Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:30 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg |
|---|---|
| Competition | Bundesliga |
| Date | Saturday, 16 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 14:30 BST |
| Venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
Match Prediction: St. Pauli 0-1 VfL Wolfsburg
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 14 Jan 2026 |  VfL Wolfsburg vs  St. Pauli |
2 – 1 | Volkswagen Arena |
| Bundesliga | 08 Mar 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli |
1 – 1 | Volkswagen Arena |
| Bundesliga | 26 Oct 2024 | St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg |
0 – 0 | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 16 Apr 2011 | VfL Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli |
2 – 2 | Volkswagen Arena |
| Bundesliga | 21 Nov 2010 | St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg |
1 – 1 | Millerntor-Stadion |
St. Pauli come into this with a run of five league games that has brought just one point, and the recent results suggest they have been finding it hard to keep opponents out. VfL Wolfsburg have also been mixed, but their away draw at SC Freiburg and win at FC Union Berlin show they can still pick up results on the road. With no xG data available, the clearest angle is that Wolfsburg have been the steadier side in the recent sample and may be better placed to edge a tight game.
A narrow away win fits the recent head-to-head pattern as well, with Wolfsburg unbeaten in the last five meetings and three of those finishing level. St. Pauli have conceded at least once in four of their last five league matches, while Wolfsburg have kept two clean sheets in their last five league games. That points towards a low-scoring contest where one moment could decide it, and Wolfsburg look the more reliable side to nick it.
Form Guide & Team Overview
St. Pauli
St. Pauli’s recent league form has been poor, with four defeats and one draw from their last five matches. They have lost 1-2 to RB Leipzig, 1-2 to FSV Mainz 05 and 0-2 to Heidenheim, while the only point came in a 1-1 draw with FC Köln.
The heavier defeat in that run was the 0-5 loss to FC Bayern München, which underlines how difficult they have found it against stronger opposition. Across the five-game sample, they have scored in three matches but have not managed to turn that into enough points.
St. Pauli Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 9 May 2026 |  RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli |
2 – 1 | L | Red Bull Arena |
| Bundesliga | 3 May 2026 | St. Pauli vs  FSV Mainz 05 |
1 – 2 | L | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 25 Apr 2026 |  Heidenheim vs St. Pauli |
2 – 0 | L | Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion |
| Bundesliga | 17 Apr 2026 | St. Pauli vs  FC Köln |
1 – 1 | D | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 11 Apr 2026 | St. Pauli vs  FC Bayern München |
0 – 5 | L | Millerntor-Stadion |
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg’s recent league form is more stable, even if it is not especially strong. They have one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five, with the win coming in a 2-1 away result against FC Union Berlin.
Their other recent league results include a 1-1 draw at SC Freiburg, a 0-0 draw with Borussia Mönchengladbach and a narrow 0-1 home loss to FC Bayern München. That suggests they have been competitive in tighter games and have generally been harder to beat than St. Pauli.
VfL Wolfsburg Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 9 May 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München |
0 – 1 | L | Volkswagen Arena |
| Bundesliga | 3 May 2026 |  SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg |
1 – 1 | D | Europa-Park Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 25 Apr 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg vs  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
0 – 0 | D | Volkswagen Arena |
| Bundesliga | 18 Apr 2026 |  FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg |
1 – 2 | W | Stadion An der Alten Försterei |
| Bundesliga | 11 Apr 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg vs  Eintracht Frankfurt |
1 – 2 | L | Volkswagen Arena |
Team News & Injury Report
St. Pauli
- David Nemeth (Ill)
VfL Wolfsburg
- Maximilian Arnold (Groin Problems)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
St. Pauli (3-5-2)
Predicted lineup: Nikola Vasilj (Goalkeeper), Eric Smith (Defender), Lars Ritzka (Defender), T. Ando (Defender), Arkadiusz Pyrka (Midfielder), Connor Metcalfe (Midfielder), Jackson Irvine (Midfielder), Joel Chima Fujita (Midfielder), Louis Oppie (Midfielder), Andréas Hountondji (Attacker), Martijn Kaars (Attacker)
St. Pauli’s predicted 3-5-2 gives them a compact base with wing-backs able to support both phases, which should help them stay organised without the ball. The two forwards can work off second balls and transitions, with Andréas Hountondji likely important if St. Pauli are to threaten in open play.
VfL Wolfsburg (3-5-2)
Predicted lineup: Kamil Grabara (Goalkeeper), Denis Vavro (Defender), Jeanuël Belocian (Defender), Konstantinos Koulierakis (Defender), Christian Eriksen (Midfielder), Joakim Maehle (Midfielder), Patrick Wimmer (Midfielder), Saël Kumbedi (Midfielder), Vinicius de Souza Costa (Midfielder), Adam Daghim (Attacker), Dzenan Pejcinovic (Attacker)
VfL Wolfsburg’s predicted 3-5-2 should give them similar structure, with a solid back three and midfield numbers to control central areas. Christian Eriksen can help link play from deeper positions, while the two attackers give them a straightforward route to goal if they can move the ball quickly.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| St. Pauli | VfL Wolfsburg | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli | VfL Wolfsburg | Andréas Hountondji against Denis Vavro looks important because St. Pauli need a forward who can test Wolfsburg’s back line and make their attacks count. |
| St. Pauli | VfL Wolfsburg | Arkadiusz Pyrka against Christian Eriksen could shape the midfield battle, with Pyrka needing to limit Eriksen’s influence between the lines. |
| St. Pauli | VfL Wolfsburg | Andréas Hountondji is key for St. Pauli because he is one of the main attacking outlets in the predicted shape and St. Pauli have been short of goals in recent league games. |
| St. Pauli | VfL Wolfsburg | Adam Daghim is key for VfL Wolfsburg because he has been part of their recent attacking set-up and could be the player most likely to decide a tight match. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
