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Bundesliga Match Week 16 May 2026 to 22 May 2026 Predictions: Best Odds and Match Previews

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
32 Min Read

First published: This round-up has been created from the Detailed Match Review posts. It will be updated 2 days before kick-off with any other important updates.

This Bundesliga round-up brings together the key fixtures for Match Week 16 May 2026 to 22 May 2026, with a quick predictions table, predicted lineups, best odds and short match-by-match previews in one place.

Quick Predictions Table

Match Kick-off Predicted score Detailed Match Review
Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST 1-2 Read review
FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST 1-2 Read review
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST 2-1 Read review
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST 1-2 Read review
Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST 1-2 Read review
FC Bayern München vs FC Köln Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST 1-0 Read review
St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST 0-1 Read review
SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST 2-1 Read review
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST 1-2 Read review

Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05

Kick-off: Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST

Prediction
Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 1-2

Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 Best Odds

Heidenheim To Win
1.90
Implied probability: 52.63%
Draw
4.50
Implied probability: 22.22%
FSV Mainz 05 To Win
3.20
Implied probability: 31.25%

Short form guide

Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 reads as one of the more finely balanced games in the round-up, with the draw percentage making a level match realistic. The prediction should therefore be viewed alongside the tactical setup rather than as a simple favourite-versus-outsider call. The score prediction is 1-2.

The probability split around goals keeps the match interesting from an attacking point of view: Both Teams to Score: Yes 57.87%, No 42.13% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 54.19%, Under 45.81%. That makes the first goal important, because it could force the other side to take more risks.

Recent results

Heidenheim last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 10/05/26 3320Köln vs 2831Heidenheim 1 – 3
Bundesliga 02/05/26 503Bayern München vs 2831Heidenheim 3 – 3
Bundesliga 25/04/26 2831Heidenheim vs 353St. Pauli 2 – 0
FSV Mainz 05 last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 10/05/26 794FSV Mainz 05 vs 1079Union Berlin 1 – 3
Bundesliga 03/05/26 353St. Pauli vs 794FSV Mainz 05 1 – 2
Bundesliga 25/04/26 794FSV Mainz 05 vs 503Bayern München 3 – 4
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 13/01/26 794FSV Mainz 05 vs 2831Heidenheim 2 – 1
Bundesliga 16/02/25 2831Heidenheim vs 794FSV Mainz 05 0 – 2
Bundesliga 28/09/24 794FSV Mainz 05 vs 2831Heidenheim 0 – 2

Predicted lineups

Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

Heidenheim FSV Mainz 05 Key Battle Overview
Heidenheim FSV Mainz 05 Budu Zivzivadze against Danny da Costa could be important because Heidenheim will want their main forward to pin Mainz’s right-sided defender and create space in the box.
Heidenheim FSV Mainz 05 Arijon Ibrahimovic against Anthony Caci is a useful midfield-to-wide battle, with Heidenheim needing Ibrahimovic to link play and help them progress into attacking areas.
Heidenheim FSV Mainz 05 Budu Zivzivadze is key for Heidenheim because the recent lineups show him as a regular attacking outlet, and Heidenheim’s best results have come when they have been able to score more than once.
Heidenheim FSV Mainz 05 Phillip Tietz is key for FSV Mainz 05 because Mainz have been creating enough to score in several recent matches, and he is one of the main finishing options in their 3-5-2 shape.

Read the full match preview

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FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg

Kick-off: Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST

Prediction
FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg 1-2

FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg Best Odds

FC Union Berlin To Win
2.55
Implied probability: 39.22%
Draw
3.75
Implied probability: 26.67%
FC Augsburg To Win
2.45
Implied probability: 40.82%

Short form guide

The full-time probabilities keep FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg firmly in the competitive category, especially with the draw sitting at 26.45%. This is the type of match where control of territory and the first major chance could shape the rest of the afternoon. The score prediction is 1-2.

The data does not point towards a wide-open shootout. With Both Teams to Score: Yes 53.81%, No 46.19% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 49.55%, Under 50.45%, both teams may have to build pressure carefully rather than expect constant clear chances.

