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Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
12 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund
Competition Bundesliga
Date Saturday, 16 May 2026
Kick-off 14:30 BST
Venue Wohninvest Weserstadion

Match Prediction: Werder Bremen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Werder Bremen32.86%
Borussia Dortmund44.48%
Draw22.66%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes62.69%
No37.31%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes63.62%
No36.38%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Bundesliga 13 Jan 2026 68Borussia Dortmund vs 82Werder Bremen 3 – 0 Signal Iduna Park
Bundesliga 25 Jan 2025 68Borussia Dortmund vs 82Werder Bremen 2 – 2 Signal Iduna Park
Bundesliga 31 Aug 2024 82Werder Bremen vs 68Borussia Dortmund 0 – 0 Wohninvest Weserstadion
Bundesliga 09 Mar 2024 82Werder Bremen vs 68Borussia Dortmund 1 – 2 Weserstadion
Bundesliga 20 Oct 2023 68Borussia Dortmund vs 82Werder Bremen 1 – 0 Signal Iduna Park

Werder Bremen come into this with mixed home and away numbers, but the recent results suggest they can still make games competitive, especially when they get on the scoresheet. Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent ceiling, with wins over Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg in their last five, and that gives them a clearer attacking edge on paper. With no xG data available, the best guide is the results trend and Dortmund’s head-to-head advantage in this fixture. Match Prediction: Werder Bremen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

The most recent meeting ended 3-0 to Borussia Dortmund, which fits the broader pattern of Dortmund having the better of this matchup in recent seasons. Werder Bremen have shown they can score at home, but they have also conceded in four of their last five league matches, which is a concern against a side with Serhou Guirassy and Julian Brandt in form. Dortmund’s away results are not flawless, so this does not look like a straightforward away win, but they still look the likelier side to edge it. A narrow Dortmund victory feels the most data-backed call.

Form Guide & Team Overview

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen’s recent league form has been patchy, with one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five. They lost 0-1 away to TSG Hoffenheim and 1-3 at home to FC Augsburg, which shows they have struggled for consistency at both ends of the pitch.

There was a better spell in the middle of that run, with a 1-1 draw away to VfB Stuttgart and a 3-1 home win over Hamburger SV. Even so, the overall picture is of a side that has been conceding regularly and has not put together a sustained run of results.

Werder Bremen Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Bundesliga 9 May 2026 2726TSG Hoffenheim vs 82Werder Bremen 1 – 0 L PreZero Arena
Bundesliga 2 May 2026 82Werder Bremen vs 90FC Augsburg 1 – 3 L Wohninvest Weserstadion
Bundesliga 26 Apr 2026 3319VfB Stuttgart vs 82Werder Bremen 1 – 1 D MHPArena
Bundesliga 18 Apr 2026 82Werder Bremen vs 2708Hamburger SV 3 – 1 W Wohninvest Weserstadion
Bundesliga 12 Apr 2026 3320FC Köln vs 82Werder Bremen 3 – 1 L RheinEnergieStadion

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund’s recent league form is also mixed, but it includes two strong wins that stand out. They beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3-2 at home and SC Freiburg 4-0 at home, which suggests they can be dangerous when they get control of matches.

Their away results have been less convincing, with defeats at Borussia Mönchengladbach and TSG Hoffenheim, plus a home loss to Bayer 04 Leverkusen. That said, the recent home wins give them a better attacking base than Werder Bremen going into this fixture.

Borussia Dortmund Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Bundesliga 8 May 2026 68Borussia Dortmund vs 366Eintracht Frankfurt 3 – 2 W Signal Iduna Park
Bundesliga 3 May 2026 683Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 68Borussia Dortmund 1 – 0 L Stadion im Borussia-Park
Bundesliga 26 Apr 2026 68Borussia Dortmund vs 3543SC Freiburg 4 – 0 W Signal Iduna Park
Bundesliga 18 Apr 2026 2726TSG Hoffenheim vs 68Borussia Dortmund 2 – 1 L PreZero Arena
Bundesliga 11 Apr 2026 68Borussia Dortmund vs 3321Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 – 1 L Signal Iduna Park

