Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Union Berlin in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 18:30 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|
| Competition | Bundesliga |
| Date | Sunday, 10 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 18:30 BST |
| Venue | Mewa Arena |
Match Prediction: FSV Mainz 05 1-1 FC Union Berlin
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 10 Jan 2026 |  FC Union Berlin vs  FSV Mainz 05 |
2 – 2 | Stadion An der Alten Försterei |
| Bundesliga | 19 Jan 2025 | FC Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 |
2 – 1 | Stadion An der Alten Försterei |
| Bundesliga | 24 Aug 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Union Berlin |
1 – 1 | Mewa Arena |
| Bundesliga | 07 Feb 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Union Berlin |
1 – 1 | Mewa Arena |
| Bundesliga | 20 Aug 2023 | FC Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 |
4 – 1 | Stadion An der Alten Försterei |
Mainz come into this with the better recent league return, but their results have still been mixed enough to keep this tight. They have scored in four of their last five league matches, yet they have also conceded in four of those five, so there is still a bit of give-and-take about them. Union Berlin’s recent league run has been weaker, with no wins in their last five and three straight defeats before the draw with FC Köln.
That points towards a game where Mainz may have the edge at home, but not one that should be straightforward. Union Berlin have been involved in several close scorelines in the head-to-head, so a narrow margin feels more likely than a comfortable home win. Match Prediction: FSV Mainz 05 2-1 FC Union Berlin
Form Guide & Team Overview
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 have taken seven points from their last five league matches, which is a decent return even if the pattern has been inconsistent. The 2-1 win at St. Pauli stands out, and they have also shown they can compete in tighter games, but the 3-4 home loss to FC Bayern München and the 0-1 defeat to SC Freiburg show they are not fully secure at the back.
They have scored in four of those five league fixtures, which gives them a useful baseline going into this one. At the same time, the recent results suggest they are more comfortable when the game stays open rather than when they are forced to chase control.
FSV Mainz 05 Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 3 May 2026 |  St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 |
1 – 2 | W | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 25 Apr 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 vs  FC Bayern München |
3 – 4 | L | Mewa Arena |
| Bundesliga | 19 Apr 2026 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 |
1 – 1 | D | Stadion im Borussia-Park |
| Bundesliga | 12 Apr 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 vs  SC Freiburg |
0 – 1 | L | Mewa Arena |
| Bundesliga | 4 Apr 2026 |  TSG Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 |
1 – 2 | W | PreZero Arena |
FC Union Berlin
FC Union Berlin have not won any of their last five league matches, and that is the clearest trend in their recent form. They have lost three in a row before the 2-2 draw with FC Köln, and those defeats came against RB Leipzig, VfL Wolfsburg and Heidenheim.
The draw with FC Köln at least stopped the losing run, but the overall picture is still one of a side struggling to turn matches their way. They have scored in every one of those five league games, yet they have also conceded in all five, which points to a side that is competitive but vulnerable.
FC Union Berlin Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 2 May 2026 | FC Union Berlin vs  FC Köln |
2 – 2 | D | Stadion An der Alten Försterei |
| Bundesliga | 24 Apr 2026 |  RB Leipzig vs FC Union Berlin |
3 – 1 | L | Red Bull Arena |
| Bundesliga | 18 Apr 2026 | FC Union Berlin vs  VfL Wolfsburg |
1 – 2 | L | Stadion An der Alten Försterei |
| Bundesliga | 11 Apr 2026 |  Heidenheim vs FC Union Berlin |
3 – 1 | L | Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion |
| Bundesliga | 5 Apr 2026 | FC Union Berlin vs St. Pauli |
1 – 1 | D | Stadion An der Alten Försterei |
Team News & Injury Report
FSV Mainz 05
- Jae-sung Lee (Toe Injury)
- Maxim Leitsch (Hamstring Injury)
FC Union Berlin
- Frederik Rönnow (Adductor Injury)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
FSV Mainz 05 (3-5-2)
Predicted lineup: Daniel Batz (Goalkeeper), Danny da Costa (Defender), Kacper Potulski (Defender), Stefan Posch (Defender), Grenddy Perozo (Midfielder), Kaishu Sano (Midfielder), Nadiem Amiri (Midfielder), Paul Nebel (Midfielder), Silvan Widmer (Midfielder), Phillip Tietz (Attacker), Sheraldo Becker (Attacker)
Mainz’s predicted 3-5-2 should give them a solid base through the middle, with Grenddy Perozo and the central midfielders helping them stay compact and move the ball into advanced areas. Phillip Tietz and Sheraldo Becker can then work as a front pair to stretch Union’s back three and attack the spaces behind the wing-backs.
FC Union Berlin (3-5-2)
Predicted lineup: Carl Klaus (Goalkeeper), Danilho Doekhi (Defender), Diogo Leite (Defender), Stanley Nsoki (Defender), Aljoscha Kemlein (Midfielder), András Schäfer (Midfielder), Josip Juranovic (Midfielder), Rani Khedira (Midfielder), Tom Rothe (Midfielder), Ilyas Ansah (Attacker), Oliver Burke (Attacker)
Union Berlin’s predicted 3-5-2 should keep them well stocked in central areas, with Aljoscha Kemlein and the other midfielders aiming to slow Mainz’s rhythm and protect the defence. Ilyas Ansah and Oliver Burke give them pace up front, which could matter if they can break quickly from a compact shape.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| FSV Mainz 05 | FC Union Berlin | Text |
|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | FC Union Berlin | Phillip Tietz will need to occupy Danilho Doekhi and make his runs count if Mainz are to turn possession into chances. |
| FSV Mainz 05 | FC Union Berlin | Grenddy Perozo against Aljoscha Kemlein could decide which side controls the middle of the pitch. |
| FSV Mainz 05 | FC Union Berlin | Phillip Tietz is key for Mainz because he has been part of a front two that has helped them score in four of their last five league matches. |
| FSV Mainz 05 | FC Union Berlin | Ilyas Ansah is key for Union Berlin because his presence gives them a direct outlet and a chance to threaten on the break. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
