Defender), Amir Rrahmani (Defender), Sam Beukema (Defender), Matteo Politano (Midfielder), Miguel Gutiérrez (Midfielder), Scott McTominay (Midfielder), Stanislav Lobotka (Midfielder), Alisson Santos (Attacker), Kevin De Bruyne (Attacker), Rasmus Højlund (Attacker)

Napoli’s predicted 3-4-2-1 should give them a solid base of three centre-backs with enough cover behind the ball. The two advanced attackers can support Rasmus Højlund quickly, while the midfield four should help Napoli keep control of territory and second balls.

Bologna (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Massimo Pessina (Goalkeeper), Eivind Helland (Defender), Jhon Lucumí (Defender), Juan Miranda (Defender), Lorenzo De Silvestri (Defender), Benja Domínguez (Midfielder), Federico Bernardeschi (Midfielder), Nikola Moro (Midfielder), Remo Freuler (Midfielder), Simon Sohm (Midfielder), Jens Odgaard (Attacker)

Bologna’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a clear structure, with two holding midfielders protecting the back four and allowing the wide players to break forward. Jens Odgaard should have support from the three behind him, which gives Bologna a route to counter if they can stay organised.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Napoli Bologna Text
Napoli Bologna Alisson Santos against Eivind Helland could be important if Napoli want to stretch Bologna’s back line and create space between the full-back and centre-back.
Napoli Bologna Matteo Politano against Benja Domínguez is a useful wide duel, with both players likely to matter in transitions and in helping their side get up the pitch.
Napoli Bologna Alisson Santos is key for Napoli because he offers a direct attacking option in the predicted shape and links the midfield to the front line.
Napoli Bologna Jens Odgaard is key for Bologna because he is the main attacking reference in the 4-2-3-1 and the player most likely to finish their best moves.

FAQs

How to watch Napoli vs Bologna

Fans in the UK are able to watch Napoli vs Bologna on TNT Sports 3 at 19:45 BST on Monday, 11 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Napoli vs Bologna?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Napoli 1-1 Bologna in this match.

Can you bet on Napoli vs Bologna?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Napoli vs Bologna.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 54.74%
No 45.26%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.75%
No 22.25%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.68%
No 16.32%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 55.32%
No 44.68%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.90%
No 77.10%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.66%
No 98.34%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.17%
No 58.13%
Equal 10.70%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 65.69%
No 23.29%
Equal 11.02%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.17%
No 68.83%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 18.89%
No 81.11%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 11.64%
No 88.36%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Napoli 44.86%
Bologna 16.96%
Draw 38.18%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.99%
No 93.01%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41.87%
No 46.30%
Equal 11.83%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Napoli / Napoli 37.66%
Napoli / Bologna 1.70%
Napoli / Draw 5.08%
Bologna / Napoli 3.48%
Bologna / Bologna 9.33%
Bologna / Draw 4.25%
Draw / Draw 13.79%
Draw / Napoli 18.29%
Draw / Bologna 6.43%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.37%
No 68.63%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.80%
No 7.59%
Equal 6.61%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.20%
No 68.83%
Equal 8.96%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.41%
No 3.43%
Equal 4.16%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.71%
No 14.20%
Equal 9.09%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 53.70%
No 34.31%
Equal 11.99%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Napoli 80.68%
Draw / Bologna 41.64%
Napoli / Bologna 77.62%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.15%
No 71.85%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Napoli 66.55%
Bologna 27.63%
Draw 5.82%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 1 11.56%
1-0 11.05%
1-1 10.66%
2-1 10.43%
2-0 9.77%
3-0 6.45%

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

Share This Article
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
Enable Notifications OK No thanks