Rayo Vallecano vs Girona: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Rayo Vallecano vs Girona in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Rayo Vallecano vs Girona
Competition La Liga
Date Monday, 11 May 2026
Kick-off 20:00 BST
Venue Estadio de Vallecas

Match Prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Girona

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Rayo Vallecano50.14%
Girona23.30%
Draw26.52%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes46.99%
No53.01%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes43.45%
No56.55%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
La Liga 15 Aug 2025 231Girona vs 377Rayo Vallecano 1 – 3 Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
La Liga 26 Jan 2025 377Rayo Vallecano vs 231Girona 2 – 1 Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 25 Sep 2024 231Girona vs 377Rayo Vallecano 0 – 0 Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
La Liga 26 Feb 2024 231Girona vs 377Rayo Vallecano 3 – 0 Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
La Liga 11 Nov 2023 377Rayo Vallecano vs 231Girona 1 – 2 Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano come into this at home with a steadier recent league return, taking seven points from their last three league matches and keeping two clean sheets in that run. Girona’s league form is less convincing, with three straight defeats before the draw at Real Madrid and only one win in their last five. The head-to-head also leans towards Rayo Vallecano, who have won two of the last three meetings and scored three away at Girona in August 2025.

With no xG data available, the clearest angle is recent results and the likely shape of the game at Estadio de Vallecas. Rayo Vallecano have been more reliable at both ends in their latest league fixtures, while Girona have been conceding regularly and have lost their last three at home and away. Match Prediction: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Girona

Form Guide & Team Overview

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano’s league form has been solid enough to suggest they can compete well here, with wins over Getafe and Espanyol either side of a 3-3 draw with Real Sociedad. That run also includes a 1-0 home win over Elche and only one heavy defeat in the last five league matches, a 0-3 loss at Mallorca.

Across all competitions, the picture is a little mixed because of the Europa Conference League defeat to AEK Athens, but the domestic results remain the stronger guide. At home in the league, Rayo Vallecano have taken points consistently and have kept things tight in two of their last three league games.

Rayo Vallecano Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 3 May 2026 106Getafe vs 377Rayo Vallecano 0 – 2 W Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
La Liga 26 Apr 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 594Real Sociedad 3 – 3 D Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 23 Apr 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 528Espanyol 1 – 0 W Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga 12 Apr 2026 645Mallorca vs 377Rayo Vallecano 3 – 0 L Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
La Liga 3 Apr 2026 377Rayo Vallecano vs 1099Elche 1 – 0 W Estadio de Vallecas

Girona

Girona’s recent league results show a side struggling for consistency, with three defeats in a row against Mallorca, Valencia and Real Betis. Before that, they drew 1-1 away at Real Madrid and beat Villarreal 1-0 at home, so there is some evidence they can still compete in tougher fixtures.

The issue is that the latest run has been built on narrow margins going against them, and they have conceded in four of their last five league matches. That makes their away trip to Estadio de Vallecas a more difficult betting proposition, especially against a Rayo Vallecano side that has been harder to beat recently.

Girona Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
La Liga 1 May 2026 231Girona vs 645Mallorca 0 – 1 L Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
La Liga 25 Apr 2026 214Valencia vs 231Girona 2 – 1 L Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga 21 Apr 2026 231Girona vs 485Real Betis 2 – 3 L Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
La Liga 10 Apr 2026 3468Real Madrid vs 231Girona 1 – 1 D Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga 6 Apr 2026 231Girona vs 3477Villarreal 1 – 0 W Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Team News & Injury Report

Rayo Vallecano

  • Isi Palazón (Suspension Through Sports Court)

Girona

  • Vladyslav Vanat (Torn Thigh Muscle)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Augusto Batalla (Goalkeeper), Florian Lejeune (Defender), Iván Balliu (Defender), Jozhua Vertrouwd (Defender), Nobel Mendy (Defender), Alfonso Espino (Midfielder), Gerard Gumbau (Midfielder), Jorge de Frutos (Midfielder), Pathé Ciss (Midfielder), Sergio Camello (Midfielder), Alexandre Zurawski (Attacker)

Rayo Vallecano’s expected 4-2-3-1 should give them a compact base with enough cover in midfield to stay organised without the ball. If Alfonso Espino and the wide runners can support Alexandre Zurawski quickly, they have a structure that can turn defensive stability into direct attacks.

Girona (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Paulo Gazzaniga (Goalkeeper), Alejandro Francés (Defender), Arnau Martínez (Defender), Daley Blind (Defender), Vitor Reis (Defender), Axel Witsel (Midfielder), Azzedine Ounahi (Midfielder), Fran Beltrán (Midfielder), Joel Roca (Midfielder), Viktor Tsygankov (Midfielder), Claudio Echeverri (Attacker)

Girona’s expected 4-2-3-1 gives them a similar midfield balance, with Axel Witsel and Azzedine Ounahi likely important in controlling central areas. The shape should also leave Claudio Echeverri with support between the lines, but they will need better defensive control than in their recent league defeats.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Rayo Vallecano Girona Text
Rayo Vallecano Girona Alexandre Zurawski will look to test Alejandro Francés by making sharp runs in behind and giving Rayo a direct outlet in the final third.
Rayo Vallecano Girona Alfonso Espino against Axel Witsel could shape the midfield battle, with Espino needing to help Rayo keep their left side secure.
Rayo Vallecano Girona Alexandre Zurawski is key for Rayo Vallecano because he is the main attacking reference in the predicted XI and the clearest route to goal.
Rayo Vallecano Girona Claudio Echeverri is key for Girona because he leads the line in the predicted setup and will be central to any away threat.

FAQs

How to watch Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona at 20:00 BST on Monday, 11 May 2026 is not listed as being broadcast live for viewers in the UK in the supplied data.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Girona in this match.

Can you bet on Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Rayo Vallecano vs Girona.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 95.21%
No 1.93%
Equal 2.86%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 90.17%
No 4.79%
Equal 5.04%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Rayo Vallecano 38.63%
Girona 17.96%
Draw 43.41%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.15%
No 31.85%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 75.72%
No 24.28%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 56.35%
No 43.65%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.66%
No 93.34%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.60%
No 98.40%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.85%
No 93.15%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.68%
No 62.32%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.54%
No 62.32%
Equal 10.14%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.75%
No 87.25%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.17%
No 77.83%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 18.46%
No 81.54%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 82.62%
No 9.83%
Equal 7.55%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23%
No 77%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 72.74%
No 17.38%
Equal 9.88%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 61.25%
No 27.26%
Equal 11.49%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 49.20%
No 38.75%
Equal 12.05%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Rayo Vallecano / Rayo Vallecano 33.46%
Rayo Vallecano / Girona 1.60%
Rayo Vallecano / Draw 4.76%
Girona / Rayo Vallecano 3.34%
Girona / Girona 9.49%
Girona / Draw 4.58%
Draw / Draw 15.09%
Draw / Rayo Vallecano 19.67%
Draw / Girona 8.01%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 37.68%
No 50.80%
Equal 11.52%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 42.75%
No 57.25%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Rayo Vallecano 54.10%
Girona 36.11%
Draw 9.79%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Rayo Vallecano 76.66%
Draw / Girona 49.82%
Rayo Vallecano / Girona 73.44%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-0 13.69%
1-1 11.91%
0-0 9.79%
2-1 9.55%
2-0 9.29%
0-1 8.34%

For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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