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Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 18:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal
Competition La Liga
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 18:00 BST
Venue Estadio de Vallecas

Match Prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Villarreal

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Rayo Vallecano42.97%
Villarreal29.42%
Draw27.60%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes49.70%
No50.30%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes45.30%
No54.70%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
La Liga 01 Nov 2025 3477Villarreal vs 377Rayo Vallecano 4 – 0 Estadio de la Cerámica
La Liga 22 Feb 2025 377Rayo Vallecano vs 3477Villarreal 0 – 1 Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 18 Dec 2024 3477Villarreal vs 377Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 Estadio de la Cerámica
La Liga 28 Apr 2024 3477Villarreal vs 377Rayo Vallecano 3 – 0 Estadio de la Cerámica
La Liga 24 Sep 2023 377Rayo Vallecano vs 3477Villarreal 1 – 1 Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano come into this at Estadio de Vallecas with a recent run that has been fairly steady, and the home draw with Girona plus the 2-0 win at Getafe suggest they can keep games tight. Villarreal have also been picking up results, but their away draw at Mallorca and the 1-1 at Real Oviedo show they are not always straightforward on the road.

The head-to-head record leans Villarreal, yet the most recent meetings have been competitive enough to suggest a narrow margin rather than a wide one. With no xG data available, the safest read is that Rayo’s home structure and Villarreal’s recent scoring form could cancel each other out for long spells. Match Prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Villarreal

Form Guide & Team Overview

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano’s recent league form shows a mixed but workable pattern, with two wins, two draws and one defeat across their last five. The 1-1 draw with Girona, the 2-0 win at Getafe and the 1-0 home win over Espanyol point to a side that has been competitive, especially when keeping the game controlled.

There is also evidence they can be involved in higher-scoring matches, as shown by the 3-3 draw with Real Sociedad. The 0-3 loss at Mallorca is the outlier in that run, but overall the recent results suggest Rayo have been more reliable at home than away.

Rayo Vallecano Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 11 May 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 231Girona 1 – 1 D Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 3 May 2026 106Getafe vs 377Rayo Vallecano 0 – 2 W Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
La Liga 26 Apr 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 594Real Sociedad 3 – 3 D Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 23 Apr 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 528Espanyol 1 – 0 W Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 12 Apr 2026 645Mallorca vs 377Rayo Vallecano 3 – 0 L Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Villarreal

Villarreal’s recent league results have been strong overall, with three wins and two draws in their last five. The 5-1 home win over Levante stands out as the clearest attacking performance, while the 2-1 wins against Celta de Vigo and Athletic Club show they have been able to edge tighter games.

Their away form in this sample is more measured, with 1-1 draws at Mallorca and Real Oviedo. That suggests Villarreal are still collecting points on the road, but not always with the same control or cutting edge they have shown at home.

Villarreal Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 10 May 2026 645Mallorca vs 3477Villarreal 1 – 1 D Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
La Liga 2 May 2026 3477Villarreal vs 3457Levante 5 – 1 W Estadio de la Cerámica
La Liga 26 Apr 2026 3477Villarreal vs 36Celta de Vigo 2 – 1 W Estadio de la Cerámica
La Liga 23 Apr 2026 93Real Oviedo vs 3477Villarreal 1 – 1 D Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
La Liga 12 Apr 2026 13258Athletic Club vs 3477Villarreal 1 – 2 W San Mamés Barria

Team News & Injury Report

Rayo Vallecano

  • Isi Palazón (Suspension Through Sports Court)

Villarreal

  • Juan Foyth (Achilles tendon rupture)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Rayo Vallecano (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: Augusto Batalla (Goalkeeper), Andrei Rațiu (Defender), Florian Lejeune (Defender), Pathé Ciss (Defender), Pep Chavarría (Defender), Pedro Díaz (Midfielder), Unai López (Midfielder), Óscar Valentín (Midfielder), Fran Pérez (Attacker), Jorge de Frutos (Attacker), Sergio Camello (Attacker)

Rayo Vallecano’s predicted 4-3-3 should give them a compact midfield base, with Pedro Díaz, Unai López and Óscar Valentín helping them stay organised between the lines. The front three can then look to press Villarreal’s build-up and use the width to create chances from transitions.

Villarreal (4-4-2)

Predicted lineup: Arnau Tenas (Goalkeeper), Alex Freeman (Defender), Alfonso Pedraza (Defender), Pau Navarro (Defender), Renato Veiga (Defender), Alberto Moleiro (Midfielder), Dani Parejo (Midfielder), Nicolas Pépé (Midfielder), Pape Gueye (Midfielder), Georges Mikautadze (Attacker), Gerard Moreno (Attacker)

Villarreal’s predicted 4-4-2 gives them a balanced shape, with Alberto Moleiro and Nicolas Pépé able to support the central pair and provide service from wide areas. Georges Mikautadze and Gerard Moreno should give them a direct threat in the box if Villarreal can move the ball forward cleanly.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Rayo Vallecano Villarreal Key Battle Overview
Rayo Vallecano Villarreal Fran Pérez against Alex Freeman could be important if Rayo want to stretch Villarreal on the right side and create space in the final third.
Rayo Vallecano Villarreal Pedro Díaz against Alberto Moleiro may shape midfield control, with both players likely involved in linking play and setting the tempo.
Rayo Vallecano Villarreal Fran Pérez is key for Rayo Vallecano because his attacking role gives them a direct outlet and a chance to unsettle Villarreal’s back line.
Rayo Vallecano Villarreal Georges Mikautadze is key for Villarreal because he offers a central finishing threat and can turn their possession into chances.

FAQs

How to watch Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal at 18:00 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Villarreal in this match.

Can you bet on Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.40%
No 97.60%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.71%
No 59.29%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.22%
No 94.78%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 52.59%
No 35.34%
Equal 12.07%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.71%
No 47.41%
Equal 11.88%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.95%
No 76.05%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.75%
No 87.25%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.07%
No 8.13%
Equal 6.80%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.57%
No 26.43%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.23%
No 60.77%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.88%
No 84.12%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 63.30%
No 36.70%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 30%
No 59.29%
Equal 10.72%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Rayo Vallecano 48.97%
Villarreal 42.31%
Draw 8.72%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.82%
No 14.93%
Equal 9.26%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.96%
1-0 11.62%
0-1 9.04%
2-1 8.88%
0-0 8.72%
2-0 7.73%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.60%
No 71.40%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.71%
No 90.29%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.63%
No 29.37%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 91.87%
No 3.80%
Equal 4.34%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 64.66%
No 24.18%
Equal 11.16%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 96.20%
No 1.46%
Equal 2.34%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Rayo Vallecano 70.57%
Draw / Villarreal 57.02%
Rayo Vallecano / Villarreal 72.39%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Rayo Vallecano / Rayo Vallecano 26.48%
Rayo Vallecano / Villarreal 2.04%
Rayo Vallecano / Draw 5.34%
Villarreal / Rayo Vallecano 3.52%
Villarreal / Villarreal 13%
Villarreal / Draw 4.61%
Draw / Draw 16.41%
Draw / Rayo Vallecano 17.36%
Draw / Villarreal 11.24%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Rayo Vallecano 33.10%
Villarreal 21.06%
Draw 45.84%

For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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