Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:30 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV |
|---|---|
| Competition | Bundesliga |
| Date | Saturday, 16 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 14:30 BST |
| Venue | BayArena |
Match Prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 Hamburger SV
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 04 Mar 2026 |  Hamburger SV vs  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
0 – 1 | Volksparkstadion |
| Bundesliga | 17 Feb 2018 | Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 – 2 | Volksparkstadion |
| Bundesliga | 24 Sep 2017 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV |
3 – 0 | BayArena |
| Bundesliga | 03 Feb 2017 | Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 – 0 | Imtech Arena |
| Bundesliga | 10 Sep 2016 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV |
3 – 1 | BayArena |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen come into this with the stronger recent league record and home wins over RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund in the mix, so they look the more reliable side on paper. Hamburger SV have taken two wins from their last five league matches, but the defeats to TSG Hoffenheim, Werder Bremen and VfB Stuttgart show they have been less consistent. With Leverkusen also winning the most recent head-to-head 1-0 away from home, the data points towards them having the edge again at BayArena.
Hamburger SV have shown they can score in tighter games, as seen in the 3-2 win over SC Freiburg and 2-1 win at Eintracht Frankfurt, so they should not be written off completely. Leverkusen’s recent results suggest they can be exposed at times, especially after the 1-3 loss to VfB Stuttgart and the 1-2 home defeat to FC Augsburg. Match Prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 Hamburger SV
Form Guide & Team Overview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s recent league form is mixed but still stronger than their visitors’, with three wins and two defeats across the last five. The standout results are the 4-1 home win over RB Leipzig and the 1-0 away win at Borussia Dortmund, which show they can handle strong opposition.
Their two losses in that run came against VfB Stuttgart and FC Augsburg, so there is some evidence of inconsistency. Even so, the overall pattern is still one of a side capable of producing enough to win this kind of fixture.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 9 May 2026 |  VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
3 – 1 | L | MHPArena |
| Bundesliga | 2 May 2026 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs  RB Leipzig |
4 – 1 | W | BayArena |
| Bundesliga | 25 Apr 2026 |  FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 – 2 | W | RheinEnergieStadion |
| Bundesliga | 18 Apr 2026 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs  FC Augsburg |
1 – 2 | L | BayArena |
| Bundesliga | 11 Apr 2026 |  Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
0 – 1 | W | Signal Iduna Park |
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV arrive with two wins and three defeats from their last five league matches, which points to a side that has been up and down. The wins over SC Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt show they can compete, but the losses to TSG Hoffenheim, Werder Bremen and VfB Stuttgart underline the gaps in their recent output.
The away form in that sequence is a concern, with defeats at Eintracht Frankfurt, Werder Bremen and VfB Stuttgart all coming in different ways. That makes their trip to BayArena a tougher ask, especially against a Leverkusen side that has already beaten them in the most recent head-to-head.
Hamburger SV Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 10 May 2026 | Hamburger SV vs  SC Freiburg |
3 – 2 | W | Volksparkstadion |
| Bundesliga | 2 May 2026 |  Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV |
1 – 2 | W | Deutsche Bank Park |
| Bundesliga | 25 Apr 2026 | Hamburger SV vs  TSG Hoffenheim |
1 – 2 | L | Volksparkstadion |
| Bundesliga | 18 Apr 2026 |  Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV |
3 – 1 | L | Wohninvest Weserstadion |
| Bundesliga | 12 Apr 2026 | VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV |
4 – 0 | L | MHPArena |
Team News & Injury Report
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Nathan Tella (Muscular problems)
Hamburger SV
- Robert Glatzel (Calf Injury)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (3-4-2-1)
Predicted lineup: Mark Flekken (Goalkeeper), Edmond Tapsoba (Defender), Jarell Quansah (Defender), Robert Andrich (Defender), Aleix García (Midfielder), Alejandro Grimaldo (Midfielder), Exequiel Palacios (Midfielder), Montrell Culbreath (Midfielder), Christian Kofane (Attacker), Ibrahim Maza (Attacker), Patrik Schick (Attacker)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s 3-4-2-1 should give them a solid base in central areas while still allowing the two attacking midfielders to support the front line. With Alejandro Grimaldo and Aleix García in the middle of the shape, they should be able to control possession and feed Christian Kofane and the other attackers.
Hamburger SV (3-4-2-1)
Predicted lineup: Daniel Heuer Fernandes (Goalkeeper), Luka Vuskovic (Defender), Nicolás Capaldo (Defender), Warmed Omari (Defender), Albert Grønbæk (Midfielder), Albert Sambi Lokonga (Midfielder), Bakery Jatta (Midfielder), Nicolai Remberg (Midfielder), Fábio Vieira (Attacker), Otto Stange (Attacker), Ransford Königsdörffer (Attacker)
Hamburger SV’s 3-4-2-1 gives them a compact structure with enough numbers in midfield to stay connected and break forward when possible. The key for them will be using Fábio Vieira and the other advanced players to link play quickly and make the most of any transitions.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Hamburger SV | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Hamburger SV | Christian Kofane against Luka Vuskovic looks important because Leverkusen will want their forward to pin the back line and create space in the final third. |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Hamburger SV | Aleix García against Albert Grønbæk should shape midfield control, with both players likely central to how each side moves the ball. |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Hamburger SV | Christian Kofane is key for Bayer 04 Leverkusen because he gives them a direct attacking option in a 3-4-2-1 that has already produced goals in recent wins. |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Hamburger SV | Fábio Vieira is key for Hamburger SV because he is one of the main attacking outlets in their predicted shape and will be needed to turn possession into chances. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
