Leeds United host Tottenham at Elland Road on Saturday 7 November (12:30) in Premier League gameweek 10, with only a point and three places separating the sides.
Spurs are ninth on 12 points from nine games, with three wins and a goal difference of zero. Leeds are 12th on 11 points, with two wins and a goal difference of plus one.
Form and season numbers
Leeds have not won any of their last five league games. They have drawn three (0-0 with Crystal Palace, 1-1 with Manchester United and 0-0 at Sunderland) and lost two (2-1 at Arsenal and 2-0 at Bournemouth). They have scored twice in those five matches.
Tottenham have won three of their last five, beating Palace 2-0, Chelsea 2-0 away and Coventry City 3-1. They also drew 1-1 at Manchester United and lost 3-2 at home to Aston Villa. They have scored ten in the five.
Over the season, the sides are close. Leeds average 1.00 goals a game and concede 0.89. Tottenham average 1.11 and concede 1.11. Spurs have 1.33 points per game to Leeds' 1.22, and have four clean sheets to Leeds' three.
Expected goals data via Fantasy Premier League, which measures the quality of chances created, is also tight. Leeds create 1.27 xG per game and allow 1.34. Tottenham create 1.30 and allow 1.12.
Leeds' main threat is Calvert-Lewin, with 3.91 xG and three goals in 773 minutes. FPL lists him as the first-choice penalty taker. For Tottenham, Solanke has 1.90 xG and one goal in 440 minutes and is also their listed penalty taker. Van Hecke has two goals from 1.63 xG.
Availability
FPL lists Rodon (hamstring, expected back 21 November) and Mateo Joseph (knee, return date unknown) as out for Leeds. It lists Okafor as doubtful with a thigh problem, a 75% chance of playing.
Tottenham have a longer list. FPL has Tosin, Sávio, Xavi, Odobert, Bergvall and Mudryk as injured, each with a 0% chance of playing, and Richarlison as unavailable.
Leeds midfielder Ethan Ampadu is one booking from a ban, with four league bookings. Leeds have 17 yellow cards this season to Tottenham's 13.
Head to head
The recent record favours the visitors. Tottenham have won five of the last six meetings, with one draw and no Leeds win. The latest was a 1-1 draw at Tottenham on 11 May 2026. Before that, Spurs won 2-1 at Elland Road on 4 October 2025, and by 4-1 there on 28 May 2023.
MFF prediction
MFF's match model predicts a narrow home win, 1-0 to Leeds United. It gives Leeds a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tottenham 25%.
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