Man City have won all six of their Premier League games this season. They host Ipswich Town at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday 17 October 2026 (3pm kick-off) in gameweek 7.
Leaders against the mid-table
City top the table on 18 points from six games, with a goal difference of +11. Ipswich are 10th on 9 points after three wins from six, and their goal difference is -3.
City's form is five wins from five: 4-1 at Crystal Palace, 1-0 against Coventry City, 1-0 at Man Utd, 5-3 against Sunderland and 3-0 at Liverpool.
Ipswich have won two of their last five and lost three. They beat Fulham 2-1 and won 3-2 at Crystal Palace. They also lost 1-0 at Everton, 2-0 at home to Liverpool and 5-2 at Man Utd.
The numbers that matter
City average 2.67 goals per game and concede 0.83, which gives them 3.00 points per game and three clean sheets. Ipswich average 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded, with 1.5 points per game and no clean sheets.
Expected goals data via Fantasy Premier League (xG, the quality of chances created) points the same way. City create 1.96 xG per game and allow 1.38. Ipswich create 1.48 and allow 1.86. City have scored and conceded better than those figures suggest. Ipswich's actual numbers are close to theirs.
Erling Haaland has 6 goals from 4.82 xG in 529 minutes. Cherki has four goals from 1.3 xG and has 1.7 expected assists, with two assists. FPL lists Haaland as City's first-choice penalty taker.
Ipswich's main threats are Emersonn, with 2.05 xG and two goals, and Davis, with two goals and two assists. Enciso has no goals but has two assists from 1.61 expected assists. FPL lists Clarke as Ipswich's first-choice penalty taker.
Both sides have collected yellow cards this season: City have eight and Ipswich ten.
Phil Foden's availability is unclear. On MFF's card count, his straight red card rules him out of this match only if the ban is the three-match one for serious foul play or violent conduct. This is our reading of the cards, not an official ruling.
Recent meetings and MFF's prediction
The two clubs have met twice recently, and City won both. They won 4-1 at home on 24 August 2024. They then won 6-0 at Ipswich on 19 January 2025.
MFF's match model predicts a 2-0 home win. It gives City a 76% chance of winning, with 14% for a draw and 10% for an Ipswich win.