Recent results

FC Union Berlin last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 10/05/26 794FSV Mainz 05 vs 1079Union Berlin 1 – 3
Bundesliga 02/05/26 1079Union Berlin vs 3320Köln 2 – 2
Bundesliga 24/04/26 277RB Leipzig vs 1079Union Berlin 3 – 1
FC Augsburg last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 09/05/26 90Augsburg vs 683Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 – 1
Bundesliga 02/05/26 82Werder Bremen vs 90Augsburg 1 – 3
Bundesliga 25/04/26 90Augsburg vs 366Eintracht Frankfurt 1 – 1
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 15/01/26 90Augsburg vs 1079Union Berlin 1 – 1
Bundesliga 17/05/25 90Augsburg vs 1079Union Berlin 1 – 2
Bundesliga 15/01/25 1079Union Berlin vs 90Augsburg 0 – 2

Predicted lineups

FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg Key Battle Overview
FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg Andrej Ilic will need to find space against Chrislain Matsima, and that duel could decide whether Union can turn possession into clear chances.
FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg Aljoscha Kemlein’s work in midfield will be important against Dimitrios Giannoulis, especially if Union need to stop Augsburg building down the left.
FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg Andrej Ilic is key for FC Union Berlin because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the side will need him to finish moves.
FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg Anton Kade is key for FC Augsburg because he has been included in both recent line-ups and the predicted XI, showing he is trusted in the attacking structure.

Read the full match preview

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV

Kick-off: Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST

Prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV 2-1

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Best Odds

Bayer 04 Leverkusen To Win
1.27
Implied probability: 78.74%
Draw
6.00
Implied probability: 16.67%
Hamburger SV To Win
8.50
Implied probability: 11.76%

Short form guide

The result market leans towards Bayer 04 Leverkusen, who are rated at 57.90% in the full-time probabilities. Hamburger SV are not out of the picture, but they may need a sharper start and better efficiency in the final third to shift the match away from that forecast. The score prediction is 2-1.

The Both Teams to Score number is one of the stronger signals in the preview, especially with Both Teams to Score: Yes 57.70%, No 42.30% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 60.46%, Under 39.54%. If both teams commit players forward early, the game could become more open than the score prediction first suggests.

Recent results

Bayer 04 Leverkusen last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 09/05/26 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 – 1
Bundesliga 02/05/26 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 277RB Leipzig 4 – 1
Bundesliga 25/04/26 3320Köln vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 – 2
Hamburger SV last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 10/05/26 2708Hamburger SV vs 3543Freiburg 3 – 2
Bundesliga 02/05/26 366Eintracht Frankfurt vs 2708Hamburger SV 1 – 2
Bundesliga 25/04/26 2708Hamburger SV vs 2726TSG Hoffenheim 1 – 2
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 04/03/26 2708Hamburger SV vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 – 1
Bundesliga 17/02/18 2708Hamburger SV vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 – 2
Bundesliga 24/09/17 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 2708Hamburger SV 3 – 0

Predicted lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Hamburger SV Key Battle Overview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Hamburger SV Christian Kofane against Luka Vuskovic looks important because Leverkusen will want their forward to pin the back line and create space in the final third.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Hamburger SV Aleix García against Albert Grønbæk should shape midfield control, with both players likely central to how each side moves the ball.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Hamburger SV Christian Kofane is key for Bayer 04 Leverkusen because he gives them a direct attacking option in a 3-4-2-1 that has already produced goals in recent wins.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Hamburger SV Fábio Vieira is key for Hamburger SV because he is one of the main attacking outlets in their predicted shape and will be needed to turn possession into chances.

Read the full match preview

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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim

Kick-off: Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST

Prediction
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim 1-2

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim Best Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach To Win
4.00
Implied probability: 25%
Draw
4.50
Implied probability: 22.22%
TSG Hoffenheim To Win
1.65
Implied probability: 60.61%

Short form guide

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim has a balanced result profile, with the draw probability at 25.08%. That makes the predicted scoreline important, because the numbers suggest a fixture where neither side is expected to run away with the match. The score prediction is 1-2.

