Brighton host Crystal Palace at the Falmer Stadium (American Express Stadium) on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 2pm, in Premier League gameweek 7.
The hosts are third with 13 points from six games, four wins and a goal difference of +13. Palace are 12th with seven points, two wins and a goal difference of -3. Manchester City lead the table with 18 points from six wins.
Form and season numbers
Brighton's last five league games brought three wins, a draw and a defeat. They won 5-0 at Coventry City, 3-0 against Arsenal and 2-0 at Sunderland, drew 1-1 with Leeds United and lost 4-3 at Chelsea.
They average three goals a game and concede 0.83. They have four clean sheets and 2.17 points per game.
Palace have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five. They beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 and won 3-2 at Fulham, but lost 3-2 to Ipswich Town and 4-1 to Manchester City. They drew 0-0 at Leeds United.
Palace average 1.5 goals a game and concede two. They have one clean sheet and 1.17 points per game. Brighton have collected 13 yellow cards this season, Palace eight.
Expected goals data via Fantasy Premier League, which measures the quality of chances created, points the same way. Brighton create 2.16 per game and allow 1.62. Palace create 1.45 and allow 2.1.
Pascal Groß is Brighton's leading threat on that measure: 2.02 xG, three goals and five assists in 540 minutes. He is also FPL's first-choice penalty taker for the club. Maxim De Cuyper has two goals from 1.8 xG. For Palace, Jørgen Strand Larsen has one goal from 1.41 xG, and Eddie Nketiah has none from 1.1 xG.
Team news
By MFF's card count, Brighton's Pascal Struijk is due to miss this game after a straight red card, under the standard punishment. Palace's Axel Disasi, also sent off, would be out only if his ban is the three-match one for serious foul play or violent conduct.
FPL lists Jean-Philippe Mateta, its first-choice Palace penalty taker, with a hamstring injury and a 0% chance of playing, with an expected return of 18 October. It gives the same date for Palace's Tomiyasu and Henderson. For Brighton, FPL lists Ferguson, Mitoma, Yohanna and Azeez as expected back on 18 October. Wieffer and Tzimas have knee injuries with no return date.
Head to head
Palace have the better recent record. In the last six meetings they have three wins to Brighton's one, with two draws.
They have won three of the last four, including 1-0 at Brighton in February 2026. The two sides drew 0-0 at Selhurst Park in November 2025. Brighton's only win in the run was 4-1 at home in February 2024.
MFF prediction
MFF's match model predicts a 2-0 Brighton win. It gives the home side a 73% chance, with 16% for a draw and 11% for a Palace victory.