Sunderland vs Chelsea: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Sunderland vs Chelsea in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 16:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Sunderland vs Chelsea
Competition Premier League
Date Sunday, 24 May 2026
Kick-off 16:00 BST
Venue Stadium of Light

Match Prediction: Sunderland 1-2 Chelsea

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Sunderland30.03%
Chelsea43.60%
Draw26.37%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes55.63%
No44.37%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes53%
No47%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 25 Oct 2025 18Chelsea vs 3Sunderland 1 – 2 Stamford Bridge
Premier League 21 May 2017 18Chelsea vs 3Sunderland 5 – 1 Stamford Bridge
Premier League 14 Dec 2016 3Sunderland vs 18Chelsea 0 – 1 Stadium of Light
Premier League 07 May 2016 3Sunderland vs 18Chelsea 3 – 2 Stadium of Light
Premier League 19 Dec 2015 18Chelsea vs 3Sunderland 3 – 1 Stamford Bridge

Sunderland have shown they can make games awkward, with a 3-1 away win at Everton, a home draw with Manchester United and a 1-1 draw at Wolverhampton Wanderers in their last three league matches. Even so, the 0-5 home loss to Nottingham Forest and the 3-4 defeat at Aston Villa show they can be exposed when the game opens up. Chelsea arrive with a 2-1 win over Tottenham Hotspur and a 1-1 draw at Liverpool in their most recent league outings, which suggests they have enough to edge a tight contest.

With no xG data available, the betting case leans more on recent results and the head-to-head pattern, which has produced narrow scorelines in four of the last five meetings. Sunderland have already beaten Chelsea 2-1 away in October 2025, so they have shown they can compete in this fixture. Match Prediction: Sunderland 1-2 Chelsea

Form Guide & Team Overview

Sunderland

Sunderland’s recent league form has been mixed, but there are signs of resilience in the last three matches. They beat Everton 3-1 away, drew 0-0 at home to Manchester United and shared a 1-1 draw with Wolverhampton Wanderers away.

The concern is that their two results before that were heavy and high-scoring defeats, losing 0-5 at home to Nottingham Forest and 3-4 away to Aston Villa. That gives them a record of one win, two draws and two losses across the last five league games, which points to inconsistency rather than steady momentum.

Sunderland Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 17 May 2026 13Everton vs 3Sunderland 1 – 3 W Hill Dickinson Stadium
Premier League 9 May 2026 3Sunderland vs 14Manchester United 0 – 0 D Stadium of Light
Premier League 2 May 2026 29Wolverhampton Wanderers vs 3Sunderland 1 – 1 D Molineux Stadium
Premier League 24 Apr 2026 3Sunderland vs 63Nottingham Forest 0 – 5 L Stadium of Light
Premier League 19 Apr 2026 15Aston Villa vs 3Sunderland 4 – 3 L Villa Park

Chelsea

Chelsea’s recent league form has also been uneven, although the latest two results are more encouraging. They beat Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 at home and drew 1-1 away at Liverpool, which is a better return than the run before it.

Before that, Chelsea lost 1-3 at home to Nottingham Forest, 0-3 away to Brighton & Hove Albion and 0-1 at home to Manchester United. Across the last five league matches that leaves them with one win, one draw and three defeats, so the overall picture is still patchy.

Chelsea Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 19 May 2026 18Chelsea vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 2 – 1 W Stamford Bridge
Premier League 9 May 2026 8Liverpool vs 18Chelsea 1 – 1 D Anfield
Premier League 4 May 2026 18Chelsea vs 63Nottingham Forest 1 – 3 L Stamford Bridge
Premier League 21 Apr 2026 78Brighton & Hove Albion vs 18Chelsea 3 – 0 L The American Express Community Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 18Chelsea vs 14Manchester United 0 – 1 L Stamford Bridge

Team News & Injury Report

Sunderland

  • Simon Moore (Broken Hand)

Chelsea

  • Jesse Derry (Concussion)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Sunderland vs Chelsea predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Sunderland (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Robin Roefs (Goalkeeper), Lutsharel Geertruida (Defender), Nordi Mukiele (Defender), Omar Alderete (Defender), Reinildo Mandava (Defender), Enzo Le Fée (Midfielder), Granit Xhaka (Midfielder), Nilson Angulo (Midfielder), Noah Sadiki (Midfielder), Trai Hume (Midfielder), Brian Brobbey (Attacker)

Sunderland’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base with two central midfielders screening the defence and helping them stay compact. It also leaves Brian Brobbey as the main outlet, with support coming from the three players behind him to carry the ball and link play.

Chelsea (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Robert Sánchez (Goalkeeper), Jorrel Hato (Defender), Josh Acheampong (Defender), Marc Cucurella (Defender), Wesley Fofana (Defender), Andrey Santos (Midfielder), Cole Palmer (Midfielder), Enzo Fernández (Midfielder), Moisés Caicedo (Midfielder), Pedro Neto (Midfielder), Liam Delap (Attacker)

Chelsea’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them control through the double pivot and the central midfield trio ahead of it. With Liam Delap up top, they have a clear focal point for attacks while the wide players can stretch Sunderland’s back line.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Sunderland Chelsea Key Battle Overview
Sunderland Chelsea Brian Brobbey will need to use his physical presence well against Jorrel Hato if Sunderland are to turn pressure into chances.
Sunderland Chelsea Enzo Le Fée’s ability to connect midfield and attack could be important against Andrey Santos in the central areas.
Sunderland Chelsea Brian Brobbey is key for Sunderland because he is the main attacking reference point in their 4-2-3-1 and the player most likely to finish moves.
Sunderland Chelsea Liam Delap is key for Chelsea because he gives their 4-2-3-1 a direct central option and a clear target in the final third.

FAQs

How to watch Sunderland vs Chelsea

Fans in the UK are able to watch Sunderland vs Chelsea on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 16:00 BST on Sunday, 24 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Sunderland vs Chelsea?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Sunderland 1-2 Chelsea in this match.

Can you bet on Sunderland vs Chelsea?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Sunderland vs Chelsea.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.31%
No 68.69%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.77%
No 24.23%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 58.18%
No 30.28%
Equal 11.54%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 7.29%
No 92.71%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.41%
No 64.59%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.15%
No 6.11%
Equal 5.74%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.68%
No 33.32%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Sunderland / Sunderland 14.62%
Sunderland / Chelsea 3.30%
Sunderland / Draw 5.52%
Chelsea / Sunderland 2.05%
Chelsea / Chelsea 27.67%
Chelsea / Draw 5.72%
Draw / Draw 14.86%
Draw / Sunderland 9.66%
Draw / Chelsea 16.60%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 44.18%
No 55.82%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Sunderland 37.82%
Chelsea 55.36%
Draw 6.82%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Sunderland 56.40%
Draw / Chelsea 69.97%
Sunderland / Chelsea 73.63%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Sunderland 23.11%
Chelsea 35.17%
Draw 41.72%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.89%
No 2.64%
Equal 3.47%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.97%
No 11.85%
Equal 8.17%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.72%
No 20.03%
Equal 10.26%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 46.41%
No 41.82%
Equal 11.77%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.61%
No 87.39%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.81%
No 96.19%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.20%
No 23.80%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.17%
No 66.83%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.51%
No 82.49%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.86%
0-1 9.44%
1-2 9.20%
1-0 7.53%
2-1 7.20%
OTHER 2 6.88%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.41%
No 53.59%
Equal 11%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.90%
No 64.59%
Equal 9.52%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.10%
No 79.90%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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