The goals profile gives the fixture attacking appeal, with Both Teams to Score: Yes 56.82%, No 43.18% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 54.99%, Under 45.01%. That suggests both teams have enough route to goal to make defensive concentration as important as finishing quality.

Recent results

Borussia Mönchengladbach last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 09/05/26 90Augsburg vs 683Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 – 1
Bundesliga 03/05/26 683Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 68Borussia Dortmund 1 – 0
Bundesliga 25/04/26 510VfL Wolfsburg vs 683Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 – 0
TSG Hoffenheim last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 09/05/26 2726TSG Hoffenheim vs 82Werder Bremen 1 – 0
Bundesliga 02/05/26 2726TSG Hoffenheim vs 3319VfB Stuttgart 3 – 3
Bundesliga 25/04/26 2708Hamburger SV vs 2726TSG Hoffenheim 1 – 2
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 14/01/26 2726TSG Hoffenheim vs 683Borussia Mönchengladbach 5 – 1
Bundesliga 03/05/25 683Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 2726TSG Hoffenheim 4 – 4
Bundesliga 21/12/24 2726TSG Hoffenheim vs 683Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 – 2

Predicted lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

Borussia Mönchengladbach TSG Hoffenheim Key Battle Overview
Borussia Mönchengladbach TSG Hoffenheim Franck Honorat’s direct running against Albian Hajdari could be important if Gladbach want to stretch Hoffenheim on the right side.
Borussia Mönchengladbach TSG Hoffenheim Kevin Stöger and Andrej Kramaric both sit in key creative roles, so whichever one gets more time on the ball may shape the tempo.
Borussia Mönchengladbach TSG Hoffenheim Franck Honorat is key for Borussia Mönchengladbach because his width and attacking output can give them their best route into the final third.
Borussia Mönchengladbach TSG Hoffenheim Tim Lemperle is key for TSG Hoffenheim because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted 4-2-3-1 and gives them a focal point in the box.

Read the full match preview

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Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart

Kick-off: Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST

Prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart 1-2

Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart Best Odds

Eintracht Frankfurt To Win
3.50
Implied probability: 28.57%
Draw
4.20
Implied probability: 23.81%
VfB Stuttgart To Win
1.85
Implied probability: 54.05%

Short form guide

VfB Stuttgart shade the result forecast at 46.18%, but Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart still looks competitive. That points towards a match where game state matters, especially if the first goal changes how open the second half becomes. The score prediction is 1-2.

The probability split around goals keeps the match interesting from an attacking point of view: Both Teams to Score: Yes 67.63%, No 32.37% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 68.23%, Under 31.77%. That makes the first goal important, because it could force the other side to take more risks.

Recent results

Eintracht Frankfurt last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 08/05/26 68Borussia Dortmund vs 366Eintracht Frankfurt 3 – 2
Bundesliga 02/05/26 366Eintracht Frankfurt vs 2708Hamburger SV 1 – 2
Bundesliga 25/04/26 90Augsburg vs 366Eintracht Frankfurt 1 – 1
VfB Stuttgart last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 09/05/26 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 – 1
Bundesliga 02/05/26 2726TSG Hoffenheim vs 3319VfB Stuttgart 3 – 3
Bundesliga 26/04/26 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 82Werder Bremen 1 – 1
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 13/01/26 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 366Eintracht Frankfurt 3 – 2
Bundesliga 29/03/25 366Eintracht Frankfurt vs 3319VfB Stuttgart 1 – 0
Bundesliga 10/11/24 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 366Eintracht Frankfurt 2 – 3

Predicted lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

Eintracht Frankfurt VfB Stuttgart Key Battle Overview
Eintracht Frankfurt VfB Stuttgart Arnaud Kalimuendo against Jeff Chabot could be decisive if Frankfurt can get their striker into central scoring positions against Stuttgart’s defensive structure.
Eintracht Frankfurt VfB Stuttgart Can Uzun against Angelo Stiller is a key midfield duel because control in that area should shape how much possession Frankfurt can build.
Eintracht Frankfurt VfB Stuttgart Arnaud Kalimuendo is key for Eintracht Frankfurt because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the player most likely to finish chances.
Eintracht Frankfurt VfB Stuttgart Deniz Undav is key for VfB Stuttgart because he has been part of their recent scoring output and gives them a direct threat in the final third.

