Hull City host Brentford at the MKM Stadium on Sunday 25 October 2026 (kick-off 14:00) in Premier League gameweek 8, with only a point and three places separating the sides.
Brentford are sixth with 10 points from seven games, a goal difference of +5 and two wins. Hull are ninth on 9 points, with a goal difference of +1 and the same number of wins.
Form and season numbers
Hull have not won in their last five league games: three draws and two defeats. They have scored five and conceded seven in that run, and have drawn 0-0 with Aston Villa and 2-2 with both Chelsea and Everton. Their season averages are 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game, with 1.29 points per game and three clean sheets.
Brentford's last five brought one win, three draws and one defeat. The win was 3-0 against Chelsea, and they have also drawn 2-2 at Aston Villa and at Bournemouth. They average 1.86 goals per game, concede 1.14 and take 1.43 points per game. They have two clean sheets.
Expected goals data via Fantasy Premier League, which measures the quality of chances created and conceded, points the same way. Brentford create 1.74 per game and allow 1.48. Hull create 0.98 and allow 1.50.
Players to watch
Igor Thiago leads Brentford's expected goals with 3.69, though he has scored once in 622 minutes. FPL lists him as the first-choice penalty taker. Keane Schade has three goals from 1.93 xG.
For Hull, Oli McBurnie has 1.23 xG without a goal in 621 minutes, and is FPL's first-choice penalty taker. Belloumi has three goals from 0.96 xG.
On MFF's card count, Brentford's Yegor Yarmolyuk is due to serve a ban for a straight red card, and Vitaly Janelt a one-match ban after being sent off for two bookings. Thiago is one booking from a ban after four league bookings. Hull's Matt Crooks and McBurnie are also one booking away, each on four.
FPL lists seven Hull players as injured with a 0% chance of playing: Hughes, Targett, Mendy, Ansah, Butland, Matazo and Gyabi. It lists Vaz, Gourna-Douath and Cho as doubtful, each with a 75% chance of playing. For Brentford, FPL lists Furo, Milambo and Dasilva as injured, and Schuster as doubtful with an ankle problem, 75% chance of playing.
Head to head
The most recent meetings in our records are two games from 2019-20. Brentford won 5-1 at Hull on 1 February 2020, after a 1-1 draw on 17 August 2019. Hull have no wins in that pair.
MFF prediction
MFF's match model prediction is a narrow 1-0 home win. It gives Hull a 39% chance of victory, the draw 28% and Brentford 33%.
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