Chelsea host Man Utd at Stamford Bridge on Saturday 31 October 2026 (12:30 UK) in gameweek 9 of the Premier League. The sides come into it in very different parts of the table.
Where the sides stand
Chelsea are fifth with 13 points from eight games. They have won four, and their goal difference is +2. Leaders Man City are on 21 points.
Man Utd are 16th with seven points from eight, with one win and a goal difference of -3. They are two points above 20th-placed Sunderland, who have five.
The points-per-game figures tell the same story: 1.63 for Chelsea, 0.88 for United.
Form and the numbers
Chelsea's last five league games brought two wins, a draw and two defeats. They beat Bournemouth 5-1 and Everton 2-0, but lost 3-0 at Brentford and 2-0 to Tottenham, and drew 2-2 with Hull City.
United have not won in their last five. They have drawn three (at Leeds United, against Tottenham and at Fulham, all 1-1) and lost two, 3-0 to Bournemouth and 1-0 to Man City.
Chelsea average 2.13 goals per game and concede 1.88. United score 1.25 and concede 1.63. Chelsea have one clean sheet this season and United have none. Both teams have 16 yellow cards.
Expected goals data via Fantasy Premier League, which measures the quality of chances created, is closer. Chelsea average 1.31 xG for and 1.47 against per game. United average 1.65 for and 1.51 against. On those figures Chelsea have scored well above the level of their chances, while United have scored below it.
United's Mbeumo has four goals from 4.22 xG. Bruno Fernandes has three from 2.66. For Chelsea, João Pedro leads the scoring with five goals from 3.05 xG, and Rogers has four from 2.13.
Availability
By MFF's card count, Cole Palmer is due to serve a one-match ban after being sent off for two bookings. He has two goals and four assists this season.
FPL lists João Pedro as injured with a thigh problem, 0% chance of playing. It also lists Lacroix as doubtful with a hamstring problem, 75% chance of playing. For United, FPL lists Rashford as doubtful with a hip problem, 75% chance of playing.
Head to head
United have the better of the last six meetings, with three wins to Chelsea's two and one draw. The most recent was on 18 April 2026, when United won 1-0 at Stamford Bridge. Before that, United won 2-1 at Old Trafford in September 2025, and Chelsea won 1-0 at home in May 2025.
The other three games were a 1-1 draw in November 2024, a 4-3 Chelsea win in April 2024 and a 2-1 United win in December 2023.
MFF's prediction
MFF's match model prediction is a 2-1 Chelsea win. It gives Chelsea a 43% chance of winning, a draw 22% and United 34%.
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