Roma vs Fiorentina: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
7 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Roma vs Fiorentina in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 19:45 BST match.

Match Details

  • Fixture: Roma vs Fiorentina
  • Date: Monday, 04 May 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 BST
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico

Our predictions for Roma vs Fiorentina

Match Prediction: Roma 1-1 Fiorentina

Roma come into this one with the steadier league form, and the recent home results suggest they can control spells of the match at the Stadio Olimpico. Fiorentina have been harder to beat than spectacular, with a run of draws mixed with narrow wins, so this could stay tight for long periods.

Roma’s 3-4-2-1 gives them a solid base, but they have enough attacking quality to ask questions if they move the ball quickly into the wide and advanced pockets. Fiorentina’s 4-3-3 should help them stay compact in midfield and look for moments through their front three, yet they may need to be patient if Roma settle early. Match Prediction: Roma 2-1 Fiorentina

Form Guide & Team Overview

Roma

Roma’s recent league form is strong overall, with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five. They have kept things particularly tidy at home, beating Pisa 3-0 and Lecce 1-0, while also drawing 1-1 with Atalanta.

The only real setback in that run was the 5-2 loss away to Inter, but they responded well with a 2-0 win at Bologna. That suggests Roma have been competitive and generally reliable, especially when they can build from a stable defensive shape.

Recent Serie A Results:

  • Win: 2-0 vs Bologna (A)
  • Draw: 1-1 vs Atalanta (H)
  • Win: 3-0 vs Pisa (H)
  • Loss: 2-5 vs Inter (A)
  • Win: 1-0 vs Lecce (H)

Fiorentina

Fiorentina’s recent league results point to a side that is difficult to break down but not always prolific. They have drawn three of their last five, including 0-0 with Sassuolo and 1-1 away at Lecce, alongside narrow 1-0 wins over Lazio and Hellas Verona.

That pattern suggests matches involving Fiorentina can stay close, with margins often deciding things. Their recent run has been steady rather than dominant, and the lack of goals in the last two league games is worth noting.

Recent Serie A Results:

  • Draw: 0-0 vs Sassuolo (H)
  • Draw: 1-1 vs Lecce (A)
  • Win: 1-0 vs Lazio (H)
  • Win: 1-0 vs Hellas Verona (A)
  • Draw: 1-1 vs Inter (H)

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record has been fairly mixed, but Roma have had the better of the most recent meetings. They won 2-1 away in October 2025 and 1-0 at home in May 2025, which gives them a slight edge in the latest sample. Fiorentina’s standout result in that sequence was the 5-1 home win in October 2024, so there is evidence of both sides finding success. Overall, the pattern points to competitive games, with several tight scorelines and only one clear outlier.

Recent Serie A Results

  • Fiorentina 1-2 Roma (05 Oct 2025)
  • Roma 1-0 Fiorentina (04 May 2025)
  • Fiorentina 5-1 Roma (27 Oct 2024)
  • Fiorentina 2-2 Roma (10 Mar 2024)
  • Roma 1-1 Fiorentina (10 Dec 2023)

Team News & Injury Report

Roma

  • Neil El Aynaoui (Yellow Card Suspension)

Fiorentina

  • Roberto Piccoli (Unknown Injury)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Roma (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Mile Svilar (Goalkeeper), Evan Ndicka (Defender), Gianluca Mancini (Defender), Mario Hermoso (Defender), Bryan Cristante (Midfielder), TBC (Midfielder), Wesley (Midfielder), Zeki Çelik (Midfielder), Donyell Malen (Attacker), Matías Soulé (Attacker), Niccolò Pisilli (Attacker)

Roma’s predicted 3-4-2-1 should give them a compact defensive platform, with the back three helping them manage Fiorentina’s wide threats. The shape also leaves room for Donyell Malen and Matías Soulé to support attacks close to the striker and create chances between the lines.

Fiorentina (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: David de Gea (Goalkeeper), Daniele Rugani (Defender), Dodô (Defender), Luca Ranieri (Defender), Luís Balbo (Defender), Cher Ndour (Midfielder), Nicolò Fagioli (Midfielder), Rolando Mandragora (Midfielder), Albert Gudmundsson (Attacker), Jack Harrison (Attacker), Manor Solomon (Attacker)

Fiorentina’s predicted 4-3-3 should provide balance, with the midfield trio helping them compete for second balls and keep Roma from settling. The front three give them pace and movement in advanced areas, which could be important if they want to stretch Roma’s back line.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

  • Donyell Malen vs Daniele Rugani: Donyell Malen’s movement and direct running will test Daniele Rugani’s positioning and ability to hold the line.
  • Bryan Cristante vs Cher Ndour: Bryan Cristante and Cher Ndour should be central to the midfield battle, with both sides needing control in that area.
  • Donyell Malen (Roma): Donyell Malen is key for Roma because he has been part of their recent attacking structure and offers a direct threat from advanced positions.
  • Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina): Albert Gudmundsson is key for Fiorentina because he has featured in their recent attacking line and gives them a creative and goal threat in the final third.

FAQs

How to watch Roma vs Fiorentina

Fans in the UK are able to watch Roma vs Fiorentina on TNT Sports 3 at 19:45 BST on Monday, 04 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Roma 1-1 Fiorentina in this match.

Can you bet on Roma vs Fiorentina?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Roma vs Fiorentina.

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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