Read the full match preview

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FC Bayern München vs FC Köln

Kick-off: Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST

Prediction
FC Bayern München vs FC Köln 1-0

FC Bayern München vs FC Köln Best Odds

FC Bayern München To Win
1.14
Implied probability: 87.57%
Draw
9.00
Implied probability: 11.11%
FC Köln To Win
12.00
Implied probability: 8.33%

Short form guide

FC Bayern München vs FC Köln carries a stronger statistical case for FC Bayern München, with the win probability giving them a clear advantage before kick-off. The underdog route is likely to depend on defensive control, set pieces and taking chances when the match opens up. The score prediction is 1-0.

There is enough attacking expectation in the numbers to make this more than a simple low-block battle. The key figures are Both Teams to Score: Yes 49.25%, No 50.75% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 61.55%, Under 38.45%, which point towards chances being available if the tempo rises.

Recent results

FC Bayern München last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 09/05/26 510VfL Wolfsburg vs 503Bayern München 0 – 1
Bundesliga 02/05/26 503Bayern München vs 2831Heidenheim 3 – 3
Bundesliga 25/04/26 794FSV Mainz 05 vs 503Bayern München 3 – 4
FC Köln last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 10/05/26 3320Köln vs 2831Heidenheim 1 – 3
Bundesliga 02/05/26 1079Union Berlin vs 3320Köln 2 – 2
Bundesliga 25/04/26 3320Köln vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 – 2
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 14/01/26 3320Köln vs 503Bayern München 1 – 3
Bundesliga 13/04/24 503Bayern München vs 3320Köln 2 – 0
Bundesliga 24/11/23 3320Köln vs 503Bayern München 0 – 1

Predicted lineups

FC Bayern München vs FC Köln predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

FC Bayern München FC Köln Key Battle Overview
FC Bayern München FC Köln Harry Kane against Cenk Özkacar is a key duel because Bayern’s main scorer will look to find space against Köln’s defensive line.
FC Bayern München FC Köln Jamal Musiala against Jakub Kamiński could shape the midfield battle, with both players important to their side’s attacking transitions.
FC Bayern München FC Köln Harry Kane is key for FC Bayern München because the predicted shape is built to feed him in advanced areas and he is central to their goal threat.
FC Bayern München FC Köln Marius Bülter is key for FC Köln because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted line-up and gives them their clearest route to goal.

Read the full match preview

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St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg

Kick-off: Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST

Prediction
St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg 0-1

St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Best Odds

St. Pauli To Win
2.75
Implied probability: 36.36%
Draw
3.70
Implied probability: 27.03%
VfL Wolfsburg To Win
2.30
Implied probability: 43.48%

Short form guide

St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg reads as one of the more finely balanced games in the round-up, with the draw percentage making a level match realistic. The prediction should therefore be viewed alongside the tactical setup rather than as a simple favourite-versus-outsider call. The score prediction is 0-1.

The attacking outlook is measured rather than aggressive, with Both Teams to Score: Yes 52.31%, No 47.69% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 49.93%, Under 50.07%. That puts extra value on the first goal and on avoiding cheap turnovers in dangerous areas.

