Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
Competition Bundesliga
Date Sunday, 10 May 2026
Kick-off 14:30 BST
Venue Volksparkstadion

Match Prediction: Hamburger SV 1-1 SC Freiburg

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Hamburger SV39.42%
SC Freiburg35.03%
Draw25.55%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes57.29%
No42.71%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes53.41%
No46.59%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Bundesliga 10 Jan 2026 3543SC Freiburg vs 2708Hamburger SV 2 – 1 Europa-Park Stadion
Bundesliga 21 Apr 2018 2708Hamburger SV vs 3543SC Freiburg 1 – 0 Volksparkstadion
Bundesliga 01 Dec 2017 3543SC Freiburg vs 2708Hamburger SV 0 – 0 Europa-Park Stadion
Bundesliga 18 Feb 2017 2708Hamburger SV vs 3543SC Freiburg 2 – 2 Imtech Arena
Bundesliga 20 Sep 2016 3543SC Freiburg vs 2708Hamburger SV 1 – 0 Europa-Park Stadion

Hamburger SV come into this with one win in their last five league matches, and that 2-1 success at Eintracht Frankfurt is the clearest sign they can still hurt a side away from home. Even so, the run also includes three defeats and a 1-1 draw, so consistency has been a problem and they have been conceding too often. SC Freiburg have been a bit steadier, with two wins, a draw and two losses in their last five league games, although the 0-4 defeat at Borussia Dortmund shows they can be exposed on the road.

With no xG data available, the recent scorelines and lineups are the best guide, and they point towards Freiburg having the more reliable structure. Hamburger SV’s attacking options should give them a chance, especially with Fábio Vieira involved, but Freiburg’s shape and recent results suggest they can control spells of the game. Match Prediction: Hamburger SV 1-2 SC Freiburg

Form Guide & Team Overview

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV’s recent league form has been patchy, with one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five matches. The 2-1 win at Eintracht Frankfurt stands out, but it sits alongside home and away losses to TSG Hoffenheim, Werder Bremen and VfB Stuttgart.

The main concern is that they have been conceding regularly, including four at Stuttgart and two at home to Hoffenheim. They have also only scored more than once in the Frankfurt win, so they have not been producing enough at either end to look fully settled.

Hamburger SV Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Bundesliga 2 May 2026 366Eintracht Frankfurt vs 2708Hamburger SV 1 – 2 W Deutsche Bank Park
Bundesliga 25 Apr 2026 2708Hamburger SV vs 2726TSG Hoffenheim 1 – 2 L Volksparkstadion
Bundesliga 18 Apr 2026 82Werder Bremen vs 2708Hamburger SV 3 – 1 L Wohninvest Weserstadion
Bundesliga 12 Apr 2026 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 2708Hamburger SV 4 – 0 L MHPArena
Bundesliga 4 Apr 2026 2708Hamburger SV vs 90FC Augsburg 1 – 1 D Volksparkstadion

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg’s league form is a little more balanced, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. They beat Heidenheim and FSV Mainz 05, drew with VfL Wolfsburg, and lost heavily at Borussia Dortmund.

That said, the 2-3 home defeat to FC Bayern München shows they can be involved in open games, while the 0-4 loss in Dortmund is a reminder that away matches can still get away from them. Overall, though, they have been the more stable side of the two based on the recent results provided.

SC Freiburg Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Bundesliga 3 May 2026 3543SC Freiburg vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 1 – 1 D Europa-Park Stadion
Bundesliga 26 Apr 2026 68Borussia Dortmund vs 3543SC Freiburg 4 – 0 L Signal Iduna Park
Bundesliga 19 Apr 2026 3543SC Freiburg vs 2831Heidenheim 2 – 1 W Europa-Park Stadion
Bundesliga 12 Apr 2026 794FSV Mainz 05 vs 3543SC Freiburg 0 – 1 W Mewa Arena
Bundesliga 4 Apr 2026 3543SC Freiburg vs 503FC Bayern München 2 – 3 L Europa-Park Stadion

