Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:30 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Bundesliga |
| Date | Saturday, 16 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 14:30 BST |
| Venue | Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion |
Match Prediction: Heidenheim 1-2 FSV Mainz 05
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 13 Jan 2026 |  FSV Mainz 05 vs  Heidenheim |
2 – 1 | Mewa Arena |
| Bundesliga | 16 Feb 2025 | Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 |
0 – 2 | Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion |
| Bundesliga | 28 Sep 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim |
0 – 2 | Mewa Arena |
| Bundesliga | 05 May 2024 | Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 |
1 – 1 | Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion |
| Bundesliga | 16 Dec 2023 | FSV Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim |
0 – 1 | Mewa Arena |
Heidenheim come into this with a decent run of results, but the recent data also shows they have been involved in open games, including a 3-3 draw away to FC Bayern München and a 3-1 win at FC Köln. FSV Mainz 05 have been less consistent, with three defeats in their last five league matches, although they did beat St. Pauli away and have shown they can score in tighter games. With no xG data available, the clearest read is from the results: both sides have been conceding, so chances at both ends look likely.
Mainz have had the better of this fixture recently, winning the last two meetings and three of the last five, which gives them a clear edge in the head-to-head. Heidenheim’s home win over FC Union Berlin and clean sheet against St. Pauli suggest they can compete, but Mainz’s away win at St. Pauli and their ability to score even in defeat point to a narrow away success. Match Prediction: Heidenheim 1-2 FSV Mainz 05
Form Guide & Team Overview
Heidenheim
Heidenheim’s recent league form reads as three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five, which is a solid return. The standout result is the 3-3 draw away to FC Bayern München, while the 3-1 win at FC Köln and 2-0 home win over St. Pauli show they have been effective in front of goal.
They have also been competitive in the other direction, only losing 1-2 away to SC Freiburg in that run. Overall, the results suggest a side that can score regularly and stay in games, even when the opposition level rises.
Heidenheim Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 10 May 2026 |  FC Köln vs Heidenheim |
1 – 3 | W | RheinEnergieStadion |
| Bundesliga | 2 May 2026 |  FC Bayern München vs Heidenheim |
3 – 3 | D | Allianz Arena |
| Bundesliga | 25 Apr 2026 | Heidenheim vs  St. Pauli |
2 – 0 | W | Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion |
| Bundesliga | 19 Apr 2026 |  SC Freiburg vs Heidenheim |
2 – 1 | L | Europa-Park Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 11 Apr 2026 | Heidenheim vs  FC Union Berlin |
3 – 1 | W | Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion |
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05’s recent league form is less stable, with one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five. Their best result in that sequence was the 2-1 away win at St. Pauli, but they also lost 1-3 at home to FC Union Berlin and 3-4 at home to FC Bayern München.
The wider recent record includes a 0-4 defeat away to Strasbourg in the Europa Conference League, which underlines the inconsistency in their results. Even so, Mainz have still found goals in several of these matches, so they remain capable of making this competitive.
FSV Mainz 05 Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 10 May 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Union Berlin |
1 – 3 | L | Mewa Arena |
| Bundesliga | 3 May 2026 | St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 |
1 – 2 | W | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Bundesliga | 25 Apr 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München |
3 – 4 | L | Mewa Arena |
| Bundesliga | 19 Apr 2026 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 |
1 – 1 | D | Stadion im Borussia-Park |
| Bundesliga | 12 Apr 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg |
0 – 1 | L | Mewa Arena |
Team News & Injury Report
Heidenheim
- Marnon Busch (Knock)
FSV Mainz 05
- Maxim Leitsch (Hamstring Injury)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Heidenheim (4-2-2-2)
Predicted lineup: Frank Feller (Goalkeeper), Hennes Behrens (Defender), Jonas Föhrenbach (Defender), Omar Traoré (Defender), Patrick Mainka (Defender), Arijon Ibrahimovic (Midfielder), Eren Dinkçi (Midfielder), Jan Schöppner (Midfielder), Niklas Dorsch (Midfielder), Budu Zivzivadze (Attacker), Marvin Pieringer (Attacker)
Heidenheim’s predicted 4-2-2-2 should give them a compact base with two central midfielders protecting the back four and helping them stay connected between the lines. With Budu Zivzivadze and Marvin Pieringer up front, they can keep two forwards high and look to turn possession into direct attacks quickly.
FSV Mainz 05 (3-5-2)
Predicted lineup: Robin Zentner (Goalkeeper), Danny da Costa (Defender), Dominik Kohr (Defender), Stefan Posch (Defender), Anthony Caci (Midfielder), Grenddy Perozo (Midfielder), Kaishu Sano (Midfielder), Nadiem Amiri (Midfielder), Paul Nebel (Midfielder), Phillip Tietz (Attacker), Sheraldo Becker (Attacker)
FSV Mainz 05’s predicted 3-5-2 gives them extra numbers through midfield, which should help them control central areas and support both wing-side progression and defensive cover. With Phillip Tietz and Sheraldo Becker leading the line, they have a front pair that can stay close to goal and attack space behind Heidenheim’s back line.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Heidenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | Budu Zivzivadze against Danny da Costa could be important because Heidenheim will want their main forward to pin Mainz’s right-sided defender and create space in the box. |
| Heidenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | Arijon Ibrahimovic against Anthony Caci is a useful midfield-to-wide battle, with Heidenheim needing Ibrahimovic to link play and help them progress into attacking areas. |
| Heidenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | Budu Zivzivadze is key for Heidenheim because the recent lineups show him as a regular attacking outlet, and Heidenheim’s best results have come when they have been able to score more than once. |
| Heidenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | Phillip Tietz is key for FSV Mainz 05 because Mainz have been creating enough to score in several recent matches, and he is one of the main finishing options in their 3-5-2 shape. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
