Brentford host Liverpool at the Brentford Community Stadium on Saturday 17 October 2026 (kick-off 3pm) in Premier League gameweek 7. The Bees are fourth on 10 points. Liverpool are ninth on 9.
Man City lead the table with 18 points from six wins out of six.
Form and season numbers
Brentford have drawn four of their last five league games and won the other, 3-0 against Chelsea. The draws came at Leeds United (1-1), against Sunderland (1-1), at Bournemouth (2-2) and at Aston Villa (2-2). They have won two of their six and sit on a goal difference of +6.
Liverpool have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five. They beat Ipswich Town 2-0 and Bournemouth 1-0, drew 0-0 with Fulham and 2-2 with Nottingham Forest, and lost 3-0 at Man City. Their goal difference is 0.
Brentford average 2 goals a game and concede 1, which works out at 1.67 points per game. Liverpool average 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded, and 1.5 points per game. Liverpool have three clean sheets to Brentford's two. In the card count, Brentford have 16 yellows and Liverpool 15.
What the underlying numbers say
Expected goals (xG), the quality of chances created, points to a similar picture. Data via Fantasy Premier League has Brentford at 1.88 xG for and 1.45 against per game. Liverpool are at 1.55 for and 1.24 against.
Brentford's Thiago leads the way for the hosts on 3.2 xG, with one goal in 532 minutes. Schade has three goals from 1.93 xG. For Liverpool, Isak has four goals from 3.54 xG, but FPL lists him as injured with a thigh problem and a 0% chance of playing.
FPL also lists Gakpo, Ekitiké, Bradley, Leoni and Jaros as injured. It has Szoboszlai, Liverpool's first-choice penalty taker, as doubtful with a hamstring problem, 75% chance of playing. For Brentford, FPL lists Collins, Furo, Milambo and Dasilva as out. Schuster, Schade and Damsgaard are doubtful, each with a 75% chance of playing.
On cards, Liverpool's Ryan Gravenberch is due to serve a one-match ban, as worked out by MFF after he was sent off for two bookings. Brentford's Vitaly Janelt is one booking from a ban, with four league bookings.
Head to head
Liverpool have won four of the last six meetings, Brentford one, with one draw. The most recent game was a 1-1 draw at Anfield on 24 May 2026. Brentford's win came at home on 25 October 2025, 3-2. Before that, Liverpool won 2-0 and 4-1 on their last two visits to Brentford in the sequence.
MFF prediction
MFF's match model predicts a 1-0 Brentford win. It gives the home side a 51% chance, the draw 24% and a Liverpool win 25%.