Man Utd host Bournemouth at Old Trafford on Sunday 25 October 2026 (kick-off 14:00) in Premier League gameweek 8. Neither side has made the start it wanted.
Two sides short of wins
United are 13th with seven points from seven games. They have won only once, and their goal difference is level at zero. Bournemouth are 15th on six points, also with one win, and a goal difference of minus four.
United's last five league games read four draws and one defeat: 2-2 at Everton, 0-1 against Man City, 1-1 at Fulham, 1-1 with Tottenham and 1-1 at Leeds United. They have not kept a clean sheet all season.
Bournemouth's last five brought one win, two draws and two defeats. They drew 2-2 at Newcastle and 2-2 with Brentford, lost 0-1 to Liverpool and 1-5 at Chelsea, and beat Sunderland 2-0. They have one clean sheet this season.
What the numbers say
United average 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game, and 1.00 points per game. Bournemouth score 1.29 and concede 1.86 per game, and collect 0.86 points per game. The visitors have also collected more bookings, with 21 yellow cards to United's 12.
Expected goals data via Fantasy Premier League, which measures the quality of chances created, is fairly even. United average 1.71 xG for and 1.42 against per game. Bournemouth are slightly higher going forward at 1.77 and tighter at the back on 1.16.
Among individuals, Mbeumo leads United with 3.96 xG and four goals, while Bruno Fernandes has 2.66 xG and three goals. Cunha has three assists. For Bournemouth, Tavernier has four goals from 2.89 xG and Evanilson has four assists alongside two goals. Rayan has 1.53 xG without scoring.
FPL lists several United players as injured, including Shaw, Šeško, Mainoo and Ugarte, each with a 0% chance of playing. It lists Martinez, Heaven and Rashford as doubtful, each with a 75% chance of playing. Dorgu is listed as injured, with FPL giving an expected return date of 25 October.
Bournemouth have Milosavljević, J.Araujo, Scott and Tóth.A listed by FPL as injured. Kroupi.Jr, FPL's first-choice Bournemouth penalty taker, is doubtful with a foot problem and a 75% chance of playing. Bruno Fernandes is United's.
Head-to-head
United have not beaten Bournemouth in their last six meetings. Bournemouth have won two and four have been drawn.
- 20 March 2026: Bournemouth 2-2 Man Utd
- 15 December 2025: Man Utd 4-4 Bournemouth
- 27 April 2025: Bournemouth 1-1 Man Utd
- 22 December 2024: Man Utd 0-3 Bournemouth
- 13 April 2024: Bournemouth 2-2 Man Utd
- 9 December 2023: Man Utd 0-3 Bournemouth
Both of Bournemouth's wins came at Old Trafford, by 3-0.
MFF prediction
MFF's match model expects a narrow home win, with Man Utd 2-1 Bournemouth the predicted score. It gives United a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bournemouth 23%.
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