Manchester City vs Aston Villa: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Manchester City vs Aston Villa in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 16:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Manchester City vs Aston Villa
Competition Premier League
Date Sunday, 24 May 2026
Kick-off 16:00 BST
Venue Etihad Stadium

Match Prediction: Manchester City 2-1 Aston Villa

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Manchester City66.05%
Aston Villa14.14%
Draw19.81%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes54.48%
No45.52%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes60.42%
No39.58%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 26 Oct 2025 15Aston Villa vs 9Manchester City 1 – 0 Villa Park
Premier League 22 Apr 2025 9Manchester City vs 15Aston Villa 2 – 1 Etihad Stadium
Premier League 21 Dec 2024 15Aston Villa vs 9Manchester City 2 – 1 Villa Park
Premier League 03 Apr 2024 9Manchester City vs 15Aston Villa 4 – 1 Etihad Stadium
Premier League 06 Dec 2023 15Aston Villa vs 9Manchester City 1 – 0 Villa Park

Manchester City come into this with a strong recent home record in the league, having beaten Crystal Palace 3-0 and Brentford 3-0 in their last two home matches. They have also shown they can control games away from home, drawing 1-1 at AFC Bournemouth and 3-3 at Everton, while keeping things tight in the 1-0 win at Burnley. Aston Villa have been more mixed, but the 4-2 win over Liverpool shows they can still produce a result against strong opposition.

With no injury issues reported for Manchester City, their predicted shape should give them enough control in midfield and enough service into the final third. Aston Villa have scored in recent games too, including 4 against Liverpool and 4 against Sunderland, so they should not be written off. Match Prediction: Manchester City 2-1 Aston Villa

Form Guide & Team Overview

Manchester City

Manchester City’s recent league form has been solid, with three wins and two draws from their last five. The standout results are the two 3-0 home wins over Crystal Palace and Brentford, which suggest they have been efficient at the Etihad.

They have also shown resilience away from home, drawing 1-1 at AFC Bournemouth and 3-3 at Everton, while edging Burnley 1-0. That mix of control and recovery points to a side that is difficult to beat and capable of managing different game states.

Manchester City Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 19 May 2026 52AFC Bournemouth vs 9Manchester City 1 – 1 D Vitality Stadium
Premier League 13 May 2026 9Manchester City vs 51Crystal Palace 3 – 0 W Etihad Stadium
Premier League 9 May 2026 9Manchester City vs 236Brentford 3 – 0 W Etihad Stadium
Premier League 4 May 2026 13Everton vs 9Manchester City 3 – 3 D Hill Dickinson Stadium
Premier League 22 Apr 2026 27Burnley vs 9Manchester City 0 – 1 W Turf Moor

Aston Villa

Aston Villa’s recent league form has been less consistent, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. Their best result in that run is the 4-2 home win over Liverpool, which shows they can be dangerous when they get into rhythm.

However, the defeats to Tottenham Hotspur and Fulham, plus the 2-2 draw at Burnley, show they have not been as steady. They have still been scoring regularly, but the results suggest they can be exposed when games become open.

Aston Villa Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 15 May 2026 15Aston Villa vs 8Liverpool 4 – 2 W Villa Park
Premier League 10 May 2026 27Burnley vs 15Aston Villa 2 – 2 D Turf Moor
Premier League 3 May 2026 15Aston Villa vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 2 L Villa Park
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 11Fulham vs 15Aston Villa 1 – 0 L Craven Cottage
Premier League 19 Apr 2026 15Aston Villa vs 3Sunderland 4 – 3 W Villa Park

Team News & Injury Report

Manchester City

  • No injuries have been reported for the current season.

Aston Villa

  • Amadou Onana (Calf Problems)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Manchester City vs Aston Villa predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Manchester City (4-1-4-1)

Predicted lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma (Goalkeeper), Abdukodir Khusanov (Defender), Marc Guéhi (Defender), Matheus Nunes (Defender), Nico O'Reilly (Defender), Antoine Semenyo (Midfielder), Bernardo Silva (Midfielder), Jérémy Doku (Midfielder), Mateo Kovacic (Midfielder), Rodri (Midfielder), Erling Haaland (Attacker)

Manchester City’s predicted 4-1-4-1 should give them a strong base through Rodri, allowing the midfield line ahead to press high and keep Villa pinned back. With Erling Haaland as the central reference point, they can look to turn possession into direct chances and sustained pressure.

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Emiliano Martínez (Goalkeeper), Ezri Konsa (Defender), Lucas Digne (Defender), Matty Cash (Defender), Pau Torres (Defender), Emiliano Buendía (Midfielder), John McGinn (Midfielder), Morgan Rogers (Midfielder), Victor Lindelöf (Midfielder), Youri Tielemans (Midfielder), Ollie Watkins (Attacker)

Aston Villa’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a compact midfield platform and a clear route to support Ollie Watkins through the central attacking role. If Emiliano Buendía and the wider midfield can connect quickly, Villa should be able to break forward without leaving too much space behind them.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Manchester City Aston Villa Key Battle Overview
Manchester City Aston Villa Erling Haaland against Ezri Konsa could be decisive because City will look to feed their main striker early and often.
Manchester City Aston Villa Antoine Semenyo against Emiliano Buendía is a useful midfield duel, with both players likely important to how each side links play.
Manchester City Aston Villa Erling Haaland is key for Manchester City because his finishing gives them the clearest route to turning pressure into goals.
Manchester City Aston Villa Ollie Watkins is key for Aston Villa because he is the main attacking outlet and the player most likely to convert their chances.

FAQs

How to watch Manchester City vs Aston Villa

Fans in the UK are able to watch Manchester City vs Aston Villa on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 16:00 BST on Sunday, 24 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Manchester City vs Aston Villa?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Manchester City 2-1 Aston Villa in this match.

Can you bet on Manchester City vs Aston Villa?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Manchester City vs Aston Villa.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Manchester City 67.48%
Aston Villa 28.07%
Draw 4.45%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.28%
No 79.72%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.05%
No 93.95%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.57%
No 98.43%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.70%
No 63.30%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.39%
No 82.61%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Manchester City 51.13%
Aston Villa 14.11%
Draw 34.76%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.99%
No 18.01%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.49%
No 11.51%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 63.73%
No 36.27%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.06%
No 62.94%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.96%
No 75.04%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 38.02%
No 61.98%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Manchester City / Manchester City 44.99%
Manchester City / Aston Villa 1.48%
Manchester City / Draw 4.67%
Aston Villa / Manchester City 4.15%
Aston Villa / Aston Villa 7.26%
Aston Villa / Draw 3.80%
Draw / Draw 10.46%
Draw / Manchester City 18.18%
Draw / Aston Villa 4.99%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.43%
No 2.36%
Equal 3.21%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.24%
No 18.80%
Equal 9.96%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 89.03%
No 5.57%
Equal 5.40%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.20%
No 10.98%
Equal 7.82%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 59.89%
No 28.76%
Equal 11.35%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 1 17.17%
2-0 10.79%
2-1 10.07%
1-0 9.90%
1-1 9.18%
3-0 7.64%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 50.04%
No 49.96%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Manchester City 85.86%
Draw / Aston Villa 33.95%
Manchester City / Aston Villa 80.19%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.16%
No 40.11%
Equal 11.73%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.06%
No 51.84%
Equal 11.10%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.35%
No 62.94%
Equal 9.71%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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