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Genoa vs AC Milan: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
11 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Genoa vs AC Milan in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 11:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Genoa vs AC Milan
Competition Serie A
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 11:30 BST
Venue Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Match Prediction: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Genoa19.28%
AC Milan55.17%
Draw25.58%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes46.08%
No53.92%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes45.48%
No54.52%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Serie A 08 Jan 2026 113AC Milan vs 102Genoa 1 – 1 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A 05 May 2025 102Genoa vs 113AC Milan 1 – 2 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 15 Dec 2024 113AC Milan vs 102Genoa 0 – 0 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A 05 May 2024 113AC Milan vs 102Genoa 3 – 3 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A 07 Oct 2023 102Genoa vs 113AC Milan 0 – 1 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa have kept two straight clean sheets in the league, but both came away from home and this is a different test against an AC Milan side that still have enough quality to edge tight games. Milan’s recent results have been mixed, yet the head-to-head record shows several close meetings, which points towards another low-margin contest at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. With no xG data available, the recent scorelines suggest a game that could stay narrow for long spells.

Genoa’s home defeat to Como and their wins over Pisa and Sassuolo show they can be involved in tight, low-scoring matches, but they have also been held to goalless draws in their last two league outings. Milan have not been consistent either, but they have enough in the predicted shape to create the one decisive moment that matters. Match Prediction: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan

Form Guide & Team Overview

Genoa

Genoa come into this match on the back of two 0-0 draws in the league, away to Fiorentina and Atalanta, which underlines a recent run built on defensive discipline. Before that, they lost 0-2 at home to Como, but they had picked up back-to-back 2-1 wins against Pisa and Sassuolo, so their form has been mixed rather than poor.

The recent results point to a side that can stay competitive, especially in tighter games, but one that has not been producing many goals. That makes their home record in this short run important, because the clean sheets have come on the road while the defeat to Como came at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.

Genoa Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 10 May 2026 109Fiorentina vs 102Genoa 0 – 0 D Stadio Artemio Franchi
Serie A 2 May 2026 708Atalanta vs 102Genoa 0 – 0 D Gewiss Stadium
Serie A 26 Apr 2026 102Genoa vs 268Como 0 – 2 L Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 19 Apr 2026 1072Pisa vs 102Genoa 1 – 2 W Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Serie A 12 Apr 2026 102Genoa vs 2714Sassuolo 2 – 1 W Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

AC Milan

AC Milan’s recent league form has been inconsistent, with losses to Atalanta, Sassuolo and Udinese, plus a goalless draw with Juventus. Their only win in the last five league matches was a 1-0 away victory over Hellas Verona, which shows they have been capable of grinding out a result but not doing so regularly.

The scorelines suggest Milan have struggled for control in recent matches, particularly at home where they lost 2-3 to Atalanta and 0-3 to Udinese. Even so, the narrow win at Hellas Verona and the draw with Juventus show they can still keep things tight when needed.

AC Milan Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 10 May 2026 113AC Milan vs 708Atalanta 2 – 3 L Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A 3 May 2026 2714Sassuolo vs 113AC Milan 2 – 0 L MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 26 Apr 2026 113AC Milan vs 625Juventus 0 – 0 D Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A 19 Apr 2026 1123Hellas Verona vs 113AC Milan 0 – 1 W Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Serie A 11 Apr 2026 113AC Milan vs 346Udinese 0 – 3 L Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Team News & Injury Report

Genoa

  • Maxwel Cornet (Muscle Fatigue)
  • Sebastian Otoa (Muscle Fatigue)

AC Milan

  • Alexis Saelemaekers (Yellow Card Suspension)
  • Pervis Estupiñán (Yellow Card Suspension)
  • Rafael Leão (Yellow Card Suspension)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Genoa vs AC Milan predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Genoa (3-4-2-1)

Predicted lineup: Justin Bijlow (Goalkeeper), Alessandro Marcandalli (Defender), Leo Østigård (Defender), Nils Zätterström (Defender), Aarón Martín (Midfielder), Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho (Midfielder), Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Midfielder), Morten Frendrup (Midfielder), Jeff Ekhator (Attacker), Lorenzo Colombo (Attacker), Vitinha (Attacker)

Genoa’s predicted 3-4-2-1 should give them a compact base, with the wing-backs helping them stay organised while still offering width in transition. Jeff Ekhator and Lorenzo Colombo can work between the lines to support Vitinha and make the most of any counter-attacking openings.

AC Milan (3-5-2)

Predicted lineup: Mike Maignan (Goalkeeper), Koni De Winter (Defender), Matteo Gabbia (Defender), Strahinja Pavlović (Defender), Adrien Rabiot (Midfielder), TBC (Midfielder), Davide Bartesaghi (Midfielder), Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Midfielder), Samuele Ricci (Midfielder), TBC (Attacker), Santiago Gimenez (Attacker)

AC Milan’s predicted 3-5-2 gives them a strong central structure, with Adrien Rabiot and Ruben Loftus-Cheek able to support both the build-up and the press. Santiago Gimenez should benefit from service from deeper areas, while the wing-backs and midfield runners can help Milan overload Genoa in key moments.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Genoa AC Milan Key Battle Overview
Genoa AC Milan Jeff Ekhator will need to be sharp against Koni De Winter, because Genoa’s attacking threat may depend on how well he can turn limited possession into chances.
Genoa AC Milan Aarón Martín’s role against Adrien Rabiot could be important, as Genoa will need control down that side to stop Milan settling into rhythm.
Genoa AC Milan Jeff Ekhator is key for Genoa because he offers one of their main routes to goal in a system that has recently produced low-scoring games.
Genoa AC Milan Santiago Gimenez is key for AC Milan because Milan’s recent results show they may only need one clear chance, and he is the forward most likely to finish it.

FAQs

How to watch Genoa vs AC Milan

Fans in the UK are able to watch Genoa vs AC Milan on TNT Sports 3 at 11:30 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Genoa vs AC Milan?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Genoa 0-1 AC Milan in this match.

Can you bet on Genoa vs AC Milan?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Genoa vs AC Milan.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 19.64%
No 80.36%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.36%
No 3.19%
Equal 4.45%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.41%
No 63.69%
Equal 10.90%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 47.91%
No 52.09%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Genoa 19.42%
AC Milan 35.28%
Draw 45.30%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
0-1 13.41%
1-1 11.36%
0-2 10.85%
1-2 10.02%
0-0 9.18%
OTHER 2 7.74%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 53.05%
No 46.95%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 5.34%
No 94.66%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 79.15%
No 20.85%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 84.97%
No 7.64%
Equal 7.39%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 36.31%
No 51.06%
Equal 12.62%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.41%
No 74.59%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Genoa / Genoa 11.24%
Genoa / AC Milan 3.10%
Genoa / Draw 5.02%
AC Milan / Genoa 1.62%
AC Milan / AC Milan 28.93%
AC Milan / Draw 5.22%
Draw / Draw 17.81%
Draw / Genoa 9.13%
Draw / AC Milan 17.94%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Genoa 31.70%
AC Milan 59.12%
Draw 9.18%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Genoa 44.86%
Draw / AC Milan 80.75%
Genoa / AC Milan 74.45%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 70.63%
No 29.37%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.70%
No 76.30%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 1.07%
No 98.93%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 74.65%
No 15.03%
Equal 10.32%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 62.19%
No 25.35%
Equal 12.46%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 48.94%
No 37.81%
Equal 13.25%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 16.79%
No 74.59%
Equal 8.62%

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 21.66%
No 78.34%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 7.82%
No 92.18%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 12.74%
No 87.26%

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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