Team News & Injury Report

Hamburger SV

  • Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit (Ankle Injury)
  • William Mikelbrencis (Adductor Pain)

SC Freiburg

  • Yuito Suzuki (Broken Collarbone)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Hamburger SV (3-4-3)

Predicted lineup: Daniel Heuer Fernandes (Goalkeeper), Jordan Torunarigha (Defender), Nicolás Capaldo (Defender), Warmed Omari (Defender), Albert Grønbæk (Midfielder), Albert Sambi Lokonga (Midfielder), Bakery Jatta (Midfielder), Nicolai Remberg (Midfielder), Fábio Vieira (Attacker), Ransford Königsdörffer (Attacker), Robert Glatzel (Attacker)

Hamburger SV’s predicted 3-4-3 should give them width and enough bodies around the front line to support Robert Glatzel. With Fábio Vieira and Albert Grønbæk in advanced roles, they can try to link midfield and attack quickly when they win the ball.

SC Freiburg (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Noah Atubolu (Goalkeeper), Bruno Ogbus (Defender), Christian Günter (Defender), Matthias Ginter (Defender), Philipp Treu (Defender), Johan Manzambi (Midfielder), Maximilian Eggestein (Midfielder), Niklas Beste (Midfielder), Vincenzo Grifo (Midfielder), TBC (Midfielder), Lucas Höler (Attacker)

SC Freiburg’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base with two central midfielders screening the defence. That should also allow Vincenzo Grifo and Lucas Höler to stay connected to the attack and make Freiburg more efficient in transition.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Hamburger SV SC Freiburg Text
Hamburger SV SC Freiburg Fábio Vieira against Bruno Ogbus could be decisive if Vieira finds space between the lines and forces Ogbus into uncomfortable defending.
Hamburger SV SC Freiburg Albert Grønbæk against Johan Manzambi is a useful midfield duel, with both players likely important to how each side links play.
Hamburger SV SC Freiburg Fábio Vieira is key for Hamburger SV because he offers the clearest route to chance creation in their attacking setup.
Hamburger SV SC Freiburg Lucas Höler is key for SC Freiburg because he leads the line in a system that needs a reliable outlet and a finishing threat.

FAQs

How to watch Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg

Fans in the UK are able to watch Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 14:30 BST on Sunday, 10 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Hamburger SV 1-1 SC Freiburg in this match.

Can you bet on Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.20%
No 62.80%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.76%
No 26.24%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.66%
No 66.34%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.97%
No 20.39%
Equal 10.64%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Hamburger SV 49.14%
SC Freiburg 44.63%
Draw 6.23%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.76%
No 23.24%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30.80%
No 69.19%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.69%
No 94.31%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.92%
No 83.08%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Hamburger SV 64.97%
Draw / SC Freiburg 60.58%
Hamburger SV / SC Freiburg 74.45%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.61%
No 11.94%
Equal 8.45%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.66%
No 55.11%
Equal 11.23%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41%
No 59%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.89%
No 42.98%
Equal 12.12%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Hamburger SV / Hamburger SV 23.30%
Hamburger SV / SC Freiburg 3.51%
Hamburger SV / Draw 5.50%
SC Freiburg / Hamburger SV 3.09%
SC Freiburg / SC Freiburg 17.64%
SC Freiburg / Draw 5.63%
Draw / Draw 14.94%
Draw / Hamburger SV 13.97%
Draw / SC Freiburg 12.40%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Hamburger SV 31.47%
SC Freiburg 26.87%
Draw 41.66%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.86%
No 83.14%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.94%
No 2.57%
Equal 3.49%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.06%
No 6.06%
Equal 5.87%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 57.02%
No 31.03%
Equal 11.95%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.07%
No 66.34%
Equal 9.59%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.71%
1-0 8.89%
2-1 8.80%
1-2 8.44%
0-1 8.13%
2-0 6.38%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.03%
No 29.97%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.79%
No 85.21%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.46%
No 95.54%

For the best Bundesliga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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