Lecce vs Genoa: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Lecce vs Genoa in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 19:45 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Lecce vs Genoa
Competition Serie A
Date Sunday, 24 May 2026
Kick-off 19:45 BST
Venue Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Match Prediction: Lecce 2-0 Genoa

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Lecce30.97%
Genoa39.98%
Draw29.09%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes45.92%
No54.08%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes41.29%
No58.71%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Serie A 23 Aug 2025 102Genoa vs 7790Lecce 0 – 0 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 14 Mar 2025 102Genoa vs 7790Lecce 2 – 1 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 05 Jan 2025 7790Lecce vs 102Genoa 0 – 0 Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A 28 Jan 2024 102Genoa vs 7790Lecce 2 – 1 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 22 Sep 2023 7790Lecce vs 102Genoa 1 – 0 Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce come into this with a steadier recent league return, taking three wins from their last five and scoring in four of those matches. Genoa’s numbers are more mixed, with just one win in five and three games without a goal, so the balance of recent evidence points towards a tighter home performance. With Lecce at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare and Genoa missing Vitinha through suspension, the home side look better placed to control the key moments.

The head-to-head record also leans towards a low-scoring contest, with three of the last five meetings finishing level and none of the five producing more than three goals. Lecce have already shown they can edge games by narrow margins, while Genoa have recently been involved in several goalless draws and narrow defeats. Match Prediction: Lecce 2-0 Genoa

Form Guide & Team Overview

Lecce

Lecce’s recent league form is encouraging, with wins over Sassuolo and Pisa coming alongside a draw at Hellas Verona and a draw against Fiorentina. Their only defeat in that five-game run was a 0-1 home loss to Juventus, which suggests they have been competitive even when not winning.

They have also been scoring regularly enough to stay in games, finding the net in four of their last five league matches. That run gives them a more reliable attacking base than their opponents here, especially with a home fixture to finish the campaign.

Lecce Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 17 May 2026 2714Sassuolo vs 7790Lecce 2 – 3 W MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 9 May 2026 7790Lecce vs 625Juventus 0 – 1 L Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A 1 May 2026 1072Pisa vs 7790Lecce 1 – 2 W Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Serie A 25 Apr 2026 1123Hellas Verona vs 7790Lecce 0 – 0 D Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Serie A 20 Apr 2026 7790Lecce vs 109Fiorentina 1 – 1 D Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Genoa

Genoa’s recent league form has been less convincing, with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five. They have failed to score in three of those matches, including back-to-back 0-0 draws away to Fiorentina and Atalanta.

Their most recent home game ended in a 1-2 defeat to AC Milan, which followed a 0-2 loss to Como. That pattern points to a side that has been harder to trust for goals and results in the closing stretch.

Genoa Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 17 May 2026 102Genoa vs 113AC Milan 1 – 2 L Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 10 May 2026 109Fiorentina vs 102Genoa 0 – 0 D Stadio Artemio Franchi
Serie A 2 May 2026 708Atalanta vs 102Genoa 0 – 0 D Gewiss Stadium
Serie A 26 Apr 2026 102Genoa vs 268Como 0 – 2 L Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 19 Apr 2026 1072Pisa vs 102Genoa 1 – 2 W Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Team News & Injury Report

Lecce

  • Medon Berisha (Torn Thigh Muscle)

Genoa

  • Vitinha (Yellow Card Suspension)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Lecce vs Genoa predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Lecce (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Wladimiro Falcone (Goalkeeper), Antonino Gallo (Defender), Danilo Veiga (Defender), Jamil Siebert (Defender), Tiago Gabriel (Defender), Lameck Banda (Midfielder), Lassana Coulibaly (Midfielder), Oumar Ngom (Midfielder), Santiago Pierotti (Midfielder), Ylber Ramadani (Midfielder), Walid Cheddira (Attacker)

Lecce’s predicted 4-2-3-1 gives them a solid base in midfield, with two deeper players helping to protect the back four and keep the shape compact. The three behind the striker should allow Walid Cheddira to stay high and give Lecce a direct outlet when they win the ball.

Genoa (4-3-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Justin Bijlow (Goalkeeper), Alessandro Marcandalli (Defender), Johan Vásquez (Defender), Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Defender), Sebastian Otoa (Defender), Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho (Midfielder), Morten Frendrup (Midfielder), Ruslan Malinovskyi (Midfielder), Tommaso Baldanzi (Midfielder), TBC (Midfielder), Lorenzo Colombo (Attacker)

Genoa’s predicted 4-3-2-1 should keep them narrow between the lines, with the midfield three expected to support both the press and the build-up. That shape also leaves Lorenzo Colombo as the main reference point up front, so their attacking threat may depend on how well the players behind him can supply him.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Lecce Genoa Key Battle Overview
Lecce Genoa Walid Cheddira against Alessandro Marcandalli could be decisive if Lecce look to attack the space in behind Genoa’s back line.
Lecce Genoa Lameck Banda versus Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho may matter in midfield-to-wide transitions, where Lecce can try to create openings.
Lecce Genoa Walid Cheddira is key for Lecce because he is the main attacking reference in their predicted shape and the player most likely to finish their chances.
Lecce Genoa Lorenzo Colombo is key for Genoa because he is the lone forward in the predicted line-up and Genoa’s clearest route to goal.

FAQs

How to watch Lecce vs Genoa

Fans in the UK are able to watch Lecce vs Genoa on TNT Sports 3 at 19:45 BST on Sunday, 24 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Lecce vs Genoa?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Lecce 2-0 Genoa in this match.

Can you bet on Lecce vs Genoa?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Lecce vs Genoa.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 69.37%
No 30.63%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.45%
No 66.55%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 20.60%
No 79.40%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Lecce 42.82%
Genoa 46.33%
Draw 10.85%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 62.85%
No 37.15%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.99%
No 72.01%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 34.77%
No 65.23%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.85%
No 33.15%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-1 12.78%
0-1 12.18%
0-0 10.85%
1-0 10.15%
1-2 8.45%
0-2 7.39%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.86%
No 87.14%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Lecce 60.06%
Draw / Genoa 69.07%
Lecce / Genoa 70.95%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.41%
No 97.59%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.97%
No 14.37%
Equal 8.66%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 66.54%
No 23.03%
Equal 10.44%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 55.16%
No 33.46%
Equal 11.38%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Lecce / Lecce 16.51%
Lecce / Genoa 2.35%
Lecce / Draw 4.99%
Genoa / Lecce 1.74%
Genoa / Genoa 22.68%
Genoa / Draw 4.37%
Draw / Draw 20.57%
Draw / Lecce 12.21%
Draw / Genoa 14.59%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.05%
No 3.77%
Equal 4.18%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.63%
No 7.95%
Equal 6.42%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 43.84%
No 44.84%
Equal 11.33%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 33.45%
No 56.16%
Equal 10.39%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 24.59%
No 66.55%
Equal 8.85%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.84%
No 96.16%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.08%
No 89.92%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 9.15%
No 90.85%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Lecce 24.46%
Genoa 28.38%
Draw 47.16%

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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