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Como vs Parma: Predictions, Betting Odds, Lineups, Preview

By
Harvey Watkins
Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he...
10 Min Read

Explore My Football Facts' detailed preview for Como vs Parma in the Serie A. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 11:30 BST match.

Fixture Information

Fixture Como vs Parma
Competition Serie A
Date Sunday, 17 May 2026
Kick-off 11:30 BST
Venue Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Match Prediction: Como 1-0 Parma

Prediction Stats

Fulltime Result Probability

Como62.14%
Parma13.72%
Draw24.11%

Both Teams To Score Probability

Yes40.64%
No59.36%

Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Yes44.06%
No55.94%

Last 5 Meetings

League Date Match Score Venue
Serie A 25 Oct 2025 398Parma vs 268Como 0 – 0 Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A 03 May 2025 398Parma vs 268Como 0 – 1 Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A 19 Oct 2024 268Como vs 398Parma 1 – 1 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como come into this with the cleaner recent numbers, having kept two straight clean sheets in the league and won three of their last five league matches. Parma’s recent run is more mixed, with two defeats in their last two and only two wins in their last five, so the balance of form leans towards the home side. With no xG data available, the most reliable angle is the results trend and Como’s stronger defensive record in the latest sample.

Parma have still shown they can keep games tight, with three of their last five league matches finishing with one goal or fewer for them, but they have also conceded three against Roma and two against Inter. Como’s recent home draw with Napoli and win at Genoa suggest they can manage the tempo and edge a close contest. Match Prediction: Como 1-0 Parma

Form Guide & Team Overview

Como

Como’s recent league form is solid, with three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five. The standout detail is the defensive work, as they have kept clean sheets in wins over Hellas Verona and Genoa, and also held Napoli to 0-0 at home.

Their only recent league defeats came against Sassuolo and Inter, and even the Inter game was a narrow 3-4 loss. That points to a side that has generally been competitive and capable of controlling matches when the scoreline stays tight.

Como Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 10 May 2026 1123Hellas Verona vs 268Como 0 – 1 W Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Serie A 2 May 2026 268Como vs 597Napoli 0 – 0 D Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Serie A 26 Apr 2026 102Genoa vs 268Como 0 – 2 W Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Serie A 17 Apr 2026 2714Sassuolo vs 268Como 2 – 1 L MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Serie A 12 Apr 2026 268Como vs 2930Inter 3 – 4 L Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Parma

Parma’s recent league form is less convincing, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. They have lost their last two, going down 2-3 to Roma at home and 0-2 to Inter away.

Before that, Parma had put together a useful spell with wins over Pisa and Udinese, both by 1-0 margins, plus a 1-1 draw with Napoli. That suggests they can be organised and difficult to break down, but the latest results show they have been less secure against stronger opposition.

Parma Last 5 Results

League Date Match Score Result Venue
Serie A 10 May 2026 398Parma vs 37Roma 2 – 3 L Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A 3 May 2026 2930Inter vs 398Parma 2 – 0 L Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A 25 Apr 2026 398Parma vs 1072Pisa 1 – 0 W Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A 18 Apr 2026 346Udinese vs 398Parma 0 – 1 W Dacia Arena
Serie A 12 Apr 2026 398Parma vs 597Napoli 1 – 1 D Stadio Ennio Tardini

Team News & Injury Report

Como

  • Jayden Addai (Achilles tendon rupture)

Parma

  • Sascha Britschgi (Indirect Card Suspension)

Lineups & Tactical Setup

Como vs Parma predicted lineups
Predicted lineups graphic generated from the latest available lineup data, with player names listed below.

Como (4-2-3-1)

Predicted lineup: Jean Butez (Goalkeeper), Diego Carlos (Defender), Marc Oliver Kempf (Defender), Mërgim Vojvoda (Defender), Álex Valle (Defender), Assane Diao (Midfielder), Jesús Rodríguez (Midfielder), Lucas Da Cunha (Midfielder), Máximo Perrone (Midfielder), Nico Paz (Midfielder), Anastasios Douvikas (Attacker)

Como’s 4-2-3-1 should give them a compact base in midfield, with the double pivot helping them stay balanced when Parma try to build through the centre. The shape also leaves room for Anastasios Douvikas to stay high and give Como a direct outlet when they win the ball back.

