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Sassuolo vs Lecce: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Sassuolo vs Lecce in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 19:45 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Sassuolo vs Lecce
Competition Serie A
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 19:45 BST
Venue MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Match Prediction: Sassuolo 1-0 Lecce

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Sassuolo49.72%
Lecce24.45%
Draw25.86%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes51%
No49%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes49.34%
No50.66%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Serie A 18 Oct 2025 7790Lecce vs 2714Sassuolo 0 – 0 Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A 21 Apr 2024 2714Sassuolo vs 7790Lecce 0 – 3 MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 06 Oct 2023 7790Lecce vs 2714Sassuolo 1 – 1 Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A 25 Feb 2023 7790Lecce vs 2714Sassuolo 0 – 1 Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A 20 Aug 2022 2714Sassuolo vs 7790Lecce 1 – 0 MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo come into this with a better recent points return than Lecce, and their home win over AC Milan stands out in a five-game run that also includes two defeats, a draw and another win. Lecce have been harder to beat in stretches, but their last five league matches show only one win and two goalless or low-scoring draws, which points to a tight contest rather than an open one.

With no xG data available, the betting angle leans more on the recent results and the likely shapes. Sassuolo’s 4-3-3 gives them more natural attacking width, while Lecce’s 4-2-3-1 should keep them compact and looking to counter. Match Prediction: Sassuolo 1-0 Lecce

Form Guide & Team Overview

Sassuolo

Sassuolo’s recent league form has been mixed, but there are clear positives in the five-game sample. They have beaten AC Milan 2-0 at home and Como 2-1 at home, while also drawing 0-0 away to Fiorentina.

The two away defeats, 1-2 at Torino and 1-2 at Genoa, show they have not been fully reliable on the road. Even so, the home results suggest they have been more effective at MAPEI Stadium than away from it.

Sassuolo Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 8 May 2026 613Torino vs 2714Sassuolo 2 – 1 L Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Serie A 3 May 2026 2714Sassuolo vs 113AC Milan 2 – 0 W MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 26 Apr 2026 109Fiorentina vs 2714Sassuolo 0 – 0 D Stadio Artemio Franchi
Serie A 17 Apr 2026 2714Sassuolo vs 268Como 2 – 1 W MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 12 Apr 2026 102Genoa vs 2714Sassuolo 2 – 1 L Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Lecce

Lecce’s recent league form has been steady rather than strong, with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five. The away win at Pisa and the 0-0 draw at Hellas Verona show they can stay competitive, but the home loss to Juventus and away defeat at Bologna underline the limits of their output.

Their recent matches have also been low scoring, with two clean sheets in the last five but only three goals scored across that run. That pattern suggests they are capable of keeping games tight, but they have not been producing enough in attack to turn draws into wins consistently.

Lecce Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 9 May 2026 7790Lecce vs 625Juventus 0 – 1 L Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A 1 May 2026 1072Pisa vs 7790Lecce 1 – 2 W Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Serie A 25 Apr 2026 1123Hellas Verona vs 7790Lecce 0 – 0 D Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Serie A 20 Apr 2026 7790Lecce vs 109Fiorentina 1 – 1 D Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A 12 Apr 2026 8513Bologna vs 7790Lecce 2 – 0 L Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Team News & Injury Report

Sassuolo

  • Jay Idzes (Heel Problems)

Lecce

  • Sadik Fofana (Inner Ligament Stretch Of The Knee)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Sassuolo vs Lecce predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Sassuolo (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: Arijanet Murić (Goalkeeper), Josh Doig (Defender), Sebastian Walukiewicz (Defender), Tarik Muharemović (Defender), Woyo Coulibaly (Defender), Kristian Thorstvedt (Midfielder), Luca Lipani (Midfielder), Nemanja Matic (Midfielder), Andrea Pinamonti (Attacker), Armand Laurienté (Attacker), Cristian Volpato (Attacker)

Sassuolo’s 4-3-3 should give them a front three that can stretch Lecce’s back line and create space between the full-backs and centre-backs. Kristian Thorstvedt, Luca Lipani and Nemanja Matic can help control the middle and feed the attacking line early.

Lecce (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Wladimiro Falcone (Goalkeeper), Antonino Gallo (Defender), Danilo Veiga (Defender), Jamil Siebert (Defender), Tiago Gabriel (Defender), Lameck Banda (Midfielder), Lassana Coulibaly (Midfielder), Oumar Ngom (Midfielder), Santiago Pierotti (Midfielder), Ylber Ramadani (Midfielder), Walid Cheddira (Attacker)

Lecce’s 4-2-3-1 is set up to stay organised behind the ball and protect the central areas first. With Walid Cheddira up top and support from the three behind him, they will likely look for quick transitions rather than sustained pressure.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Sassuolo Lecce Key Battle Overview
Sassuolo Lecce Andrea Pinamonti against Antonino Gallo could be decisive if Sassuolo can get their striker into central scoring positions.
Sassuolo Lecce Kristian Thorstvedt against Lameck Banda is a key midfield-to-wide battle because it can shape who controls the tempo on Lecce’s left side.
Sassuolo Lecce Andrea Pinamonti is key for Sassuolo because he is the main attacking reference in a 4-3-3 that needs a reliable finishing outlet.
Sassuolo Lecce Walid Cheddira is key for Lecce because he is the central forward in a system that will need him to convert limited chances.

FAQs

How to watch Sassuolo vs Lecce

Fans in the UK are able to watch Sassuolo vs Lecce on TNT Sports 3 at 19:45 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Sassuolo vs Lecce?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Sassuolo 1-0 Lecce in this match.

Can you bet on Sassuolo vs Lecce?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Sassuolo vs Lecce.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 26.22%
No 73.78%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Sassuolo / Sassuolo 25.93%
Sassuolo / Lecce 1.86%
Sassuolo / Draw 5.60%
Lecce / Sassuolo 2.85%
Lecce / Lecce 12.50%
Lecce / Draw 4.36%
Draw / Draw 18.73%
Draw / Sassuolo 17.69%
Draw / Lecce 10.48%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 77.94%
No 22.06%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 46.11%
No 53.89%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 7.98%
No 92.02%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.18%
No 26.82%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 15.26%
No 84.74%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 59.53%
No 40.47%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.42%
No 91.58%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.39%
No 19.23%
Equal 10.38%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 46.46%
No 41.42%
Equal 12.13%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-0 11.72%
1-1 11.60%
2-1 9.66%
2-0 8.55%
0-0 7.89%
OTHER 1 7.77%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.28%
No 64.91%
Equal 9.81%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Sassuolo 34.43%
Lecce 18.96%
Draw 46.61%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Sassuolo 75.58%
Draw / Lecce 50.31%
Sassuolo / Lecce 74.17%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 27.35%
No 72.65%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Sassuolo 55.53%
Lecce 36.58%
Draw 7.89%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.04%
No 78.96%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 2.07%
No 97.93%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.45%
No 2.31%
Equal 3.24%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.89%
No 5.55%
Equal 5.56%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.77%
No 11.11%
Equal 8.12%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 58.58%
No 29.61%
Equal 11.81%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.09%
No 64.91%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 35.09%
No 53.54%
Equal 11.36%

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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