Bournemouth host Leeds United at Dean Court (Vitality Stadium) on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 3pm, in Premier League gameweek 9. Leeds arrive in seventh place. Bournemouth are 13th.
Table and form
Leeds have 11 points from eight games, with two wins and a goal difference of +3. Bournemouth have 9 points from eight, also with two wins, and a goal difference of -1. Manchester City lead the table on 21 points.
Over their last five matches, Bournemouth have won two, drawn one and lost two. They won 3-0 at Manchester United and 2-0 against Sunderland, but lost 5-1 at Chelsea and 1-0 to Liverpool, then drew 2-2 with Brentford.
Leeds have won one, drawn three and lost one. They beat Newcastle 4-1 and drew 0-0 with Crystal Palace, 1-1 with Manchester United and 0-0 at Sunderland. Their one defeat was 2-1 at Arsenal.
The numbers that matter
Bournemouth score more, at 1.5 goals per game against 1.13 for Leeds. They also concede more, at 1.63 per game against 0.75. Leeds have three clean sheets to Bournemouth's two, and average 1.38 points per game to the home side's 1.13.
Bournemouth have collected 22 yellow cards this season. Leeds have 15.
Expected goals data via Fantasy Premier League, which measures the quality of chances created and conceded, also favours the hosts going forward. Bournemouth average 1.82 xG per game and allow 1.16. Leeds average 1.34 and allow 1.35. All figures are from eight games.
Among individuals, Tavernier has five goals from 3.61 xG for Bournemouth, and Evanilson has three goals and four assists from 3.11 xG. Leeds rely on Calvert-Lewin, who has three goals from 3.6 xG. FPL lists Kroupi.Jr and Calvert-Lewin as the first-choice penalty takers.
Availability
FPL lists four Bournemouth players as injured, each with a 0% chance of playing: Milosavljević (thigh, expected back 31 October), J.Araujo (thigh), Scott (thigh, expected back 8 November) and Tóth.A (hamstring).
For Leeds, FPL lists Rodon (hamstring, expected back 21 November) and Mateo Joseph (knee) as injured. It lists Elvedi as doubtful with an illness, a 75% chance of playing.
Head to head
The last four meetings have produced one win each and two draws. The two most recent, in April 2026 at Bournemouth and September 2025 at Leeds, both finished 2-2. Before that, Bournemouth won 4-1 at home in April 2023, and Leeds won 4-3 at Elland Road in November 2022.
MFF prediction
MFF's match model prediction is a narrow Bournemouth win, 1-0. It gives the home side a 41% chance of victory, with a 27% chance of a draw and 32% for Leeds.
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