Leipzig host Man City at Red Bull Arena on Wednesday 4 November 2026 (kick-off 20:00 UK) in league phase matchday 4 of the Champions League. The two sides arrive in very different positions.
League phase positions
Man City are 10th with two wins from three and six points. Their goal difference is +4. That puts them inside the places that lead to the knockout play-offs, though still outside the top eight who go straight through. PSG lead the table with nine points from nine.
Leipzig are 30th with one win from three, three points and a goal difference of -5. They are outside the top 24 and need results to change that. Only Slovan Bratislava, 36th and without a point, have a worse goal difference in the table, at -12.
Form and season numbers
Leipzig's recent results are mixed. They lost 4-1 at Como, beat PSV 1-0 and lost 4-1 at Real Madrid. The pattern shows in their season averages: they score one goal per game and concede 2.67, with an average of one point per game. They have kept one clean sheet.
City have won at Porto 2-0, lost 4-2 at home to PSG and beaten AEK Athens 5-1. They average three goals per game and concede 1.67, which brings two points per game. They also have one clean sheet.
Discipline is level. Both clubs have five yellow cards so far.
- Goals per game: Leipzig 1, Man City 3
- Conceded per game: Leipzig 2.67, Man City 1.67
- Points per game: Leipzig 1, Man City 2
Head-to-head
City have the better recent record in this fixture. In the last six meetings they have won four, Leipzig have won one and one game was drawn.
The most recent meeting, on 28 November 2023, finished Man City 3-2 Leipzig. Earlier that autumn, City won 3-1 in Leipzig. The biggest result in the series came in March 2023, when City won 7-0, and they also won 6-3 in September 2021.
Leipzig's one win in the run came at home, 2-1 in December 2021. They also drew 1-1 at Red Bull Arena in February 2023, so the hosts have taken something from two of their three games on home soil in this sequence.
MFF prediction
MFF's match model predicts a 2-1 win for Man City. It gives City a 41% chance of winning, Leipzig 36% and a draw 24%.
The model sees a closer game than the table suggests. City's goals have made the difference so far, but Leipzig have conceded four in two of their three recent results.
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