Our verdict
Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern
Bayern to win
21%Mainz 05
17%Draw
62%Bayern
Key storylines
- Mainz 05 (9th) host Bayern (1st)
- Mainz 05 without a home win in 4
- Bayern have won 3 of their last 5
- Bayern have won 4 of the last 6 meetings
- Our model expects goals: 1.7 expected for Mainz 05, 2.9 for Bayern
Match info
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Matchday
- 9
- Date
- Sat 7 Nov 2026
- Kick-off
- 14:30 (UK time)
- Venue
- MEWA Arena
- Season
- 2026-27
Lucky Tiger odds Mainz 05 4.80 Draw 5.90 Bayern 1.41 Bayern at 1.41 with Lucky Tiger
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Recent form
Mainz 05
Bayern
Head to head
1Mainz 05 wins1Draws4Bayern wins
The numbers per game
| Mainz 05 | Measure | Bayern |
|---|---|---|
| 2.13 | Goals scored | 3.38 |
| 2.13 | Goals conceded | 1.00 |
| 1.25 | Points per game | 2.25 |
| 3 | Clean sheets | 2 |
| 21 | Yellow cards | 8 |
| 17.0 | Shots | 23.1 |
| 5.6 | On target | 9.5 |
| 51% | Possession | 66% |
| 5.8 | Corners | 8.6 |
| 13.8 | Fouls | 10.6 |
| 2.1 | Offsides | 2.4 |
| 1.68 | xG expected here (our model) | 2.85 |
Team news
Mainz 05
- Phillipp MweneSuspended5 league bookings, one-match ban
- Stefan PoschSuspendedSent off for two bookings, one-match ban
Bayern