Parma vs Sassuolo: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Parma vs Sassuolo in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Parma vs Sassuolo
Competition Serie A
Date Sunday, 24 May 2026
Kick-off 14:00 BST
Venue Stadio Ennio Tardini

Match Prediction: Parma 0-1 Sassuolo

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Parma33.49%
Sassuolo38.40%
Draw28.11%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes48.36%
No51.64%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes43.40%
No56.60%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Serie A 03 Jan 2026 2714Sassuolo vs 398Parma 1 – 1 MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 16 May 2021 398Parma vs 2714Sassuolo 1 – 3 Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A 17 Jan 2021 2714Sassuolo vs 398Parma 1 – 1 MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 16 Feb 2020 2714Sassuolo vs 398Parma 0 – 1 MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 25 Sep 2019 398Parma vs 2714Sassuolo 1 – 0 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma come into this with three defeats in their last five league matches, while Sassuolo have also been a bit mixed but have shown they can still beat stronger opposition, including AC Milan. With no xG data available, the clearest angle is recent results and the fact Sassuolo have already taken points off Parma in the head-to-head this season. Parma’s home record in this sample is not strong enough to make them clear favourites, especially against a side that has scored in four of their last five league games.

A tight game looks the most likely outcome, with both teams having recent results that suggest they can be organised but not always reliable in front of goal. Parma have lost their last three in all competitions, and Sassuolo’s away draw at Fiorentina shows they can manage a difficult trip when needed. On the balance of the data, Sassuolo look slightly more likely to edge it by the narrowest margin.

Form Guide & Team Overview

Parma

Parma’s recent league form has dipped, with three defeats in their last five matches. They lost 0-1 away to Como, 2-3 at home to Roma and 0-2 away to Inter, which shows they have struggled to turn games into points against a range of opponents.

Before that run, Parma did put together back-to-back 1-0 wins over Pisa at home and Udinese away. That suggests they can still be competitive, but the current trend is clearly less convincing than the earlier pair of clean-sheet victories.

Parma Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 17 May 2026 268Como vs 398Parma 1 – 0 L Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Serie A 10 May 2026 398Parma vs 37Roma 2 – 3 L Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A 3 May 2026 2930Inter vs 398Parma 2 – 0 L Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A 25 Apr 2026 398Parma vs 1072Pisa 1 – 0 W Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A 18 Apr 2026 346Udinese vs 398Parma 0 – 1 W Dacia Arena

Sassuolo

Sassuolo’s recent league form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. They beat AC Milan 2-0 at home and Como 2-1 at home, which stands out positively, but they also lost 2-3 to Lecce at home and 1-2 away to Torino.

The 0-0 draw away to Fiorentina shows they can stay in a game on the road, even if the result at Lecce was a setback. Overall, the data points to a side that can produce strong individual results, but not one that has been fully consistent.

Sassuolo Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 17 May 2026 2714Sassuolo vs 7790Lecce 2 – 3 L MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 8 May 2026 613Torino vs 2714Sassuolo 2 – 1 L Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Serie A 3 May 2026 2714Sassuolo vs 113AC Milan 2 – 0 W MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 26 Apr 2026 109Fiorentina vs 2714Sassuolo 0 – 0 D Stadio Artemio Franchi
Serie A 17 Apr 2026 2714Sassuolo vs 268Como 2 – 1 W MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Team News & Injury Report

Parma

  • Filippo Rinaldi (Shoulder Injury)

Sassuolo

  • Aster Vranckx (Unknown Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Parma vs Sassuolo predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Parma (3-5-2)

Predicted lineup: Zion Suzuki (Goalkeeper), Alessandro Circati (Defender), Lautaro Valenti (Defender), Mariano Troilo (Defender), Christian Ordóñez (Midfielder), Enrico Delprato (Midfielder), Franco Carboni (Midfielder), Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Midfielder), Mandela Keita (Midfielder), Gabriel Strefezza (Attacker), Mateo Pellegrino (Attacker)

Parma’s predicted 3-5-2 gives them a solid base with three centre-backs and plenty of bodies in midfield, which should help them stay compact. The shape also leaves Gabriel Strefezza and Mateo Pellegrino as the main attacking outlets, so their link-up will matter if Parma are to create enough chances.

Sassuolo (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: Stefano Turati (Goalkeeper), Pedro Felipe (Defender), Tarik Muharemović (Defender), Ulisses Garcia (Defender), Woyo Coulibaly (Defender), Ismaël Koné (Midfielder), Kristian Thorstvedt (Midfielder), Nemanja Matic (Midfielder), Armand Laurienté (Attacker), Domenico Berardi (Attacker), M'Bala Nzola (Attacker)

Sassuolo’s predicted 4-3-3 should give them width and a more direct attacking structure, with Armand Laurienté, Domenico Berardi and M'Bala Nzola offering different threats in the front line. In midfield, the balance around Ismaël Koné, Kristian Thorstvedt and Nemanja Matic should help them control phases of play and support the forwards.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Parma Sassuolo Key Battle Overview
Parma Sassuolo Gabriel Strefezza against Pedro Felipe could be important because it pits Parma’s attacking outlet against Sassuolo’s defensive line.
Parma Sassuolo Christian Ordóñez against Ismaël Koné looks like a key midfield duel, with both sides needing control in central areas.
Parma Sassuolo Gabriel Strefezza is key for Parma because he is one of the main attacking names in the predicted XI and a likely source of their threat.
Parma Sassuolo Armand Laurienté is key for Sassuolo because he has been a consistent attacking presence in their recent lineups and offers a direct goal threat.

FAQs

How to watch Parma vs Sassuolo

Fans in the UK are able to watch Parma vs Sassuolo on TNT Sports 3 at 14:00 BST on Sunday, 24 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Parma vs Sassuolo?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Parma 0-1 Sassuolo in this match.

Can you bet on Parma vs Sassuolo?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Parma vs Sassuolo.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.67%
No 69.33%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.69%
No 97.31%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.14%
No 86.86%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.74%
No 67.53%
Equal 8.73%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 65.83%
No 34.17%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.31%
No 89.69%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.99%
No 31.01%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.89%
No 65.11%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Parma 61.60%
Draw / Sassuolo 66.51%
Parma / Sassuolo 71.89%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.70%
0-1 10.88%
1-0 10.48%
0-0 9.84%
1-2 8.35%
2-1 7.64%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Parma 24.19%
Sassuolo 28.05%
Draw 47.76%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Parma 42.16%
Sassuolo 48%
Draw 9.84%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.86%
No 96.14%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Parma / Parma 17.02%
Parma / Sassuolo 2.67%
Parma / Draw 5.02%
Sassuolo / Parma 2.16%
Sassuolo / Sassuolo 21.03%
Sassuolo / Draw 4.89%
Draw / Draw 18.75%
Draw / Parma 12.77%
Draw / Sassuolo 15.68%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.82%
No 31.18%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.40%
No 77.60%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.57%
No 4.07%
Equal 4.36%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 84.96%
No 8.43%
Equal 6.62%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.12%
No 15.04%
Equal 8.84%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 65.54%
No 23.88%
Equal 10.57%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.47%
No 57.22%
Equal 10.31%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 54.09%
No 34.46%
Equal 11.45%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.78%
No 45.91%
Equal 11.32%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 32.47%
No 67.53%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 11.12%
No 88.88%

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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