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AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 19:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City
Competition Premier League
Date Tuesday, 19 May 2026
Kick-off 19:30 BST
Venue Vitality Stadium

Match Prediction: AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

AFC Bournemouth25.16%
Manchester City50.78%
Draw24.06%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes55.39%
No44.61%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes54.02%
No45.98%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 02 Nov 2025 9Manchester City vs 52AFC Bournemouth 3 – 1 Etihad Stadium
Premier League 20 May 2025 9Manchester City vs 52AFC Bournemouth 3 – 1 Etihad Stadium
Premier League 02 Nov 2024 52AFC Bournemouth vs 9Manchester City 2 – 1 Vitality Stadium
Premier League 24 Feb 2024 52AFC Bournemouth vs 9Manchester City 0 – 1 Vitality Stadium
Premier League 04 Nov 2023 9Manchester City vs 52AFC Bournemouth 6 – 1 Etihad Stadium

AFC Bournemouth come into this with a strong recent league run, but the head-to-head record still leans towards Manchester City, who have won three of the last five meetings. Bournemouth’s 4-2-3-1 should help them stay compact and look to break quickly through Evanilson, especially with home advantage at the Vitality Stadium. City’s recent results show they are still producing goals, and their 4-2-2-2 gives them enough attacking options to control territory and create chances between the lines.

This looks like a game where Bournemouth can compete for spells, particularly if they keep their shape and make the most of transitions. City’s recent form and the historical edge in this fixture suggest they may have enough quality to edge it, even if Bournemouth make them work for long periods. A narrow away win fits the data better than a comfortable one, given Bournemouth’s own run of wins and the fact they have already beaten City in recent head-to-head meetings.

Form Guide & Team Overview

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth arrive in good league form, with four wins and one draw from their last five Premier League matches. That run includes away wins at Fulham, Newcastle United and Arsenal, plus a 3-0 home win over Crystal Palace, which points to a side that has been getting results both home and away.

The only slip in that sequence was a 2-2 draw with Leeds United at home. Overall, the recent results suggest Bournemouth have been hard to beat and have been scoring enough to stay competitive in most games.

AFC Bournemouth Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 9 May 2026 11Fulham vs 52AFC Bournemouth 0 – 1 W Craven Cottage
Premier League 3 May 2026 52AFC Bournemouth vs 51Crystal Palace 3 – 0 W Vitality Stadium
Premier League 22 Apr 2026 52AFC Bournemouth vs 71Leeds United 2 – 2 D Vitality Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 20Newcastle United vs 52AFC Bournemouth 1 – 2 W St. James' Park
Premier League 11 Apr 2026 19Arsenal vs 52AFC Bournemouth 1 – 2 W Emirates Stadium

Manchester City

Manchester City’s recent league form is also strong, with four wins and one draw from their last five. They have kept clean sheets in wins over Crystal Palace, Brentford and Burnley, while the 3-3 draw at Everton shows they can still be involved in higher-scoring games.

Across all competitions, City have also beaten Southampton in the FA Cup, which adds to the sense of momentum. The recent results point to a team that is still collecting points consistently and carrying a clear attacking threat.

Manchester City Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 13 May 2026 9Manchester City vs 51Crystal Palace 3 – 0 W Etihad Stadium
Premier League 9 May 2026 9Manchester City vs 236Brentford 3 – 0 W Etihad Stadium
Premier League 4 May 2026 13Everton vs 9Manchester City 3 – 3 D Hill Dickinson Stadium
Premier League 22 Apr 2026 27Burnley vs 9Manchester City 0 – 1 W Turf Moor
Premier League 19 Apr 2026 9Manchester City vs 19Arsenal 2 – 1 W Etihad Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

AFC Bournemouth

  • Álex Jiménez (Suspended)

Manchester City

  • Abdukodir Khusanov (Knock)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

AFC Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Djordje Petrovic (Goalkeeper), Adam Smith (Defender), Adrien Truffert (Defender), James Hill (Defender), Marcos Senesi (Defender), Alex Scott (Midfielder), Eli Kroupi (Midfielder), Marcus Tavernier (Midfielder), Rayan (Midfielder), Ryan Christie (Midfielder), Evanilson (Attacker)

AFC Bournemouth’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base in midfield, with the two deeper players helping protect the back four and support the press. That shape also leaves room for quick service into Evanilson and the wide midfielders when Bournemouth win the ball back.

Manchester City (4-2-2-2)

Predicted lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma (Goalkeeper), TBC (Defender), Josko Gvardiol (Defender), Marc Guéhi (Defender), Matheus Nunes (Defender), Bernardo Silva (Midfielder), Phil Foden (Midfielder), Rayan Aït-Nouri (Midfielder), Savinho (Midfielder), Antoine Semenyo (Attacker), Omar Marmoush (Attacker)

Manchester City’s predicted 4-2-2-2 should allow them to keep central control and create overloads in advanced areas. With two forwards and support from the attacking midfielders, they can stretch Bournemouth’s defensive line and look to play through the middle.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

AFC Bournemouth Manchester City Key Battle Overview
AFC Bournemouth Manchester City Evanilson against Josko Gvardiol could be decisive if Bournemouth want to turn limited possession into clear chances.
AFC Bournemouth Manchester City Alex Scott against Bernardo Silva is a key midfield duel because both can influence how quickly their side moves the ball forward.
AFC Bournemouth Manchester City Evanilson is key for AFC Bournemouth because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the player most likely to finish their best openings.
AFC Bournemouth Manchester City Antoine Semenyo is key for Manchester City because he offers an extra attacking outlet and adds another direct threat in the final third.

FAQs

How to watch AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City

Fans in the UK are able to watch AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 19:30 BST on Tuesday, 19 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester City in this match.

Can you bet on AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.72%
No 70.28%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 61.63%
No 38.37%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.96%
No 91.04%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.94%
No 51.06%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.82%
No 72.18%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.39%
No 97.61%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.19%
No 82.81%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.32%
No 4.09%
Equal 4.59%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.35%
1-2 10.43%
0-1 9.70%
OTHER 2 8.95%
0-2 8.08%
2-1 6.79%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 84.23%
No 8.68%
Equal 7.09%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
AFC Bournemouth / AFC Bournemouth 14.31%
AFC Bournemouth / Manchester City 3.83%
AFC Bournemouth / Draw 5.40%
Manchester City / AFC Bournemouth 1.86%
Manchester City / Manchester City 31.62%
Manchester City / Draw 4.86%
Draw / Draw 13.37%
Draw / AFC Bournemouth 8.65%
Draw / Manchester City 16.10%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
AFC Bournemouth 23.40%
Manchester City 38.68%
Draw 37.91%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / AFC Bournemouth 49.22%
Draw / Manchester City 74.84%
AFC Bournemouth / Manchester City 75.94%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.12%
No 22.88%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.34%
No 36.58%
Equal 12.07%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.11%
No 90.89%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
AFC Bournemouth 36.30%
Manchester City 57.18%
Draw 6.52%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 78.82%
No 21.18%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 63.42%
No 25.28%
Equal 11.30%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.13%
No 60.39%
Equal 10.48%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.64%
No 76.36%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.91%
No 1.59%
Equal 2.51%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.72%
No 15.77%
Equal 9.51%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.61%
No 48.66%
Equal 11.73%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.61%
No 60.39%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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