Hull City and Ipswich Town shared four goals and a point apiece at the MKM Stadium on Saturday, a 2-2 draw in Premier League gameweek 9 that was settled in a 16-minute spell after the hour.
The goals that shaped the game
Ipswich led first. Florentino scored in the 22nd minute from an Abdoul Ouattara assist.
Hull took until the 58th minute to respond. Tim Iroegbunam equalised, with Oli McBurnie providing the assist. Ten minutes later McBurnie scored himself, in the 68th minute, to put Hull 2-1 up.
The lead lasted six minutes. Enciso made it 2-2 in the 74th minute, set up by Azor Matusiwa.
The match was not a bad-tempered one. Six players were booked, three from each side: Exequiel Palacios (28'), Enciso (81') and Issa Diop (90+2') for Ipswich, and Elliot Stroud (52'), Matt Crooks (60') and Semi Ajayi (88') for Hull.
What the numbers say
Ipswich had the ball and the shots. They held 62% of possession to Hull's 38% and had 15 attempts to nine. Only part of that volume reached the goalkeeper, though: each side put three shots on target. Ipswich had six shots blocked, against one for Hull, and six off target, against Hull's five.
Hull won the corner count 6-3. Fouls were close at 13 for Hull and 12 for Ipswich, and Hull were flagged offside four times to Ipswich's three.
The season-long expected goals figures, data via Fantasy Premier League, measure the quality of chances created. They show Ipswich creating more than Hull, at 1.40 per game against 1.05 across eight games with data. They also show Ipswich allowing more, at 2.10 per game against Hull's 1.53.
Ipswich have conceded two goals a game this season and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Hull have three.
What it means for the table
Both clubs are on 11 points from nine games. Hull are eighth, with two wins and a goal difference of +1. Ipswich are 12th, with three wins and a goal difference of minus four. Each averages 1.22 points per game.
For Hull, it is a sixth league game without a win, after five matches that brought three draws and two defeats. Ipswich had won two of their previous five.
Hull did avoid defeat against Ipswich, which they had not done in the other recent meetings listed. Ipswich won three of the last four, and the other was a 3-3 draw in April 2024.
MFF's match model had predicted a 1-0 Hull win, giving the home side a 50% chance, with 24% for a draw and 26% for an Ipswich win. It was wrong on the score, but the draw was a result it rated as possible.
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