Sunderland vs Manchester United: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Sunderland vs Manchester United in the Premier League. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 15:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Sunderland vs Manchester United
Competition Premier League
Date Saturday, 09 May 2026
Kick-off 15:00 BST
Venue Stadium of Light

Match Prediction: Sunderland 1-1 Manchester United

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Sunderland24.92%
Manchester United48.62%
Draw26.42%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes49.71%
No50.29%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes48.42%
No51.58%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Premier League 04 Oct 2025 14Manchester United vs 3Sunderland 2 – 0 Old Trafford
Premier League 09 Apr 2017 3Sunderland vs 14Manchester United 0 – 3 Stadium of Light
Premier League 26 Dec 2016 14Manchester United vs 3Sunderland 3 – 1 Old Trafford
Premier League 13 Feb 2016 3Sunderland vs 14Manchester United 2 – 1 Stadium of Light
Premier League 26 Sep 2015 14Manchester United vs 3Sunderland 3 – 0 Old Trafford

Sunderland come into this with a mixed run, but the recent home defeat to Nottingham Forest and the 1-1 draw at Wolverhampton Wanderers suggest they have been less secure at the back than earlier in the sequence. Manchester United have won three in a row in the league, including home wins over Liverpool and Brentford and an away victory at Chelsea, so they arrive with the stronger momentum. With no xG data available, the recent results and the head-to-head record point towards United having the edge, although Sunderland’s home crowd could still make this awkward.

Sunderland’s best route is likely to be keeping the game tight and leaning on Brian Brobbey to give them an outlet up front. Manchester United have been scoring regularly in their recent wins, and Benjamin Sesko gives them a clear focal point in the final third. The head-to-head also leans United’s way, with Sunderland losing the most recent meeting 2-0, so the visitors look the more reliable betting angle. Match Prediction: Sunderland 1-2 Manchester United

Form Guide & Team Overview

Sunderland

Sunderland’s recent league form has been patchy, with one draw, two defeats and two wins in their last five. The 0-5 home loss to Nottingham Forest stands out, while the 3-4 defeat at Aston Villa shows they have been involved in open games as well.

There have been positives too, with a 1-0 home win over Tottenham Hotspur and a 2-1 away win at Newcastle United. The 1-1 draw at Wolverhampton Wanderers suggests they can compete, but the overall picture is of a side that has been inconsistent.

Sunderland Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 2 May 2026 29Wolverhampton Wanderers vs 3Sunderland 1 – 1 D Molineux Stadium
Premier League 24 Apr 2026 3Sunderland vs 63Nottingham Forest 0 – 5 L Stadium of Light
Premier League 19 Apr 2026 15Aston Villa vs 3Sunderland 4 – 3 L Villa Park
Premier League 12 Apr 2026 3Sunderland vs 6Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 0 W Stadium of Light
Premier League 22 Mar 2026 20Newcastle United vs 3Sunderland 1 – 2 W St. James' Park

Manchester United

Manchester United arrive in better shape, having won their last three league matches. Those results include a 3-2 home win over Liverpool, a 2-1 home win over Brentford and a 1-0 away win at Chelsea.

Before that run, they were less convincing, with a home loss to Leeds United and a draw at AFC Bournemouth. Even so, the current sequence gives them clear momentum heading into this trip.

Manchester United Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Premier League 3 May 2026 14Manchester United vs 8Liverpool 3 – 2 W Old Trafford
Premier League 27 Apr 2026 14Manchester United vs 236Brentford 2 – 1 W Old Trafford
Premier League 18 Apr 2026 18Chelsea vs 14Manchester United 0 – 1 W Stamford Bridge
Premier League 13 Apr 2026 14Manchester United vs 71Leeds United 1 – 2 L Old Trafford
Premier League 20 Mar 2026 52AFC Bournemouth vs 14Manchester United 2 – 2 D Vitality Stadium

Team News & Injury Report

Sunderland

  • Dan Ballard (Red Card Suspension)