Recent results

St. Pauli last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 09/05/26 277RB Leipzig vs 353St. Pauli 2 – 1
Bundesliga 03/05/26 353St. Pauli vs 794FSV Mainz 05 1 – 2
Bundesliga 25/04/26 2831Heidenheim vs 353St. Pauli 2 – 0
VfL Wolfsburg last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 09/05/26 510VfL Wolfsburg vs 503Bayern München 0 – 1
Bundesliga 03/05/26 3543Freiburg vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 1 – 1
Bundesliga 25/04/26 510VfL Wolfsburg vs 683Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 – 0
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 14/01/26 510VfL Wolfsburg vs 353St. Pauli 2 – 1
Bundesliga 08/03/25 510VfL Wolfsburg vs 353St. Pauli 1 – 1
Bundesliga 26/10/24 353St. Pauli vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 0 – 0

Predicted lineups

St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

St. Pauli VfL Wolfsburg Key Battle Overview
St. Pauli VfL Wolfsburg Andréas Hountondji against Denis Vavro looks important because St. Pauli need a forward who can test Wolfsburg’s back line and make their attacks count.
St. Pauli VfL Wolfsburg Arkadiusz Pyrka against Christian Eriksen could shape the midfield battle, with Pyrka needing to limit Eriksen’s influence between the lines.
St. Pauli VfL Wolfsburg Andréas Hountondji is key for St. Pauli because he is one of the main attacking outlets in the predicted shape and St. Pauli have been short of goals in recent league games.
St. Pauli VfL Wolfsburg Adam Daghim is key for VfL Wolfsburg because he has been part of their recent attacking set-up and could be the player most likely to decide a tight match.

Read the full match preview

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SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Kick-off: Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST

Prediction
SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig 2-1

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Best Odds

SC Freiburg To Win
2.70
Implied probability: 37.04%
Draw
3.75
Implied probability: 26.67%
RB Leipzig To Win
2.25
Implied probability: 44.44%

Short form guide

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig carries a stronger statistical case for SC Freiburg, with the win probability giving them a clear advantage before kick-off. The underdog route is likely to depend on defensive control, set pieces and taking chances when the match opens up. The score prediction is 2-1.

Chance creation at both ends is a major part of the match read, with Both Teams to Score: Yes 60.54%, No 39.46% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 60.48%, Under 39.52%. The more aggressive side in transition may be the one that turns that goals angle into control.

Recent results

SC Freiburg last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 10/05/26 2708Hamburger SV vs 3543Freiburg 3 – 2
Bundesliga 03/05/26 3543Freiburg vs 510VfL Wolfsburg 1 – 1
Bundesliga 26/04/26 68Borussia Dortmund vs 3543Freiburg 4 – 0
RB Leipzig last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 09/05/26 277RB Leipzig vs 353St. Pauli 2 – 1
Bundesliga 02/05/26 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 277RB Leipzig 4 – 1
Bundesliga 24/04/26 277RB Leipzig vs 1079Union Berlin 3 – 1
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 14/01/26 277RB Leipzig vs 3543Freiburg 2 – 0
Bundesliga 08/03/25 3543Freiburg vs 277RB Leipzig 0 – 0
Bundesliga 26/10/24 277RB Leipzig vs 3543Freiburg 3 – 1

Predicted lineups

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

SC Freiburg RB Leipzig Key Battle Overview
SC Freiburg RB Leipzig Igor Matanovic against Castello Lukeba could be decisive because Freiburg will want their main forward to occupy the centre-backs and give them an outlet.
SC Freiburg RB Leipzig Johan Manzambi against Assan Ouédraogo is a key midfield duel, with both sides needing control in that area to dictate tempo.
SC Freiburg RB Leipzig Igor Matanovic is key for SC Freiburg because he is the central attacking reference in the predicted shape and the main player to finish moves.
SC Freiburg RB Leipzig Brajan Gruda is key for RB Leipzig because he offers attacking threat from the front line and can help turn possession into chances.

Read the full match preview

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Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund

Kick-off: Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST

Prediction
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund 1-2

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Best Odds

Werder Bremen To Win
3.40
Implied probability: 29.41%
Draw
3.90
Implied probability: 25.64%
Borussia Dortmund To Win
1.95
Implied probability: 51.28%

Short form guide

Borussia Dortmund shade the result forecast at 44.48%, but Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund still looks competitive. That points towards a match where game state matters, especially if the first goal changes how open the second half becomes. The score prediction is 1-2.

The probability split around goals keeps the match interesting from an attacking point of view: Both Teams to Score: Yes 62.69%, No 37.31% and Total Goals Over/Under 2.5: Over 63.62%, Under 36.38%. That makes the first goal important, because it could force the other side to take more risks.