Parma (3-5-2)

Predicted lineup: Zion Suzuki (Goalkeeper), Alessandro Circati (Defender), Lautaro Valenti (Defender), Mariano Troilo (Defender), Christian Ordóñez (Midfielder), Emanuele Valeri (Midfielder), Enrico Delprato (Midfielder), Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Midfielder), Mandela Keita (Midfielder), Gabriel Strefezza (Attacker), Nesta Elphege (Attacker)

Parma’s 3-5-2 should provide extra cover at the back and allow the wing-backs to support attacks without leaving the defence too exposed. With two forwards up top, they can try to pin Como’s centre-backs and create space for Gabriel Strefezza to work between the lines.

Key Battles & Players to Watch

Como Parma Key Battle Overview
Como Parma Anastasios Douvikas against Alessandro Circati could be decisive if Como look to turn territory into a single clear chance.
Como Parma Assane Diao against Christian Ordóñez may shape the midfield battle, especially if Como can use Diao’s movement to unsettle Parma’s structure.
Como Parma Anastasios Douvikas is key for Como because he gives them the main finishing threat in a system that has recently been built on tight margins.
Como Parma Gabriel Strefezza is key for Parma because he offers one of their clearest attacking routes in a side that has often been involved in low-scoring games.

FAQs

How to watch Como vs Parma

Fans in the UK are able to watch Como vs Parma on TNT Sports 3 at 11:30 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026.

What is My Football Facts' prediction for Como vs Parma?

My Football Facts is predicting that the score will be Como 1-0 Parma in this match.

Can you bet on Como vs Parma?

My Football Facts is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Como vs Parma.

What Other Betting Stats do you have?

Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 3.39%
No 96.61%

Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 43.88%
No 56.12%

Home Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 10.60%
No 89.40%

Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.17%
No 48.83%

Home Over/Under 2.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 25.69%
No 74.31%

Away Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 0.67%
No 99.33%

Corners Over/Under 10 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.47%
No 60.62%
Equal 10.91%

Corners Over/Under 11 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 19.58%
No 71.53%
Equal 8.89%

Half Time/Full Time Probability

Outcome Probability
Como / Como 40.54%
Como / Parma 1.10%
Como / Draw 4.24%
Parma / Como 3.30%
Parma / Parma 6.23%
Parma / Draw 3.57%
Draw / Draw 14.09%
Draw / Como 21.58%
Draw / Parma 5.36%

First Half Winner Probability

Outcome Probability
Como 45.27%
Parma 13.16%
Draw 41.57%

Double Chance Probability

Outcome Probability
Draw / Como 86.25%
Draw / Parma 37.83%
Como / Parma 75.86%

Correct Score Probability

Outcome Probability
1-0 15.59%
2-0 12.60%
OTHER 1 10.43%
0-0 10.15%
1-1 10.06%
2-1 9.06%

Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 68.41%
No 31.59%

Over/Under 3.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 23.54%
No 76.46%

Team To Score First Probability

Outcome Probability
Como 67.61%
Parma 22.24%
Draw 10.15%

Corners Over/Under 10.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 28.47%
No 71.53%

Corners Over/Under 6 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 76.11%
No 14.24%
Equal 9.66%

Corners Over/Under 7 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 64.36%
No 23.89%
Equal 11.74%

Corners Over/Under 4 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 92.68%
No 3.12%
Equal 4.20%

Corners Over/Under 5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 85.76%
No 7.32%
Equal 6.92%

Corners Over/Under 8 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 51.69%
No 35.64%
Equal 12.67%

Over/Under 4.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 14.41%
No 85.59%

Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 81.26%
No 18.74%

Corners Over/Under 9 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 39.38%
No 48.31%
Equal 12.32%

Away Over/Under 1.5 Probability

Outcome Probability
Yes 13.77%
No 86.23%

For the best Serie A outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.

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Harvey Watkins is a football specialist who lives and breathes match predictions, betting angles, and stats-based analysis. With more than six years in sports content, he has earned a strong reputation for producing football coverage that is sharp, informed, and backed by the numbers. His work digs into form, xG, trends, team data, and market movement to give readers a clearer view of the game and the betting value around it. No filler, no forced nonsense just proper football insight for readers who want smart previews and honest analysis.
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