Manchester United

  • Matheus Cunha (Hip Flexor Problems)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Sunderland vs Manchester United predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Sunderland (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Robin Roefs (Goalkeeper), TBC (Defender), Nordi Mukiele (Defender), Omar Alderete (Defender), Reinildo Mandava (Defender), Chemsdine Talbi (Midfielder), Enzo Le Fée (Midfielder), Granit Xhaka (Midfielder), Noah Sadiki (Midfielder), Trai Hume (Midfielder), Brian Brobbey (Attacker)

Sunderland’s 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base, with the double pivot helping protect the back line and release the wide midfielders quickly. Brian Brobbey can then stay high as the main reference point, with support arriving from the three players behind him.

Manchester United (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Senne Lammens (Goalkeeper), Ayden Heaven (Defender), Diogo Dalot (Defender), Harry Maguire (Defender), Luke Shaw (Defender), Bruno Fernandes (Midfielder), Bryan Mbeumo (Midfielder), Casemiro (Midfielder), Kobbie Mainoo (Midfielder), TBC (Midfielder), Benjamin Sesko (Attacker)

Manchester United’s 4-2-3-1 gives them a strong central spine, with Bruno Fernandes and the deeper midfielders able to control tempo and feed the attack. Benjamin Sesko should benefit from service between the lines and from wide areas, especially if the full-backs push on.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Sunderland Manchester United Text
Sunderland Manchester United Brian Brobbey will need to use his physical presence to trouble Ayden Heaven and give Sunderland a way up the pitch.
Sunderland Manchester United Chemsdine Talbi against Bruno Fernandes could shape the midfield battle, with Sunderland needing Talbi to work hard without the ball.
Sunderland Manchester United Brian Brobbey is key for Sunderland because he is the main attacking outlet and the player most likely to turn pressure into chances.
Sunderland Manchester United Benjamin Sesko is key for Manchester United because he has been the central forward in their recent wins and offers the clearest finishing threat.

FAQs

How to watch Sunderland vs Manchester United

Fans in the UK are able to watch Sunderland vs Manchester United on Amazon Prime Video, NOW, TNT Sports 3, Premier Sports ROI 1, SKY GO Extra, Sky Ultra HD, Sky Go UK, Sky Sports Main Event at 15:00 BST on Saturday, 09 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Sunderland vs Manchester United?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Sunderland 1-1 Manchester United in this match.

Can you bet on Sunderland vs Manchester United?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Sunderland vs Manchester United.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Sunderland 34.83%
Manchester United 56.67%
Draw 8.50%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 26.27%
No 73.73%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.36%
No 23.64%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 45.40%
No 54.60%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 59.66%
No 40.34%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 82.39%
No 9.66%
Equal 7.95%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 71.84%
No 17.61%
Equal 10.55%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 59.53%
No 28.16%
Equal 12.31%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.19%
No 72.81%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.94%
No 85.06%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.51%
No 91.49%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.22%
No 97.78%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Sunderland / Sunderland 12.96%
Sunderland / Manchester United 3.15%
Sunderland / Draw 5.10%
Manchester United / Sunderland 1.80%
Manchester United / Manchester United 30.68%
Manchester United / Draw 5.38%
Draw / Draw 14.85%
Draw / Sunderland 9%
Draw / Manchester United 17.08%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Sunderland 21.66%
Manchester United 35.98%
Draw 42.36%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Sunderland 51.34%
Draw / Manchester United 75.04%
Sunderland / Manchester United 73.54%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
0-1 11.47%
1-1 11.29%
1-2 9.38%
0-2 8.54%
0-0 8.50%
1-0 7.89%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 72.10%
No 27.90%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.61%
No 79.39%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 7.63%
No 92.37%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.49%
No 1.72%
Equal 2.80%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 90.34%
No 4.51%
Equal 5.15%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 46.71%
No 40.47%
Equal 12.81%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.66%
No 53.29%
Equal 12.05%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.66%
No 65.34%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.31%
No 65.34%
Equal 10.35%

For the best Premier League outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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