Arsenal vs Burnley: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

League	Date	Match	Score	Venue
Premier League	01 Nov 2025	Burnley vs Arsenal	0 – 2	Turf Moor
Premier League	17 Feb 2024	Burnley vs Arsenal	0 – 5	Turf Moor
Premier League	11 Nov 2023	Arsenal vs Burnley	3 – 1	Emirates Stadium
Premier League	23 Jan 2022	Arsenal vs Burnley	0 – 0	Emirates Stadium
Premier League	18 Sep 2021	Burnley vs Arsenal	0 – 1	Turf Moor

Arsenal come into this one with three straight league wins and four clean sheets across their last five matches in all competitions, so the data points towards a controlled home performance. Burnley have only one point from their last five league games and have conceded in every one of those defeats, which makes the away side look vulnerable if Arsenal settle quickly.

The head-to-head record also leans strongly towards Arsenal, with Burnley failing to score in three of the last five meetings and losing the most recent two. With no xG data available for this fixture, the clearest angle is Arsenal’s recent defensive stability against Burnley’s poor run of results. Match Prediction: Arsenal 1-0 Burnley

Form Guide & Team Overview

Arsenal

Arsenal’s recent league form is strong, with wins over West Ham United, Fulham and Newcastle United in their last three Premier League matches. Those results were all by clean sheet, which underlines how well they have been managing games at both ends of the pitch.

Across all competitions, Arsenal have won four and drawn one of their last five, including a 1-0 home win over Atlético Madrid in the Champions League. The only setback in that run was a 1-1 draw away to Atlético Madrid, so the overall picture is of a side in steady, efficient form.

Arsenal Last 5 Results

League	Date	Match	Score	Result	Venue
Premier League	10 May 2026	West Ham United vs Arsenal	0 – 1	W	London Stadium
Premier League	2 May 2026	Arsenal vs Fulham	3 – 0	W	Emirates Stadium
Premier League	25 Apr 2026	Arsenal vs Newcastle United	1 – 0	W	Emirates Stadium
Premier League	19 Apr 2026	Manchester City vs Arsenal	2 – 1	L	Etihad Stadium
Premier League	11 Apr 2026	Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth	1 – 2	L	Emirates Stadium

Burnley

Burnley’s recent league form is much less convincing, with one draw and four defeats in their last five. They did at least take a point from a 2-2 home draw with Aston Villa, but the other results show repeated problems in both defence and game control.

They have lost to Leeds United, Manchester City, Nottingham Forest and Brighton & Hove Albion in that sequence, and they conceded at least one goal in each of those matches. That run suggests Burnley are struggling to keep games tight, which is a concern heading into a trip to the Emirates Stadium.

Burnley Last 5 Results

League	Date	Match	Score	Result	Venue
Premier League	10 May 2026	Burnley vs Aston Villa	2 – 2	D	Turf Moor
Premier League	1 May 2026	Leeds United vs Burnley	3 – 1	L	Elland Road
Premier League	22 Apr 2026	Burnley vs Manchester City	0 – 1	L	Turf Moor
Premier League	19 Apr 2026	Nottingham Forest vs Burnley	4 – 1	L	The City Ground
Premier League	11 Apr 2026	Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion	0 – 2	L	Turf Moor

Team News & Injury Report

Arsenal

• Mikel Merino (Foot surgery)

Burnley

• Josh Cullen (Cruciate Ligament Tear)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Arsenal (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: David Raya (Goalkeeper), Ben White (Defender), Gabriel Magalhães (Defender), Riccardo Calafiori (Defender), William Saliba (Defender), Bukayo Saka (Midfielder), Declan Rice (Midfielder), Eberechi Eze (Midfielder), Leandro Trossard (Midfielder), Myles Lewis-Skelly (Midfielder), Viktor Gyökeres (Attacker)

Arsenal’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base with two deeper midfielders protecting the back four and allowing the attacking line to stay high. That shape should help them control territory and give Viktor Gyökeres support from Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze and Leandro Trossard.

Burnley (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Max Weiß (Goalkeeper), Axel Tuanzebe (Defender), Kyle Walker (Defender), Lucas Pires (Defender), Maxime Estève (Defender), Florentino (Midfielder), Hannibal (Midfielder), Jaidon Anthony (Midfielder), Lesley Ugochukwu (Midfielder), Loum Tchaouna (Midfielder), Zian Flemming (Attacker)

Burnley’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a compact midfield screen in front of the defence, with Florentino and Hannibal likely tasked with limiting Arsenal’s central combinations. Zian Flemming will be the main outlet up front, so Burnley’s shape looks built around staying organised and trying to break quickly when they win the ball.

Key Battles & Players to Watch