Real Madrid host Leipzig at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium on Wednesday 21 October 2026 (kick-off 20:00 UK time) in League phase matchday 3 of the Champions League.
Both clubs have played twice. The hosts have won both games and Leipzig have won one and lost one.
Where they stand
Real Madrid are eighth in the 36-team league-phase table with six points and a goal difference of +2. That is the last of the top eight places, which go straight through to the last 16. PSG lead the table, also on six points, with a goal difference of +7.
Leipzig are 21st with three points and a goal difference of -2. Ninth to 24th go into the knockout play-offs, so they are inside that band for now. Slovan Bratislava are bottom on zero points and a goal difference of -8.
Form and season numbers
Real Madrid have beaten Inter 2-1 at home and won 4-3 at Roma. It has been a high-scoring start: they average three goals a game, but they also concede two a game and have yet to keep a clean sheet. They average three points per game.
Leipzig lost 4-1 at Como and beat PSV 1-0 at home. They average one goal a game and concede two, with one clean sheet and 1.5 points per game.
The cards column also separates the sides. Leipzig have four yellow cards this season to Real Madrid's two.
- Goals per game: Real Madrid 3, Leipzig 1
- Conceded per game: Real Madrid 2, Leipzig 2
- Points per game: Real Madrid 3, Leipzig 1.5
- Clean sheets: Real Madrid 0, Leipzig 1
- Yellow cards: Real Madrid 2, Leipzig 4
Head-to-head
The last four meetings favour the home side, with two wins for Real Madrid, one draw and one win for Leipzig.
- 6 March 2024: Real Madrid 1-1 Leipzig
- 13 February 2024: Leipzig 0-1 Real Madrid
- 25 October 2022: Leipzig 3-2 Real Madrid
- 14 September 2022: Real Madrid 2-0 Leipzig
Leipzig's one win in that run was a 3-2 home victory in October 2022. Real Madrid won the other home game in that period 2-0 and drew the most recent one at the Bernabéu.
MFF prediction
Real Madrid have the stronger numbers on goals and points. Leipzig's single clean sheet, though, shows they can shut a game down.
MFF's match model predicts a 2-1 win for Real Madrid. It gives the hosts a 64% chance of victory, with a 19% chance of a draw and 17% for a Leipzig win.
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