Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:30 BST match.
Fixture Information
| Fixture | Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Date | Tuesday, 12 May 2026 |
| Kick-off | 20:30 BST |
| Venue | Estadio El Sadar |
Match Prediction: Osasuna 2-1 Atlético Madrid
Prediction Stats
Fulltime Result Probability
Both Teams To Score Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
Last 5 Meetings
| League | Date | Match | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 18 Oct 2025 | Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna |
1 – 0 | Riyadh Air Metropolitano |
| La Liga | 15 May 2025 | Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid |
2 – 0 | Estadio El Sadar |
| La Liga | 12 Jan 2025 | Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna |
1 – 0 | Riyadh Air Metropolitano |
| La Liga | 19 May 2024 | Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna |
1 – 4 | Riyadh Air Metropolitano |
| La Liga | 28 Sep 2023 | Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid |
0 – 2 | Estadio El Sadar |
Osasuna come into this with a mixed but fairly steady home record in the recent league results, and they have already shown they can edge tight games at Estadio El Sadar. Atlético Madrid have won two of their last five in the league, but the three defeats in that run suggest they have not been fully reliable away from home. With no xG data available, the clearest read is that this could be decided by small margins rather than sustained dominance.
Osasuna’s recent results point to a side capable of staying in games and taking chances when they come, while Atlético Madrid’s away win at Valencia shows they can still produce a result on the road. The head-to-head also suggests there is room for an upset, with Osasuna beating Atlético Madrid 2-0 in May 2025 and 4-1 in May 2024. Match Prediction: Osasuna 2-1 Atlético Madrid
Form Guide & Team Overview
Osasuna
Osasuna’s recent league form has been mixed, with one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five. The home results are the most encouraging part, as they beat Sevilla 2-1 and drew 1-1 with Real Betis, which suggests they can compete well at Estadio El Sadar.
Their defeats have also been narrow, losing 1-2 to FC Barcelona and 0-1 to Athletic Club, so they have not been far away in those games. That pattern points to a side that is generally competitive and capable of keeping matches close.
Osasuna Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 2 May 2026 | Osasuna vs FC Barcelona |
1 – 2 | L | Estadio El Sadar |
| La Liga | 26 Apr 2026 | Osasuna vs Sevilla |
2 – 1 | W | Estadio El Sadar |
| La Liga | 21 Apr 2026 | Athletic Club vs Osasuna |
1 – 0 | L | San Mamés Barria |
| La Liga | 12 Apr 2026 | Osasuna vs Real Betis |
1 – 1 | D | Estadio El Sadar |
| La Liga | 5 Apr 2026 | Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna |
2 – 2 | D | Estadio de Mendizorroza |
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid’s recent league form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three defeats in their last five. The wins over Valencia and Athletic Club show they can still put together strong performances, but the losses to Elche, Sevilla and FC Barcelona underline the gaps in their recent results.
Away from home, the 2-0 win at Valencia is a positive sign, but the broader run still leans towards volatility. On the evidence provided, they have been capable of scoring, yet not always able to control games for long enough.
Atlético Madrid Last 5 Results
| League | Date | Match | Score | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 2 May 2026 | Valencia vs Atlético Madrid |
0 – 2 | W | Estadio de Mestalla |
| La Liga | 25 Apr 2026 | Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Club |
3 – 2 | W | Riyadh Air Metropolitano |
| La Liga | 22 Apr 2026 | Elche vs Atlético Madrid |
3 – 2 | L | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| La Liga | 11 Apr 2026 | Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid |
2 – 1 | L | Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán |
| La Liga | 4 Apr 2026 | Atlético Madrid vs FC Barcelona |
1 – 2 | L | Riyadh Air Metropolitano |
Team News & Injury Report
Osasuna
- No injuries have been reported for the current season.
Atlético Madrid
- Nico González (Unknown Injury)
Lineups & Tactical Setup

Osasuna (4-2-3-1)
Predicted lineup: Sergio Herrera (Goalkeeper), Alejandro Catena (Defender), Enzo Boyomo (Defender), Javi Galán (Defender), Valentin Rosier (Defender), Aimar Oroz (Midfielder), Iker Muñoz (Midfielder), Jon Moncayola (Midfielder), Ante Budimir (Attacker), Raúl Moro (Attacker), Rubén García (Attacker)
Osasuna’s predicted 4-2-3-1 should give them a solid base through the double pivot, while Aimar Oroz can help connect midfield to attack. With Ante Budimir as the central reference point, the shape looks suited to getting runners around him and making the most of home pressure.
Atlético Madrid (4-5-1)
Predicted lineup: Juan Musso (Goalkeeper), Clément Lenglet (Defender), Javier Boñar (Defender), Julio Díaz (Defender), Robin Le Normand (Defender), Javi Morcillo (Midfielder), Nahuel Molina (Midfielder), Obed Vargas (Midfielder), Rodrigo Mendoza (Midfielder), Thiago Almada (Midfielder), Rayane Belaid (Attacker)
Atlético Madrid’s predicted 4-5-1 suggests a compact midfield block designed to stay organised and limit space between the lines. Rayane Belaid will be important as the main forward outlet, especially if Atlético Madrid look to break quickly after regaining possession.
Key Battles & Players to Watch
| Osasuna | Atlético Madrid | Key Battle Overview |
|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Atlético Madrid | Ante Budimir against Clément Lenglet could be decisive if Osasuna look to play direct and test Atlético Madrid’s central defence. |
| Osasuna | Atlético Madrid | Aimar Oroz against Javi Morcillo may shape the midfield battle, with Osasuna needing Oroz to link play cleanly. |
| Osasuna | Atlético Madrid | Ante Budimir is key for Osasuna because he gives them a clear focal point and a likely route to goal in a tight game. |
| Osasuna | Atlético Madrid | Rayane Belaid is key for Atlético Madrid because he is the main attacking name in the predicted shape and the likely outlet at the top end. |
FAQs
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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.


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