The FPL deadline for Gameweek 7 is Saturday 17 October at 11:00. Here are MFF's picks, all based on MFF's model. Projections are estimates, not promises. Prices, ownership and injury notes are FPL's.
Captain pick
Haaland (Man City, FWD, £15.6m, 75.3% owned) is the top captain option. MFF projects 7 points against Ipswich Town at home, where City's expected goals figure is 2.8 and their clean sheet chance is 39%. No other player in our model is close.
The alternative is De Cuyper (Brighton, DEF, £5.1m, 35.8% owned). MFF projects 6.2 points against Crystal Palace, with Brighton on 2.5 expected goals and a 42% clean sheet chance. It is an unusual captain, but the model ranks him second.
Standout pick by position
- Goalkeeper: Verbruggen (Brighton, £4.6m, 22% owned), v Crystal Palace. MFF projects 4.4.
- Defender: De Cuyper (Brighton, £5.1m), v Crystal Palace. MFF projects 6.2.
- Midfielder: Groß (Brighton, £6.0m, 39.9% owned), v Crystal Palace. MFF projects 5.7.
- Forward: Haaland (Man City, £15.6m), v Ipswich Town. MFF projects 7.
Value pick
Barry (Everton, FWD, £5.7m, 8.7% owned) is projected at 5.7 points at home to Chelsea. Everton's expected goals figure is 1.8 and their clean sheet chance is 25%. That is a strong return for a forward at that price.
Differential
Tavernier (Bournemouth, MID, £6.1m, 7.3% owned) faces Sunderland at home. MFF projects 5.1, with Bournemouth on 1.7 expected goals and a 30% clean sheet chance. His team-mate Silva (DEF, £5.0m, 0.6% owned) is projected at 4.6 in the same fixture.
Fixture runs to plan around
Looking at the next six gameweeks, MFF's easiest runs belong to Man City, Brighton, Arsenal and Leeds United. The hardest belong to Fulham, Crystal Palace, Tottenham and Newcastle. If you are weighing a transfer beyond this week, that split is worth keeping in mind.
Injury doubts
These are FPL's notes:
- FPL lists Szoboszlai (Liverpool, 27.5% owned) as doubtful with a hamstring injury, with a 75% chance of playing.
- FPL lists Schade (Brentford, 15% owned) as doubtful with a shoulder injury, also at 75%.
- FPL lists Isak (Liverpool, 14.1% owned) as injured with a thigh injury and an unknown return date.
- FPL lists Gakpo (Liverpool, 7.5% owned) as injured with an ankle injury and an unknown return date.
- FPL lists Shaw (Man Utd, 6.7% owned) and James (Chelsea, 5.1% owned) as doubtful, each at 75%.
Check the latest FPL updates before the deadline, as the percentages can change.
For more, see MFF's FPL page.