Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United
Competition Premier League
Date Monday, 11 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Match Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Leeds United

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Tottenham Hotspur41.76%
Leeds United32.15%
Draw26.09%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes52.47%
No47.53%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes49.67%
No50.33%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 04 Oct 2025 71Leeds United vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 2 Elland Road
Premier League 28 May 2023 71Leeds United vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 4 Elland Road
Premier League 12 Nov 2022 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 71Leeds United 4 – 3 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League 26 Feb 2022 71Leeds United vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 0 – 4 Elland Road
Premier League 21 Nov 2021 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 71Leeds United 2 – 1 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham Hotspur come into this with a stronger recent away run, having won their last two league games and kept things tight at the back in both. Leeds United have also been in decent nick, but their results suggest they are more likely to be involved in a competitive game than to control it throughout. With no xG data available, the recent scorelines and the head-to-head record point towards a match where both sides can threaten, but Tottenham Hotspur may have the edge at home.

Leeds United have scored in four of their last five league matches, so they should not be short of belief going forward. Tottenham Hotspur have also found a way to win without needing high-scoring games, which makes them look the more reliable side in a betting sense. Match Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Leeds United

Form Guide & Team Overview

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur have taken seven points from their last three league matches, beating Aston Villa 2-1 and Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 after a 2-2 draw with Brighton & Hove Albion. That is a clear improvement on the two home defeats that came before it, against Nottingham Forest and Sunderland.

The recent pattern suggests Tottenham Hotspur have become harder to beat and more efficient in tighter games. They have not been scoring heavily, but the last two wins show they can manage matches well enough to get over the line.

Tottenham Hotspur Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 3 May 2026 15Aston Villa vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 2 W Villa Park
Premier League 25 Apr 2026 29Wolverhampton Wanderers vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 0 – 1 W Molineux Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 78Brighton & Hove Albion 2 – 2 D Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 3Sunderland vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 0 L Stadium of Light
Premier League 22 Mar 2026 6Tottenham Hotspur vs 63Nottingham Forest 0 – 3 L Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Leeds United

Leeds United have collected ten points from their last five league matches, with wins over Burnley, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Manchester United. They also drew away at AFC Bournemouth and at home to Brentford, which adds to the sense of a side that has been difficult to put away.

Their only defeat in the wider recent run came in the FA Cup against Chelsea, so the league form remains solid. Leeds United have scored in four of those five league games, which suggests they are carrying a decent attacking threat into this trip.

Leeds United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 1 May 2026 71Leeds United vs 27Burnley 3 – 1 W Elland Road
Premier League 22 Apr 2026 52AFC Bournemouth vs 71Leeds United 2 – 2 D Vitality Stadium
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 71Leeds United vs 29Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 – 0 W Elland Road
Premier League 13 Apr 2026 14Manchester United vs 71Leeds United 1 – 2 W Old Trafford
Premier League 21 Mar 2026 71Leeds United vs 236Brentford 0 – 0 D Elland Road

Team News & Injury Report

Tottenham Hotspur

  • Dominic Solanke (Muscle Injury)
  • Xavi Simons  (Cruciate Ligament Tear)

Leeds United

  • Ilia Gruev (Meniscus Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Tottenham Hotspur (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Antonín Kinský (Goalkeeper), Destiny Udogie (Defender), Kevin Danso (Defender), Micky van de Ven (Defender), Pedro Porro (Defender), Conor Gallagher (Midfielder), João Palhinha (Midfielder), Mathys Tel (Midfielder), Randal Kolo Muani (Midfielder), Rodrigo Bentancur (Midfielder), Richarlison (Attacker)

Tottenham Hotspur’s 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base with two midfielders screening the defence and helping them stay compact. It also leaves room for Richarlison and the attacking midfield runners to support quick moves through the middle and into the channels.

Leeds United (3-5-2)

Predicted lineup: Karl Darlow (Goalkeeper), Jaka Bijol (Defender), Joe Rodon (Defender), Pascal Struijk (Defender), Anton Stach (Midfielder), Ao Tanaka (Midfielder), Ethan Ampadu (Midfielder), James Justin (Midfielder), Jayden Bogle (Midfielder), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Attacker), Noah Okafor (Attacker)

Leeds United’s 3-5-2 can give them numbers in central areas and help them compete for second balls against Tottenham Hotspur’s midfield. With two forwards up top, they should also have a direct outlet when they win possession and look to break quickly.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Tottenham Hotspur Leeds United Text
Tottenham Hotspur Leeds United Richarlison against Jaka Bijol could be decisive if Tottenham Hotspur can get him into central scoring positions.
Tottenham Hotspur Leeds United Conor Gallagher against Anton Stach looks important in midfield, with both sides needing control in the middle of the pitch.
Tottenham Hotspur Leeds United Richarlison is key for Tottenham Hotspur because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the likely focal point in front of goal.
Tottenham Hotspur Leeds United Dominic Calvert-Lewin is key for Leeds United because he gives them a direct attacking outlet and a target to build around in the final third.

FAQs

How to watch Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United

Fans in the UK are able to watch Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 20:00 BST on Monday, 11 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Leeds United in this match.

Can you bet on Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 46.27%
No 41.56%
Equal 12.17%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.74%
No 71.26%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.82%
No 53.73%
Equal 11.46%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 65.40%
No 34.60%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.48%
No 66.52%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.53%
No 26.47%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.22%
No 26.78%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.33%
No 59.67%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.72%
No 83.28%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 4.11%
No 95.89%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.53%
No 94.47%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Tottenham Hotspur / Tottenham Hotspur 21.61%
Tottenham Hotspur / Leeds United 3.12%
Tottenham Hotspur / Draw 5.94%
Leeds United / Tottenham Hotspur 3.36%
Leeds United / Leeds United 19.32%
Leeds United / Draw 5.68%
Draw / Draw 14.37%
Draw / Tottenham Hotspur 12.74%
Draw / Leeds United 13.86%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.77%
No 84.23%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.20%
No 2.51%
Equal 3.29%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.57%
No 11.35%
Equal 8.08%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 58.44%
No 29.77%
Equal 11.80%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 46.27%
No 53.73%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Tottenham Hotspur 29.16%
Leeds United 30.18%
Draw 40.66%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Tottenham Hotspur 42.82%
Leeds United 49.36%
Draw 7.82%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 97.49%
No 0.89%
Equal 1.63%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.65%
No 5.80%
Equal 5.55%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.23%
No 19.43%
Equal 10.33%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Tottenham Hotspur 67.85%
Draw / Leeds United 58.24%
Tottenham Hotspur / Leeds United 73.91%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 11.50%
1-0 10.66%
2-1 8.28%
0-1 7.98%
0-0 7.82%
2-0 7.42%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.18%
No 86.82%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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