Man City arrive at Villa Park on Saturday with a 100% record in the Premier League. Aston Villa, 12th in the table, have won four of the last six meetings between the sides.
Kick-off in Gameweek 8 is at 12:30 on Saturday 24 October 2026.
Leaders against a mid-table side
City top the table after seven games, with seven wins, 21 points and a goal difference of +12. Villa have 8 points from their seven games, with two wins and a goal difference of -4.
The gap shows in the averages. City score 2.71 goals a game and concede 1.00, which gives them 3.00 points a game. Villa score 1.00 and concede 1.57, for 1.14 points a game. City have three clean sheets to Villa's two. Villa have collected 14 yellow cards this season, City nine.
City's last five league results are all wins: 1-0 against Coventry City, 1-0 at Man Utd, 5-3 against Sunderland, 3-0 at Liverpool and 3-2 against Ipswich Town.
Villa's last five are mixed. They have won 1-0 at Newcastle and 3-2 at Tottenham, drawn 2-2 with Brentford and 0-0 at Hull City, and lost 2-1 at home to Nottingham Forest.
What the numbers say
Expected goals data via Fantasy Premier League, which measures the quality of chances created, also favours City. They average 2.16 xG for and 1.45 against per game. Villa's figures are 1.21 for and 1.61 against.
Erling Haaland is City's main threat. He has eight goals from 5.69 xG in 619 minutes, and FPL lists him as City's first-choice penalty taker. Cherki has four goals from 1.30 xG, and Foden has 2.23 xG and two assists in 293 minutes.
Villa's goals are spread more thinly. McGinn leads their xG with 1.64 and one goal. Buendía, the first-choice penalty taker according to FPL, has 1.55 xG and one goal. N.Jackson has two goals from 1.46 xG.
Head-to-head and team news
Villa have won four of the last six meetings, City two, with no draws. Villa won the most recent one 2-1 at the Etihad Stadium on 24 May 2026. They also won 1-0 at Villa Park in October 2025, and have won all three of the last three home games in this fixture, the earlier ones 2-1 in December 2024 and 1-0 in December 2023. City's wins came 2-1 in April 2025 and 4-1 in April 2024.
FPL lists Ruggeri (hamstring), Wan-Bissaka (hamstring) and Onana (knee) as injured for Villa, each with a 0% chance of playing. It lists Manzambi as doubtful with a calf problem, 75% chance of playing.
For City, FPL lists Semenyo as injured with a knee problem, 0% chance of playing. It has O'Reilly (back), Matheus N. and Kovačić (both unspecified) as doubtful, each with a 75% chance of playing.
MFF prediction
MFF's match model predicts a 2-1 win for Man City. It gives City a 56% chance of winning, Villa 23% and a draw 22%.
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