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Roma vs Lazio: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Roma vs Lazio in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 11:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Roma vs Lazio
Competition Serie A
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 11:30 BST
Venue Stadio Olimpico

Match Prediction: Roma 2-0 Lazio

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Roma54.48%
Lazio19.57%
Draw25.95%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes49.57%
No50.43%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes47.70%
No52.30%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Serie A 21 Sep 2025 43Lazio vs 37Roma 0 – 1 Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 13 Apr 2025 43Lazio vs 37Roma 1 – 1 Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 05 Jan 2025 37Roma vs 43Lazio 2 – 0 Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 06 Apr 2024 37Roma vs 43Lazio 1 – 0 Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 12 Nov 2023 43Lazio vs 37Roma 0 – 0 Stadio Olimpico

Roma come into this derby with the stronger recent results, having won four of their last five league matches and kept three clean sheets in that run. Lazio’s form is more mixed, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five league games, and they have just conceded three at home to Inter. With Roma also winning the most recent head-to-head meeting 1-0 away and 2-0 at home earlier in the run, the data points towards a controlled home performance.

Roma’s recent scoring numbers suggest they can create enough to edge clear if they start well, while Lazio’s latest results show they have been less reliable at both ends. The absence of Alessio Romagnoli through suspension is a notable defensive issue for Lazio, and Roma’s attacking options look better placed to take advantage. A derby can be tight, but the form and head-to-head pattern both lean towards Roma keeping things compact and finding the key moments.

Form Guide & Team Overview

Roma

Roma arrive in strong league form, with five matches producing four wins and one draw. They have scored 13 goals across those games and conceded only three, which is a solid return for a side heading into a derby at the Stadio Olimpico.

The recent sequence includes a 4-0 home win over Fiorentina, a 3-2 away win at Parma and a 2-0 away win at Bologna. That run suggests Roma have been effective both at home and on the road, and they have also kept clean sheets against Fiorentina, Bologna and Pisa.

Roma Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 10 May 2026 398Parma vs 37Roma 2 – 3 W Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A 4 May 2026 37Roma vs 109Fiorentina 4 – 0 W Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 25 Apr 2026 8513Bologna vs 37Roma 0 – 2 W Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Serie A 18 Apr 2026 37Roma vs 708Atalanta 1 – 1 D Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 10 Apr 2026 37Roma vs 1072Pisa 3 – 0 W Stadio Olimpico

Lazio

Lazio’s recent league form is less consistent, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. They have scored eight goals in that spell but have also conceded eight, which points to a side that has been more open than Roma.

Their best result in the run was the 2-0 away win at Napoli, but that has been balanced by a 3-3 draw with Udinese and a 0-3 home defeat to Inter. The away loss at Fiorentina and the home draw with Udinese show they have not always been able to control games defensively.

Lazio Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 9 May 2026 43Lazio vs 2930Inter 0 – 3 L Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 4 May 2026 10722Cremonese vs 43Lazio 1 – 2 W Stadio Giovanni Zini
Serie A 27 Apr 2026 43Lazio vs 346Udinese 3 – 3 D Stadio Olimpico
Serie A 18 Apr 2026 597Napoli vs 43Lazio 0 – 2 W Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A 13 Apr 2026 109Fiorentina vs 43Lazio 1 – 0 L Stadio Artemio Franchi

Team News & Injury Report

Roma

  • Pierluigi Gollini (Muscle Injury)

Lazio

  • Alessio Romagnoli (Red Card Suspension)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Roma vs Lazio predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Roma (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Mile Svilar (Goalkeeper), Evan Ndicka (Defender), Gianluca Mancini (Defender), Mario Hermoso (Defender), Bryan Cristante (Midfielder), Manu Koné (Midfielder), Wesley (Midfielder), Zeki Çelik (Midfielder), Donyell Malen (Attacker), Matías Soulé (Attacker), Paulo Dybala (Attacker)

Roma’s predicted 3-4-2-1 gives them a solid base with three defenders and two central midfielders able to protect the back line. It also leaves Donyell Malen and Matías Soulé close to Paulo Dybala, which should help Roma link play and attack the spaces between Lazio’s midfield and defence.

Lazio (4-3-3)

Predicted lineup: Edoardo Motta (Goalkeeper), Adam Marusic (Defender), TBC (Defender), Luca Pellegrini (Defender), Mario Gila (Defender), Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Midfielder), Nicolò Rovella (Midfielder), Toma Bašić (Midfielder), Matteo Cancellieri (Attacker), Pedro (Attacker), Tijjani Noslin (Attacker)

Lazio’s predicted 4-3-3 should give them width through the front three and enough midfield support to try to compete centrally. With Matteo Cancellieri, Pedro and Tijjani Noslin ahead of the midfield trio, they can look to stretch Roma and create chances from wide areas and transitions.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Roma Lazio Key Battle Overview
Roma Lazio Donyell Malen against Adam Marusic could be important if Roma look to isolate the wide defensive channel and attack quickly.
Roma Lazio Bryan Cristante against Fisayo Dele-Bashiru may shape the midfield balance, with both sides needing control in central areas.
Roma Lazio Donyell Malen is key for Roma because he has been part of a front line that has helped drive their recent scoring run.
Roma Lazio Matteo Cancellieri is key for Lazio because he offers one of their main attacking outlets in a front three that needs to threaten Roma early.

FAQs

How to watch Roma vs Lazio

Fans in the UK are able to watch Roma vs Lazio on TNT Sports 3 at 11:30 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Roma vs Lazio?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Roma 2-0 Lazio in this match.

Can you bet on Roma vs Lazio?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Roma vs Lazio.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Roma 64.44%
Lazio 27.60%
Draw 7.96%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 94.35%
No 2.20%
Equal 3.46%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 88.17%
No 5.65%
Equal 6.18%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.51%
No 98.49%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-0 12.80%
1-1 12.32%
2-0 10.33%
2-1 9.97%
OTHER 1 8.30%
0-0 7.96%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.79%
No 74.21%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.59%
No 85.41%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 73.03%
No 26.97%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 22.50%
No 77.50%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.09%
No 70.91%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 80.89%
No 19.11%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.71%
No 51.29%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 6.41%
No 93.59%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 78.96%
No 11.83%
Equal 9.21%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 67.19%
No 21.04%
Equal 11.78%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 54%
No 32.81%
Equal 13.18%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 40.87%
No 46%
Equal 13.13%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 29.09%
No 59.13%
Equal 11.78%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 19.48%
No 70.91%
Equal 9.61%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Roma / Roma 34.32%
Roma / Lazio 1.46%
Roma / Draw 5.30%
Lazio / Roma 2.44%
Lazio / Lazio 8.02%
Lazio / Draw 4.41%
Draw / Draw 17.58%
Draw / Roma 19.91%
Draw / Lazio 6.56%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Roma 41.26%
Lazio 14.99%
Draw 43.75%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Roma 80.43%
Draw / Lazio 45.52%
Roma / Lazio 74.05%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 8.52%
No 91.48%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 55.05%
No 44.95%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.55%
No 78.45%

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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