Crystal Palace host Newcastle at Selhurst Park Stadium on Sunday 25 October (14:00) in Premier League gameweek 8. Neither side has found consistency, and the table shows it.
Newcastle are 11th with 8 points from seven games and a goal difference of -4. Palace are 14th with 7 points and a goal difference of -8. Each has won two matches. Manchester City lead the way on 21 points from seven wins out of seven.
Form and season numbers
Palace have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five. The wins came at Fulham (3-2) and against Nottingham Forest (3-1). The defeats were a 0-5 loss at Brighton and a 2-3 home loss to Ipswich Town. They also drew 0-0 at Leeds United.
Newcastle's run is harder to read. They have one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five. They beat Hull City 2-1 and drew 2-2 with Bournemouth. They lost 1-4 at Leeds United, 1-4 at Coventry City and 0-1 at home to Aston Villa.
The season averages are close. Newcastle score 1.43 goals a game and Palace 1.29. At the other end, Palace concede 2.43 a game and Newcastle 2. Palace average 1 point per game and Newcastle 1.14. Each side has one clean sheet. Newcastle have picked up 19 yellow cards, Palace 9.
Expected goals data via Fantasy Premier League, which measures the quality of chances created, tells a similar story. Palace average 1.35 xG for and 2.13 against per game. Newcastle average 1.16 for and 1.75 against.
Players to watch
Newcastle's Wissa has the highest xG among either side's leading players, at 2.97, but has scored once in 608 minutes. Barnes has three assists from 630 minutes, and Willock has two goals from 1.15 xG.
For Palace, Strand Larsen has 1.41 xG and one goal in 440 minutes. Khalaili has 1.24 xG and one goal in 559 minutes. Mateta has 1.16 xG without a goal, though in only 91 minutes. FPL lists Mateta as Palace's first-choice penalty taker and Osula as Newcastle's.
On availability, FPL lists Palace's Henderson as doubtful with a foot problem (50% chance of playing) and Timber as doubtful with a hamstring problem (75%). It lists Riad and Tomiyasu as out. For Newcastle, FPL lists Livramento, Jaouen, Elanga and J.Ramsey as injured, with Elanga's expected return given as 25 October.
Head-to-head
Newcastle have won three of the last six meetings, Palace two, with one draw. Newcastle won 5-0 in April 2025 and 2-0 in January 2026. Palace have the better record at Selhurst Park in that run. They won 2-0 in April 2024, drew 1-1 in November 2024 and won 2-1 on 12 April 2026, the most recent meeting.
MFF prediction
MFF's match model predicts a narrow away win, Crystal Palace 1-2 Newcastle. It gives Newcastle a 39% chance of victory, Palace 38% and a draw 23%.
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