Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:30 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig |
|---|---|
| Competition | Bundesliga |
| Date | Saturday, 16 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 14:30 BST |
| Venue | Europa-Park Stadion |
Match Prediction: SC Freiburg 2-1 RB Leipzig
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 14 Jan 2026 |  RB Leipzig vs  SC Freiburg |
2 – 0 | Red Bull Arena |
| Bundesliga | 08 Mar 2025 | SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig |
0 – 0 | Europa-Park Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 26 Oct 2024 | RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg |
3 – 1 | Red Bull Arena |
| Bundesliga | 06 Apr 2024 | SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig |
1 – 4 | Europa-Park Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 12 Nov 2023 | RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg |
3 – 1 | Red Bull Arena |
SC Freiburg come into this with mixed recent league form, but they have shown they can still grind out results at home, which matters at the Europa-Park Stadion. RB Leipzig have been more consistent across their last five league games, although the 1-4 loss at Bayer 04 Leverkusen shows they are not immune to being opened up away from home.
With no xG data available, the clearest angle is the recent results and the head-to-head pattern, which has generally favoured RB Leipzig. Even so, Freiburg have enough in their home record and attacking options to make this competitive, and a narrow home win is a realistic betting view. Match Prediction: SC Freiburg 2-1 RB Leipzig
Form Guide & Team Overview
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg’s recent league form has been uneven, with one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five. The standout home result in that run was a 1-1 draw with VfL Wolfsburg, while they also beat Heidenheim 2-1 at home, so there is evidence they can compete on their own ground.
Their away results have been less convincing, including a 2-3 loss at Hamburger SV and a 0-4 defeat at Borussia Dortmund. That mix suggests Freiburg have been more reliable when they can control the game at home, but they have not been able to string together a long run of positive results.
SC Freiburg Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 10 May 2026 |  Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg |
3 – 2 | L | Volksparkstadion |
| Bundesliga | 3 May 2026 | SC Freiburg vs  VfL Wolfsburg |
1 – 1 | D | Europa-Park Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 26 Apr 2026 |  Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg |
4 – 0 | L | Signal Iduna Park |
| Bundesliga | 19 Apr 2026 | SC Freiburg vs  Heidenheim |
2 – 1 | W | Europa-Park Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 12 Apr 2026 |  FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg |
0 – 1 | W | Mewa Arena |
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig’s recent league form is stronger overall, with four wins from their last five. They have beaten St. Pauli 2-1, FC Union Berlin 3-1, Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0, which points to a side that has been finding ways to win regularly.
The one setback in that sequence was a 1-4 defeat away to Bayer 04 Leverkusen, so there is a clear note of caution on their travels. Even so, the overall numbers still show a team arriving with more momentum than Freiburg.
RB Leipzig Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 9 May 2026 | RB Leipzig vs  St. Pauli |
2 – 1 | W | Red Bull Arena |
| Bundesliga | 2 May 2026 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig |
4 – 1 | L | BayArena |
| Bundesliga | 24 Apr 2026 | RB Leipzig vs  FC Union Berlin |
3 – 1 | W | Red Bull Arena |
| Bundesliga | 18 Apr 2026 |  Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig |
1 – 3 | W | Deutsche Bank Park |
| Bundesliga | 11 Apr 2026 | RB Leipzig vs  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1 – 0 | W | Red Bull Arena |
Team News & Injury Report
SC Freiburg
- Yuito Suzuki (Broken Collarbone)
RB Leipzig
- Ayodele Thomas (Ankle Problems)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
SC Freiburg (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Noah Atubolu (Goalkeeper), Bruno Ogbus (Defender), Lukas Kübler (Defender), Matthias Ginter (Defender), Philipp Treu (Defender), Johan Manzambi (Midfielder), Lucas Höler (Midfielder), Maximilian Eggestein (Midfielder), Niklas Beste (Midfielder), Vincenzo Grifo (Midfielder), Igor Matanovic (Attacker)
SC Freiburg’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a compact base in midfield, with the two deeper players helping to protect the back four. That shape also leaves room for Vincenzo Grifo and Niklas Beste to support Igor Matanovic and create chances between the lines.
RB Leipzig (4-3-3)
Predicted lineup: Maarten Vandevoordt (Goalkeeper), Castello Lukeba (Defender), David Raum (Defender), Ridle Baku (Defender), Willi Orbán (Defender), Assan Ouédraogo (Midfielder), Christoph Baumgartner (Midfielder), Xaver Schlager (Midfielder), Brajan Gruda (Attacker), Rômulo (Attacker), Yan Diomande (Attacker)
RB Leipzig’s predicted 4-3-3 gives them a balanced structure, with three midfielders able to support both the press and the build-up. The front three should provide width and direct running, which can stretch Freiburg’s defensive shape if the visitors move the ball quickly.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig | Igor Matanovic against Castello Lukeba could be decisive because Freiburg will want their main forward to occupy the centre-backs and give them an outlet. |
| SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig | Johan Manzambi against Assan Ouédraogo is a key midfield duel, with both sides needing control in that area to dictate tempo. |
| SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig | Igor Matanovic is key for SC Freiburg because he is the central attacking reference in the predicted shape and the main player to finish moves. |
| SC Freiburg | RB Leipzig | Brajan Gruda is key for RB Leipzig because he offers attacking threat from the front line and can help turn possession into chances. |
FAQs
For the best Bundesliga outright predictions, explore our guide.
Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
