Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Nantes vs Toulouse in the Ligue 1. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Nantes vs Toulouse |
|---|---|
| Competition | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Sunday, 17 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 20:00 BST |
| Venue | Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau |
Match Prediction: Nantes 1-2 Toulouse
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 27 Sep 2025 |  Toulouse vs  Nantes |
2 – 2 | Stadium de Toulouse |
| Ligue 1 | 27 Apr 2025 | Nantes vs Toulouse |
0 – 0 | Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau |
| Ligue 1 | 18 Aug 2024 | Toulouse vs Nantes |
0 – 0 | Stadium de Toulouse |
| Ligue 1 | 11 Feb 2024 | Toulouse vs Nantes |
1 – 2 | Stadium de Toulouse |
| Ligue 1 | 13 Aug 2023 | Nantes vs Toulouse |
1 – 2 | Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau |
Nantes come into this one with mixed recent league form, but their 3-0 home win over Olympique Marseille shows they can still produce a strong result at Stade de la Beaujoire. Toulouse have taken back-to-back league wins against Olympique Lyonnais and Strasbourg, so they arrive with the better momentum on paper. With no xG data available, the clearest angle is form and recent results, and Toulouse’s sharper run makes them the more appealing side in a tight contest.
Nantes have been beaten in three of their last five league matches, including away losses to Lens, Rennes and Paris Saint Germain, which suggests they have been less reliable on the road than at home. Toulouse have also had some uneven results, but their recent wins and the fact they have scored in four of their last five league games point to enough attacking threat to edge it. Match Prediction: Nantes 1-2 Toulouse
Form Guide & Team Overview
Nantes
Nantes have taken one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five league matches. The standout result in that run was the 3-0 home win over Olympique Marseille, which shows they can be effective when they get control of the game.
Outside that, the picture is less convincing, with losses to Lens, Rennes and Paris Saint Germain. They also drew 1-1 with Brest, so the recent data points to a side that can compete, but not consistently enough to be trusted over 90 minutes.
Nantes Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 8 May 2026 |  Lens vs Nantes |
1 – 0 | L | Stade Bollaert-Delelis |
| Ligue 1 | 2 May 2026 | Nantes vs  Olympique Marseille |
3 – 0 | W | Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau |
| Ligue 1 | 26 Apr 2026 |  Rennes vs Nantes |
2 – 1 | L | Roazhon Park |
| Ligue 1 | 22 Apr 2026 |  Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes |
3 – 0 | L | Parc des Princes |
| Ligue 1 | 19 Apr 2026 | Nantes vs  Brest |
1 – 1 | D | Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau |
Toulouse
Toulouse have won three of their last five league matches, which is the stronger recent return in this fixture. Their latest two results, both 2-1 wins over Olympique Lyonnais and Strasbourg, suggest they are finishing the league campaign with some confidence.
Before that, they drew 2-2 with Monaco and lost 2-3 at Lens, while also suffering a 0-4 home defeat to LOSC Lille. That mix shows they are not flawless, but the recent wins give them a more positive form line than Nantes.
Toulouse Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 10 May 2026 | Toulouse vs  Olympique Lyonnais |
2 – 1 | W | Stadium de Toulouse |
| Ligue 1 | 3 May 2026 |  Strasbourg vs Toulouse |
1 – 2 | W | Stade de la Meinau |
| Ligue 1 | 25 Apr 2026 | Toulouse vs  Monaco |
2 – 2 | D | Stadium de Toulouse |
| Ligue 1 | 17 Apr 2026 | Lens vs Toulouse |
3 – 2 | L | Stade Bollaert-Delelis |
| Ligue 1 | 12 Apr 2026 | Toulouse vs  LOSC Lille |
0 – 4 | L | Stadium de Toulouse |
Team News & Injury Report
Nantes
- Deiver Machado (Dead Leg)
Toulouse
- Rafik Messali (Ankle Injury)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Nantes (3-1-4-2)
Predicted lineup: Anthony Lopes (Goalkeeper), Chidozie Awaziem (Defender), Nicolas Cozza (Defender), Uros Radakovic (Defender), Frédéric Guilbert (Midfielder), Ibrahima Sissoko (Midfielder), Johann Lepenant (Midfielder), Mathieu Acapandié (Midfielder), Mohamed Kaba (Midfielder), Ignatius Ganago (Attacker), Matthis Abline (Attacker)
Nantes’ predicted 3-1-4-2 should give them a compact base with enough bodies in midfield to compete for second balls and support the front two. The shape also leaves room for Ignatius Ganago and Matthis Abline to work close together, which could help them threaten Toulouse in transition.
Toulouse (3-4-2-1)
Predicted lineup: Guillaume Restes (Goalkeeper), Charlie Cresswell (Defender), Mark McKenzie (Defender), Rasmus Nicolaisen (Defender), Alexis Vossah (Midfielder), Aron Dønnum (Midfielder), Cristian Cásseres Jr. (Midfielder), Dayann Methalie (Midfielder), Jacen Russell-Rowe (Attacker), Santiago Hidalgo (Attacker), Yann Gboho (Attacker)
Toulouse’s predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a solid back three with midfield width from the wing-backs and extra support between the lines. That should allow Jacen Russell-Rowe to lead the attack with runners around him, while keeping enough structure to deal with Nantes’ two forwards.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Nantes | Toulouse | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Nantes | Toulouse | Ignatius Ganago against Charlie Cresswell could be important if Nantes look to attack directly and test Toulouse’s central defensive organisation. |
| Nantes | Toulouse | Frédéric Guilbert against Alexis Vossah may shape the midfield battle, especially if Nantes try to stop Toulouse building through the middle. |
| Nantes | Toulouse | Ignatius Ganago is key for Nantes because he has been part of their recent attacking line and will be central to any chance of turning home pressure into goals. |
| Nantes | Toulouse | Jacen Russell-Rowe is key for Toulouse because he has started in the forward line in their recent wins and offers the main finishing threat in the predicted shape. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
