West Ham United vs Leeds United: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for West Ham United vs Leeds United in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 16:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture West Ham United vs Leeds United
Competition Premier League
Date Sunday, 24 May 2026
Kick-off 16:00 BST
Venue London Stadium

Match Prediction: West Ham United 2-0 Leeds United

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

West Ham United37.27%
Leeds United34.46%
Draw28.27%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes48.96%
No51.04%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes45.47%
No54.53%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 24 Oct 2025 71Leeds United vs 1West Ham United 2 – 1 Elland Road
Premier League 21 May 2023 1West Ham United vs 71Leeds United 3 – 1 London Stadium
Premier League 04 Jan 2023 71Leeds United vs 1West Ham United 2 – 2 Elland Road
Premier League 16 Jan 2022 1West Ham United vs 71Leeds United 2 – 3 London Stadium
Premier League 25 Sep 2021 71Leeds United vs 1West Ham United 1 – 2 Elland Road

West Ham United come into this with the stronger recent home reference point, having beaten Everton 2-1 at the London Stadium in their last win. Leeds United have been more consistent in the league overall, but their away draw at Tottenham Hotspur and 2-2 at AFC Bournemouth show they can be made to work on the road. With no xG data available, the clearest angle is form and the fact West Ham have already shown they can edge a home game when they get their attacking players involved.

Leeds United have scored in four of their last five league matches, so they should not be written off, but West Ham’s recent results suggest a tighter, lower-scoring contest is more likely than a wide-open one. The head-to-head record is mixed, yet West Ham did win the most recent meeting at home in May 2023, which adds some support to the home side. Match Prediction: West Ham United 2-0 Leeds United

Form Guide & Team Overview

West Ham United

West Ham United’s recent league form has been patchy, with three straight defeats in their last three matches. Those losses came against Newcastle United, Arsenal and Brentford, and they were all by a single goal or more, which points to a side that has struggled to keep games under control.

Before that run, there was a 2-1 home win over Everton and a 0-0 draw away at Crystal Palace. That gives West Ham at least one recent home victory to lean on, but the overall picture is still one of limited momentum heading into Round 38.

West Ham United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 17 May 2026 20Newcastle United vs 1West Ham United 3 – 1 L St. James' Park
Premier League 10 May 2026 1West Ham United vs 19Arsenal 0 – 1 L London Stadium
Premier League 2 May 2026 236Brentford vs 1West Ham United 3 – 0 L Gtech Community Stadium
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 1West Ham United vs 13Everton 2 – 1 W London Stadium
Premier League 20 Apr 2026 51Crystal Palace vs 1West Ham United 0 – 0 D Selhurst Park

Leeds United

Leeds United arrive in better league form, with three wins and two draws in their last five Premier League matches. They have beaten Brighton & Hove Albion, Burnley and Wolverhampton Wanderers, while also drawing away at Tottenham Hotspur and AFC Bournemouth.

Across all competitions, the only defeat in the recent run was the 0-1 loss to Chelsea in the FA Cup. That suggests Leeds have been competitive and difficult to beat, even if the away draw at Bournemouth shows they can still be tested defensively.

Leeds United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 17 May 2026 71Leeds United vs 78Brighton & Hove Albion 1 – 0 W Elland Road
Premier League 11 May 2026 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 71Leeds United 1 – 1 D Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League 1 May 2026 71Leeds United vs 27Burnley 3 – 1 W Elland Road
Premier League 22 Apr 2026 52AFC Bournemouth vs 71Leeds United 2 – 2 D Vitality Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 71Leeds United vs 29Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 – 0 W Elland Road

Team News & Injury Report

West Ham United

  • Lukasz Fabianski  (Back Injury)

Leeds United

  • Ilia Gruev (Meniscus Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

West Ham United vs Leeds United predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

West Ham United (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Mads Hermansen (Goalkeeper), Axel Disasi (Defender), Jean-Clair Todibo (Defender), Konstantinos Mavropanos (Defender), Aaron Wan-Bissaka (Midfielder), El Hadji Malick Diouf (Midfielder), Mateus Fernandes (Midfielder), Tomáš Souček (Midfielder), Callum Wilson (Attacker), Crysencio Summerville (Attacker), Jarrod Bowen (Attacker)

West Ham United’s 3-4-2-1 should give them a solid base with three centre-backs and enough cover in midfield to keep Leeds from settling. It also leaves room for Callum Wilson, Crysencio Summerville and Jarrod Bowen to attack quickly in the spaces behind Leeds United’s back line.

Leeds United (3-5-2)

Predicted lineup: Karl Darlow (Goalkeeper), Jaka Bijol (Defender), Joe Rodon (Defender), Sebastiaan Bornauw (Defender), Anton Stach (Midfielder), Ao Tanaka (Midfielder), Daniel James (Midfielder), Ethan Ampadu (Midfielder), James Justin (Midfielder), Brenden Aaronson (Attacker), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Attacker)

Leeds United’s 3-5-2 should help them stay compact through the middle while still giving them width from the wing-back areas. With Brenden Aaronson and Dominic Calvert-Lewin up front, they have a shape that can support direct attacks if they can get the ball into advanced areas early.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

West Ham United Leeds United Key Battle Overview
West Ham United Leeds United Callum Wilson against Jaka Bijol is a direct duel that could decide how much space West Ham get in the final third.
West Ham United Leeds United Aaron Wan-Bissaka against Anton Stach matters because that midfield-side battle can shape who controls the right channel.
West Ham United Leeds United Callum Wilson is key for West Ham United because he gives them a central attacking reference in a 3-4-2-1.
West Ham United Leeds United Brenden Aaronson is key for Leeds United because he offers a forward threat from midfield and links play into the front two.

FAQs

How to watch West Ham United vs Leeds United

Fans in the UK are able to watch West Ham United vs Leeds United on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 16:00 BST on Sunday, 24 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for West Ham United vs Leeds United?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be West Ham United 2-0 Leeds United in this match.

Can you bet on West Ham United vs Leeds United?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for West Ham United vs Leeds United.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
West Ham United 27.02%
Leeds United 27.82%
Draw 45.16%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.53%
No 44.43%
Equal 11.04%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.29%
No 55.47%
Equal 10.24%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.14%
No 8.52%
Equal 6.35%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.70%
No 14.86%
Equal 8.44%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
West Ham United 41.73%
Leeds United 47.96%
Draw 10.31%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.81%
No 31.19%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.71%
No 86.29%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.37%
No 74.64%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
West Ham United / West Ham United 19.16%
West Ham United / Leeds United 3.06%
West Ham United / Draw 5.49%
Leeds United / West Ham United 2.84%
Leeds United / Leeds United 20.20%
Leeds United / Draw 5.51%
Draw / Draw 15.53%
Draw / West Ham United 12.75%
Draw / Leeds United 15.46%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / West Ham United 65.54%
Draw / Leeds United 62.73%
West Ham United / Leeds United 71.73%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.12%
No 86.88%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.98%
No 96.02%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.44%
No 66.56%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.72%
No 1.82%
Equal 2.46%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.48%
No 4.28%
Equal 4.24%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.59%
No 23.30%
Equal 10.11%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 55.57%
No 33.41%
Equal 11.02%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.53%
No 55.47%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 65.25%
No 34.75%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.27%
No 95.73%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.40%
No 86.60%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.65%
No 31.35%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.38%
No 65.62%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.56%
1-0 11.47%
0-0 10.31%
0-1 9.41%
2-1 7.56%
1-2 7.53%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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