Team News & Injury Report

Werder Bremen

  • Leonardo Bittencourt (Hamstring Injury)

Borussia Dortmund

  • Felix Nmecha (Fitness)
  • Niklas Süle (Fitness)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Werder Bremen (4-1-4-1)

Predicted lineup: Mio Backhaus (Goalkeeper), Amos Pieper (Defender), Marco Friedl (Defender), Olivier Deman (Defender), Yukinari Sugawara (Defender), Cameron Puertas (Midfielder), Jens Stage (Midfielder), Justin Njinmah (Midfielder), Romano Schmid (Midfielder), Senne Lynen (Midfielder), Salim Musah (Attacker)

Werder Bremen’s predicted 4-1-4-1 should give them a compact shape in midfield, with Senne Lynen sitting in front of the defence to help screen Dortmund’s central runners. It also leaves Salim Musah as the main outlet up front, so their transitions will likely depend on quick support from the wide and central midfielders.

Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Gregor Kobel (Goalkeeper), Luca Reggiani (Defender), Nico Schlotterbeck (Defender), Waldemar Anton (Defender), Jobe Bellingham (Midfielder), Julian Ryerson (Midfielder), Marcel Sabitzer (Midfielder), Maximilian Beier (Midfielder), Julian Brandt (Attacker), Samuele Inácio (Attacker), Serhou Guirassy (Attacker)

Borussia Dortmund’s predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a solid back three and plenty of central presence, which should help them control territory and build attacks through the middle. With Julian Brandt and Samuele Inácio operating behind Serhou Guirassy, they have enough creativity and movement to test Werder Bremen between the lines.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund Key Battle Overview
Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund Salim Musah will need to work hard against Luca Reggiani, because Dortmund’s back three have been stable in recent lineups and can limit space if Bremen’s forward is isolated.
Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund Cameron Puertas against Jobe Bellingham is a key midfield duel, with both players likely important to how each side links defence to attack.
Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund Salim Musah is key for Werder Bremen because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted 4-1-4-1 and Bremen will need him to turn limited chances into shots.
Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund Julian Brandt is key for Borussia Dortmund because he has been part of the attacking structure in recent lineups and offers the link play needed to feed the front line.

FAQs

How to watch Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund

Fans in the UK are able to watch Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund on SKY GO Extra, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Football, NOW, Sky Sports Main Event at 14:30 BST on Saturday, 16 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Werder Bremen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Can you bet on Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Werder Bremen 27.46%
Borussia Dortmund 34.07%
Draw 38.48%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 17.55%
No 82.45%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.76%
No 45.05%
Equal 12.19%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.66%
No 57.24%
Equal 11.10%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 83.44%
No 16.56%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 41%
No 59%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.68%
No 22.32%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.06%
No 74.94%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 93.40%
No 2.82%
Equal 3.78%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Werder Bremen 46.18%
Borussia Dortmund 49.65%
Draw 4.17%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.34%
No 68.34%
Equal 9.32%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.78%
No 60.22%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.95%
No 75.05%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 31.66%
No 68.34%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.10%
No 93.90%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 67.16%
No 21.79%
Equal 11.05%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 49.98%
No 50.02%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.38%
No 89.62%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Werder Bremen / Werder Bremen 19.60%
Werder Bremen / Borussia Dortmund 3.42%
Werder Bremen / Draw 4.88%
Borussia Dortmund / Werder Bremen 2.79%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund 25.75%
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 5.53%
Draw / Draw 12.93%
Draw / Werder Bremen 11.16%
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 13.94%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Werder Bremen 55.52%
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 67.14%
Werder Bremen / Borussia Dortmund 77.34%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 87.12%
No 6.60%
Equal 6.28%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.75%
No 30.25%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 54.95%
No 32.84%
Equal 12.21%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 78.21%
No 12.88%
Equal 8.90%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
OTHER 2 10.02%
1-1 9.59%
1-2 9.27%
2-1 7.52%
0-1 6.65%
2-2 6.61%

For the best Bundesliga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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