Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Aston Villa vs Liverpool in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Aston Villa vs Liverpool |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Date | Friday, 15 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 20:00 BST |
| Venue | Villa Park |
Match Prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Liverpool
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 01 Nov 2025 |  Liverpool vs  Aston Villa |
2 – 0 | Anfield |
| Premier League | 19 Feb 2025 | Aston Villa vs Liverpool |
2 – 2 | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 09 Nov 2024 | Liverpool vs Aston Villa |
2 – 0 | Anfield |
| Premier League | 13 May 2024 | Aston Villa vs Liverpool |
3 – 3 | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 03 Sep 2023 | Liverpool vs Aston Villa |
3 – 0 | Anfield |
Aston Villa come into this with mixed league form, but Villa Park gives them a platform and their predicted 4-2-3-1 should help them stay compact before breaking forward. Liverpool have been more consistent in the league overall, yet their recent results show they are not completely secure, especially after the 2-3 loss at Manchester United and the 1-1 draw with Chelsea.
With no xG data available, the clearest guide is the recent scorelines and the head-to-head pattern, which has often produced tight games. Match Prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Liverpool
That points towards a match where both sides can create chances, but Villa may edge it if they make better use of home advantage and keep Liverpool from settling into rhythm. Liverpool still have enough quality to score, so a narrow home win looks the most data-backed call.
Form Guide & Team Overview
Aston Villa
Aston Villa’s recent league form has been uneven, with one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five. They drew 2-2 away at Burnley in their most recent league outing, but before that they lost 1-2 at home to Tottenham Hotspur and 0-1 away at Fulham.
There was a stronger result in the middle of that run when they beat Sunderland 4-3 at home, which shows they can score goals but are also open at the back. In all competitions, the 4-0 win over Nottingham Forest in the Europa League stands out, although it sits alongside a 0-1 loss away to Nottingham Forest in the same competition.
Aston Villa Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 10 May 2026 |  Burnley vs Aston Villa |
2 – 2 | D | Turf Moor |
| Premier League | 3 May 2026 | Aston Villa vs  Tottenham Hotspur |
1 – 2 | L | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 25 Apr 2026 |  Fulham vs Aston Villa |
1 – 0 | L | Craven Cottage |
| Premier League | 19 Apr 2026 | Aston Villa vs  Sunderland |
4 – 3 | W | Villa Park |
| Premier League | 12 Apr 2026 |  Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa |
1 – 1 | D | The City Ground |
Liverpool
Liverpool’s league form is stronger on paper, with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five. Their most recent league result was a 1-1 draw with Chelsea, following a 2-3 defeat away to Manchester United.
Before that, they put together three straight wins against Crystal Palace, Everton and Fulham, scoring three, two and two goals respectively. That run suggests they have been more reliable in the league than Villa, even if the latest two results show a slight dip.
Liverpool Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 9 May 2026 | Liverpool vs  Chelsea |
1 – 1 | D | Anfield |
| Premier League | 3 May 2026 |  Manchester United vs Liverpool |
3 – 2 | L | Old Trafford |
| Premier League | 25 Apr 2026 | Liverpool vs  Crystal Palace |
3 – 1 | W | Anfield |
| Premier League | 19 Apr 2026 |  Everton vs Liverpool |
1 – 2 | W | Hill Dickinson Stadium |
| Premier League | 11 Apr 2026 | Liverpool vs Fulham |
2 – 0 | W | Anfield |
Team News & Injury Report
Aston Villa
- Amadou Onana (Calf Problems)
Liverpool
- Florian Wirtz (Stomach Problems)
Lineups & Tactical Setup
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Emiliano Martínez (Goalkeeper), Ezri Konsa (Defender), Ian Maatsen (Defender), Matty Cash (Defender), Tyrone Mings (Defender), John McGinn (Midfielder), Morgan Rogers (Midfielder), Ross Barkley (Midfielder), Victor Lindelöf (Midfielder), Youri Tielemans (Midfielder), Ollie Watkins (Attacker)
Aston Villa’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base in midfield, with John McGinn and Youri Tielemans likely important in linking play and helping them compete centrally. The shape also leaves Ollie Watkins as the main outlet, so Villa can look to transition quickly when they win the ball.
Liverpool (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Giorgi Mamardashvili (Goalkeeper), Curtis Jones (Defender), Ibrahima Konaté (Defender), Milos Kerkez (Defender), Virgil van Dijk (Defender), Alexis Mac Allister (Midfielder), Dominik Szoboszlai (Midfielder), Jeremie Frimpong (Midfielder), Rio Ngumoha (Midfielder), Ryan Gravenberch (Midfielder), Cody Gakpo (Attacker)
Liverpool’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them control through the middle, with Alexis Mac Allister and Ryan Gravenberch helping to set the tempo. With Cody Gakpo leading the line, the shape also gives them a clear focal point for attacks and enough support from wide and central runners.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Aston Villa | Liverpool | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Liverpool | Ollie Watkins will look to stretch Curtis Jones and test Liverpool’s defensive positioning with runs in behind. |
| Aston Villa | Liverpool | John McGinn’s energy against Alexis Mac Allister could be important for who controls the midfield rhythm. |
| Aston Villa | Liverpool | Ollie Watkins is key for Aston Villa because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted shape and the clearest route to goal. |
| Aston Villa | Liverpool | Cody Gakpo is key for Liverpool because he gives them a direct attacking outlet and a finishing option at the top of the 4-2-3-1. |
FAQs
For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.
Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.
