Villarreal host PSG at the Estadio de la Cerámica on Tuesday 3 November 2026 (kick-off 20:00 UK) in league phase matchday 4 of the Champions League. The two sides arrive in very different places.
Table and form
PSG top the league-phase table with three wins from three, nine points and a goal difference of +9. Villarreal are 19th with one win, three points and a goal difference of 0. That is inside the places for the knockout play-offs (ninth to 24th), but well short of the top eight who go straight through.
PSG's recent results make for impressive reading:
- Won 4-2 v Barcelona
- Won 4-2 at Man City
- Won 6-1 v Slovan Bratislava
Villarreal's results have been far more mixed, and all three have been high scoring:
- Lost 3-4 at Liverpool
- Won 3-1 v Napoli
- Lost 2-3 at Dortmund
The numbers that matter
Goals are the story of both sides' seasons so far. PSG average 4.67 goals per game, against 2.67 for Villarreal, which is a respectable figure in its own right.
The gap is at the other end. Villarreal concede 2.67 per game, while PSG concede 1.67. Neither team has kept a clean sheet, so a goalless night for either defence would be a first.
That defensive record is reflected in the points per game: PSG average 3, Villarreal 1.
Discipline is another contrast. Villarreal have collected seven yellow cards this season, PSG just one.
Head to head and prediction
There is no recent head-to-head between the clubs to draw on, so this is a first meeting as far as our records show. Form and numbers will have to do the talking.
Villarreal will take some encouragement from the fact that they have scored at least twice in each of their three games. They scored three against both Liverpool and Napoli. Yet PSG have scored at least four in each of their three, and that is a lot for any defence to contain, let alone one that has conceded eight in three matches.
MFF's match model prediction is a 2-1 win for PSG, which would be Villarreal 1-2 PSG. The model gives PSG a 55% chance of winning, Villarreal 27%, and puts the draw at 18%.
If it plays out that way, PSG would stay top and Villarreal would remain in the middle of the pack. A home win would lift Villarreal towards the top eight.
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