Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Arsenal vs Burnley in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Arsenal vs Burnley |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Date | Monday, 18 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 20:00 BST |
| Venue | Emirates Stadium |
Match Prediction: Arsenal 1-0 Burnley
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 01 Nov 2025 |  Burnley vs  Arsenal |
0 – 2 | Turf Moor |
| Premier League | 17 Feb 2024 | Burnley vs Arsenal |
0 – 5 | Turf Moor |
| Premier League | 11 Nov 2023 | Arsenal vs Burnley |
3 – 1 | Emirates Stadium |
| Premier League | 23 Jan 2022 | Arsenal vs Burnley |
0 – 0 | Emirates Stadium |
| Premier League | 18 Sep 2021 | Burnley vs Arsenal |
0 – 1 | Turf Moor |
Arsenal come into this one with three straight league wins and four clean sheets across their last five matches in all competitions, so the data points towards a controlled home performance. Burnley have only one point from their last five league games and have conceded in every one of those defeats, which makes the away side look vulnerable if Arsenal settle quickly.
The head-to-head record also leans strongly towards Arsenal, with Burnley failing to score in three of the last five meetings and losing the most recent two. With no xG data available for this fixture, the clearest angle is Arsenal’s recent defensive stability against Burnley’s poor run of results. Match Prediction: Arsenal 1-0 Burnley
Form Guide & Team Overview
Arsenal
Arsenal’s recent league form is strong, with wins over West Ham United, Fulham and Newcastle United in their last three Premier League matches. Those results were all by clean sheet, which underlines how well they have been managing games at both ends of the pitch.
Across all competitions, Arsenal have won four and drawn one of their last five, including a 1-0 home win over Atlético Madrid in the Champions League. The only setback in that run was a 1-1 draw away to Atlético Madrid, so the overall picture is of a side in steady, efficient form.
Arsenal Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 10 May 2026 |  West Ham United vs Arsenal |
0 – 1 | W | London Stadium |
| Premier League | 2 May 2026 | Arsenal vs  Fulham |
3 – 0 | W | Emirates Stadium |
| Premier League | 25 Apr 2026 | Arsenal vs  Newcastle United |
1 – 0 | W | Emirates Stadium |
| Premier League | 19 Apr 2026 |  Manchester City vs Arsenal |
2 – 1 | L | Etihad Stadium |
| Premier League | 11 Apr 2026 | Arsenal vs  AFC Bournemouth |
1 – 2 | L | Emirates Stadium |
Burnley
Burnley’s recent league form is much less convincing, with one draw and four defeats in their last five. They did at least take a point from a 2-2 home draw with Aston Villa, but the other results show repeated problems in both defence and game control.
They have lost to Leeds United, Manchester City, Nottingham Forest and Brighton & Hove Albion in that sequence, and they conceded at least one goal in each of those matches. That run suggests Burnley are struggling to keep games tight, which is a concern heading into a trip to the Emirates Stadium.
Burnley Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 10 May 2026 | Burnley vs  Aston Villa |
2 – 2 | D | Turf Moor |
| Premier League | 1 May 2026 |  Leeds United vs Burnley |
3 – 1 | L | Elland Road |
| Premier League | 22 Apr 2026 | Burnley vs Manchester City |
0 – 1 | L | Turf Moor |
| Premier League | 19 Apr 2026 |  Nottingham Forest vs Burnley |
4 – 1 | L | The City Ground |
| Premier League | 11 Apr 2026 | Burnley vs  Brighton & Hove Albion |
0 – 2 | L | Turf Moor |
Team News & Injury Report
Arsenal
- Mikel Merino (Foot surgery)
Burnley
- Josh Cullen (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Arsenal (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: David Raya (Goalkeeper), Ben White (Defender), Gabriel Magalhães (Defender), Riccardo Calafiori (Defender), William Saliba (Defender), Bukayo Saka (Midfielder), Declan Rice (Midfielder), Eberechi Eze (Midfielder), Leandro Trossard (Midfielder), Myles Lewis-Skelly (Midfielder), Viktor Gyökeres (Attacker)
Arsenal’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base with two deeper midfielders protecting the back four and allowing the attacking line to stay high. That shape should help them control territory and give Viktor Gyökeres support from Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze and Leandro Trossard.
Burnley (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Max Weiß (Goalkeeper), Axel Tuanzebe (Defender), Kyle Walker (Defender), Lucas Pires (Defender), Maxime Estève (Defender), Florentino (Midfielder), Hannibal (Midfielder), Jaidon Anthony (Midfielder), Lesley Ugochukwu (Midfielder), Loum Tchaouna (Midfielder), Zian Flemming (Attacker)
Burnley’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a compact midfield screen in front of the defence, with Florentino and Hannibal likely tasked with limiting Arsenal’s central combinations. Zian Flemming will be the main outlet up front, so Burnley’s shape looks built around staying organised and trying to break quickly when they win the ball.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Arsenal | Burnley | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Burnley | Viktor Gyökeres against Axel Tuanzebe could be decisive if Arsenal can get Gyökeres into central areas early. |
| Arsenal | Burnley | Bukayo Saka against Florentino is a key duel because Saka’s wide threat can test Burnley’s midfield cover and defensive support. |
| Arsenal | Burnley | Viktor Gyökeres is key for Arsenal because he is the central attacking reference in their 4-2-3-1 and the main player to finish chances. |
| Arsenal | Burnley | Zian Flemming is key for Burnley because he is their main attacking outlet and the player most likely to turn limited chances into something dangerous. |
FAQs
For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.
Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