Recent results

Werder Bremen last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 09/05/26 2726TSG Hoffenheim vs 82Werder Bremen 1 – 0
Bundesliga 02/05/26 82Werder Bremen vs 90Augsburg 1 – 3
Bundesliga 26/04/26 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 82Werder Bremen 1 – 1
Borussia Dortmund last three recorded results from the match preview:
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 08/05/26 68Borussia Dortmund vs 366Eintracht Frankfurt 3 – 2
Bundesliga 03/05/26 683Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 68Borussia Dortmund 1 – 0
Bundesliga 26/04/26 68Borussia Dortmund vs 3543Freiburg 4 – 0
Recent head-to-head
League Date Team Score
Bundesliga 13/01/26 68Borussia Dortmund vs 82Werder Bremen 3 – 0
Bundesliga 25/01/25 68Borussia Dortmund vs 82Werder Bremen 2 – 2
Bundesliga 31/08/24 82Werder Bremen vs 68Borussia Dortmund 0 – 0

Predicted lineups

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund predicted lineups

Key battles to watch

Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund Key Battle Overview
Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund Salim Musah will need to work hard against Luca Reggiani, because Dortmund’s back three have been stable in recent lineups and can limit space if Bremen’s forward is isolated.
Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund Cameron Puertas against Jobe Bellingham is a key midfield duel, with both players likely important to how each side links defence to attack.
Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund Salim Musah is key for Werder Bremen because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted 4-1-4-1 and Bremen will need him to turn limited chances into shots.
Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund Julian Brandt is key for Borussia Dortmund because he has been part of the attacking structure in recent lineups and offers the link play needed to feed the front line.

Read the full match preview

Best Odds

Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05

Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST
bet365
Heidenheim To Win
1.90
Implied probability: 52.63%
Draw
4.50
Implied probability: 22.22%
FSV Mainz 05 To Win
3.20
Implied probability: 31.25%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-12 14:40:27

FC Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg

Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST
bet365
FC Union Berlin To Win
2.55
Implied probability: 39.22%
Draw
3.75
Implied probability: 26.67%
FC Augsburg To Win
2.45
Implied probability: 40.82%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-12 14:41:30

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV

Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST
bet365
Bayer 04 Leverkusen To Win
1.27
Implied probability: 78.74%
Draw
6.00
Implied probability: 16.67%
Hamburger SV To Win
8.50
Implied probability: 11.76%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-12 14:40:31

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim

Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST
bet365
Borussia Mönchengladbach To Win
4.00
Implied probability: 25%
Draw
4.50
Implied probability: 22.22%
TSG Hoffenheim To Win
1.65
Implied probability: 60.61%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-12 14:40:30

Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart

Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST
bet365
Eintracht Frankfurt To Win
3.50
Implied probability: 28.57%
Draw
4.20
Implied probability: 23.81%
VfB Stuttgart To Win
1.85
Implied probability: 54.05%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-12 14:41:05

FC Bayern München vs FC Köln

Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST
bet365
FC Bayern München To Win
1.14
Implied probability: 87.57%
Draw
9.00
Implied probability: 11.11%
FC Köln To Win
12.00
Implied probability: 8.33%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-12 14:40:31

St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg

Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST
bet365
St. Pauli To Win
2.75
Implied probability: 36.36%
Draw
3.70
Implied probability: 27.03%
VfL Wolfsburg To Win
2.30
Implied probability: 43.48%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-12 14:41:21

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST
bet365
SC Freiburg To Win
2.70
Implied probability: 37.04%
Draw
3.75
Implied probability: 26.67%
RB Leipzig To Win
2.25
Implied probability: 44.44%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-12 14:41:11

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund

Sat 16 May 2026 14:30 BST
bet365
Werder Bremen To Win
3.40
Implied probability: 29.41%
Draw
3.90
Implied probability: 25.64%
Borussia Dortmund To Win
1.95
Implied probability: 51.28%

Latest bookmaker update: 2026-05-12 14:41:01

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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