Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 19:00 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Date | Sunday, 03 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 19:00 BST |
| Venue | Villa Park |
Match Prediction: Aston Villa 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
xG Stats & Match Facts
| Aston Villa | Metric | Tottenham Hotspur | What it suggests |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | Tottenham Hotspur have the edge on this metric. |
| 0.18 | Expected Goals on Target (xGoT) | 1.60 | Tottenham Hotspur have created the better quality shots on target. |
| 0.98 | Expected Points (xPTS) | 1.64 | Tottenham Hotspur are rated stronger by expected points. |
| 0.34 | Expected Goals Corners (xGC) | 0.28 | Aston Villa have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.48 | Expected Goals Non Penalty Goals (npxG) | 0.85 | Tottenham Hotspur have the edge on this metric. |
| 0.34 | Expected Goals Set Play (xGSP) | 0.28 | Aston Villa have the stronger set-piece xG number. |
| 0.15 | Expected Goals Open Play (xGOP) | 0.57 | Tottenham Hotspur carry the bigger open-play threat. |
| 0.85 | Expected Goals Against (xGA) | 0.48 | Tottenham Hotspur have the stronger defensive xG profile here. |
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 03 May 2026 |  Aston Villa vs  Tottenham Hotspur |
1 – 2 | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 19 Oct 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa |
1 – 2 | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| Premier League | 16 May 2025 | Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur |
2 – 0 | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 03 Nov 2024 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa |
4 – 1 | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| Premier League | 10 Mar 2024 | Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur |
0 – 4 | Villa Park |
Aston Villa come into this at Villa Park with the stronger recent home numbers in the data, but Tottenham Hotspur have already beaten them 2-1 in the most recent league meeting. The xG figures point to a tight game on paper, with Tottenham posting 0.85 expected goals to Villa’s 0.48, while Villa’s expected goals against of 0.85 is higher than Tottenham’s 0.48. That said, Villa’s recent results include a 4-0 win over Nottingham Forest in Europe and a 4-3 home win over Sunderland, so they have shown they can produce at home.
Tottenham’s recent league form is mixed, with wins over Aston Villa and Wolverhampton Wanderers offset by defeats to Sunderland and Nottingham Forest. The head-to-head record is also split enough to suggest momentum can swing quickly, but the latest meeting went Tottenham’s way. Match Prediction: Aston Villa 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur
Form Guide & Team Overview
Aston Villa
Aston Villa’s recent league form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. The standout result in that run is the 4-3 home win over Sunderland, while the 1-2 home loss to Tottenham Hotspur and the 0-1 defeat at Fulham show they have also struggled to turn matches their way.
Across all competitions, Villa have a 4-0 home win over Nottingham Forest in the Europa League, which sits alongside the same mixed league pattern. That suggests they have been capable of producing a strong performance at Villa Park, even if the results have not been fully consistent.
Aston Villa Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 3 May 2026 | Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur |
1 – 2 | L | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 25 Apr 2026 |  Fulham vs Aston Villa |
1 – 0 | L | Craven Cottage |
| Premier League | 19 Apr 2026 | Aston Villa vs  Sunderland |
4 – 3 | W | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 12 Apr 2026 |  Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa |
1 – 1 | D | The City Ground |
| Premier League | 22 Mar 2026 | Aston Villa vs  West Ham United |
2 – 0 | W | Villa Park |
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur’s recent league form is also uneven, with two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five. Their best results in that spell are the 2-1 win at Aston Villa and the 1-0 win at Wolverhampton Wanderers, but they have also lost 0-1 at Sunderland and 0-3 at home to Nottingham Forest.
In all competitions, the same pattern is visible, with the away wins balanced by dropped points against Brighton & Hove Albion and defeats in the league. That makes them a side with enough to win on the road, but not one that has been especially reliable from game to game.
Tottenham Hotspur Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 3 May 2026 | Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur |
1 – 2 | W | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 25 Apr 2026 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Tottenham Hotspur |
0 – 1 | W | Molineux Stadium |
| Premier League | 18 Apr 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur vs  Brighton & Hove Albion |
2 – 2 | D | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| Premier League | 12 Apr 2026 | Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur |
1 – 0 | L | Stadium of Light |
| Premier League | 22 Mar 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest |
0 – 3 | L | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
Team News & Injury Report
Aston Villa
- Amadou Onana (Calf Problems)
Tottenham Hotspur
- Dominic Solanke (Muscle Injury)
- Xavi Simons (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Emiliano Martínez (Goalkeeper), Ian Maatsen (Defender), Matty Cash (Defender), Tyrone Mings (Defender), Victor Lindelöf (Defender), Jadon Sancho (Midfielder), Lamare Bogarde (Midfielder), Morgan Rogers (Midfielder), Ross Barkley (Midfielder), Youri Tielemans (Midfielder), Tammy Abraham (Attacker)
Aston Villa’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base with two deeper midfielders protecting the back four and helping them stay compact without the ball. With Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers and Ross Barkley supporting Tammy Abraham, they should have enough central and wide support to build attacks from midfield.
Tottenham Hotspur (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Antonín Kinský (Goalkeeper), Destiny Udogie (Defender), Kevin Danso (Defender), Micky van de Ven (Defender), Pedro Porro (Defender), Conor Gallagher (Midfielder), João Palhinha (Midfielder), Mathys Tel (Midfielder), Randal Kolo Muani (Midfielder), Rodrigo Bentancur (Midfielder), Richarlison (Attacker)
Tottenham Hotspur’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them balance through the middle, with João Palhinha and Rodrigo Bentancur providing cover and circulation behind the attacking line. That shape also leaves Richarlison with support from runners around him, which can help Tottenham break quickly if they win the ball in good areas.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Aston Villa | Tottenham Hotspur | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Tottenham Hotspur | Tammy Abraham will look to test Destiny Udogie by holding the ball up and attacking the space in front of Tottenham’s left side. |
| Aston Villa | Tottenham Hotspur | Jadon Sancho against Conor Gallagher could be important because Villa will want Sancho to find pockets between the lines and carry the ball forward. |
| Aston Villa | Tottenham Hotspur | Tammy Abraham is key for Aston Villa because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the player most likely to finish the chances Villa create. |
| Aston Villa | Tottenham Hotspur | Richarlison is key for Tottenham Hotspur because he leads the line in the predicted XI and gives them their clearest route to turning possession into shots. |
FAQs
For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.
Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
